5/15-16 (PIM): 150th Preakness Weekend

[Kasept]

HI HO PIMLICO ~ 150TH PREAKNESS DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/C, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Band Camp 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Augusta Melody 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #4 Freeze the Fire 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Circle P 9-2 6th


2nd: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Fivecommatwo 20-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Drop the Hammer 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Betula 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #6 Miss Ellary 8-1 4th


3rd: MSW, 3-6yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 DRILL BABY 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Varney 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Energize 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Last Man Standing 3-2 2nd


4th: Maryland Sprint (G3), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

VERY difficult group with virtually everyone hot for the front end..

Most Likely: #6 Booth 7-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #3 Celtic Contender 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Epic Ride 5-1 2nd


5th: ALW/C, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

This spot feels like a treacherous black hole that could sink a trio of big multi race plays (1st-5th, 3rd-7th, 5th-9th!)..

Most Likely: #9 Mischief Maxey 5-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Sally's Gold 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Glean 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 River Seine 9-2 19th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 8-9 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C)
3: 7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 8-9 (A), 6-11 (B), - (C)
3: 7 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-9-11 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x3x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x1x3x4 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: Skipat, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Striker Has Dial 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Zeitlos 2-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #1 Apple Picker 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 One Magic Philly 9-5 3rd


7th: Gallorette (G3), F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Queen of the Mud 4-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Charlene's Dream 20-1 WON ($18.20)
Next Best: #9 Way to Be Marie 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Three Havanas 5-2 4th


P5 Grid:

3: 7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-9 (A), 4-8-11 (B), - (C)
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x6x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-9 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

4: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-3-9 (A), 4-8-11 (B), - (C)
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-9 in 7th)


8th: Chick Lang, 3yo, 6f (Must Pay Rainbow 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Keep It Easy 4-1 11th
Best Value: #7 Faster Gator 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 One Nine Hundred 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Ancient World 6-1 3rd


2-day All Dirt P5 Grid:

FRI 10: 4-7 (A), 2-3-8 (B), - (C)
FRI 12: 1-2-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 8: 6 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
SAT 10: 6-7/SCR-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 13: 2 (A), 8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x1x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x4x1x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACAA): 2x4x2x3x1 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-8 in SAT 8th)


9th: Jim McKay Turf Sprint, 3+, 6f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Witty 10-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #5 Determined Kingdom 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 No Nay Hudson 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Mattingly 8-1 6th


P5 Grid:

5: 2-3-9 (A), 4-8-11 (B), - (C)
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)
8: 6 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (7-9 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

6: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12


10th: Sir Barton-R, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Just a Fair Shake 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Invictus 9-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Crudo 5-2 WON ($9.40)
Super Add: #2 Bestfriend Rocket 15-1 6th


11th: James Murphy, 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Curahee 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Reagan's Wit 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Barbadian Runner 12-1 4th
Super Add: #6 Soleil Volant 7-2 2nd


P5 Grid:

7: 2-4 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
8: 6 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-8 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 2x1x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-6 in 11th)


12th: Dinner Party (G3), 3+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

SCR 3-9..

Best Value: #1 Divin Propos 12-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Fort Washington 5-1 WON ($12.00)
Exotics Use: #13 Trikari 5-2 9th
Super Add: #6 Balnikhov 9-2 6th


13th: Preakness Stakes (G1), 3yo, 9.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Journalism 8-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #6 River Thames 9-2 6th
Next Best: #8 Clever Again 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Gosger 20-1 2nd


P6 P5 Grid:

9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-8 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
12: 1-10 (A), 6-13 (B), - (C)
13: 2 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x3x2x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 (6-8 in 13th)

$0.50 Pick 5 (4/1/2,3,5,7/10/2) Paid $413.70 (A-A-A-A-A)


P4 Grid:

10: 1-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 7-8 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
12: 1-10 (A), 6-13 (B), - (C)
13: 2-6 (A), - (B), 1-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-8-9 in 13th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1/2,3,5,7/10/2) Paid $88.85


Let's get lucky!
Steve


1/ST Racing 2-day Charity P5: Park Heights Renaissance

FRI 11: 1-2-4-5-9-12 (A)
FRI 13: 3-4-8-9 (A)
SAT 11: 4-7-8 (A)
SAT 12: 1-10 (A)
SAT 13: 2 (A)

All A’s Play: 6x4x3x2x1 = $144

$0.50 Pck 5 (2/3/2,3,5,7/10/2) Paid $199.25

[ninetoone]

I always scan Steve's picks for the famous top line ALL CAPS picks (not sure of the statistics behind those, but in my personal rolodex, they do VERY well).

Didn't see any today, but I did take note of several top line double-digit bombs...including a 30-1 and 15-1.....hmmm....I will take those under advisement!!!

[casp0555]

Vodka with a Twist is a scratch

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by casp0555

Vodka with a Twist is a scratch

That’s a fun betting race. Throw a dart

[casp0555]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

That’s a fun betting race. Throw a dart

Hey Tom!....to be honest, I'm throwing 6 darts lolol

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by casp0555

Hey Tom!....to be honest, I'm throwing 6 darts lolol

lol ya I’m not sure what to do there. Maybe after a few beers it will look easier

[theguarantee]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

lol ya I’m not sure what to do there. Maybe after a few beers it will look easier

I thought Echo Sound looked pretty good in there but my more interesting opinion, and Steve has her second...if you draw a line through the last in the slop, cutting back to probably a better distance G W'S Girl looks pretty good no?

It's certainly not the event CD/NYRA put on but I actually think these cards are pretty intriguing from a handicapping/betting point of view....of course outside the Oxbow year I tend to not have much success at Pimlico...I'm going to tread lightly but take a few swings.

I definitely think Clever Again is the right horse to take a shot against Journalism with. Not too sure on the price but I really liked that last effort...the fresh horse angle is pretty tried and true...not a big River Thames or Sandman fan so my thought it to try to keep them out under in the verticals, use Journalism defensively and try to get Pay Billy/Gosger into the number (will probably also use Goal Oriented somewhat defensively as I think he's the other main challenger if maybe Baffert was targeting this all along and probably has a ceiling as high/higher than any of these)...

Good luck everyone.

[Kasept]

PIM SCR/CHG'S