Two at Toga (2024)

[theguarantee]

Best Bet: Race 5 #6 Awesome Czech 5/2
Best Value: Race 7 #8 Backed by Gold 8/1

[theguarantee]

Ninja Abarrio and Bank on Anna were pretty flat Thursday.
Dots Dollar and Golden Degree were awful Saturday.
Charming Jim I thought was tons the best but was only good enough for third at 14/1. More Than Looks proved no match for Carl Spackler paying 3.80 to place.
Awesome Czech was a generous 7/2 today proving best and paying 9.70/4.50
Backed by Gold got a perfect ride by Romero paying 23/10.20

Bet: $192.00
Returned: $312.00

[theguarantee]

Best Bet Race 10 #4 Scrictly Taboo 6/1 - Not a flashy sort but I think can step up and beat these. I thought the race two back was very impressive and last time just did what was needed very professionally. Not exactly scared of anyone in here even though Risk Threshold was visually impressive last out...hoping that actually leads to that one being overbet.

Best Value: Race 9 #8 Charles J 8/1 - Despite what the beyers indicate I think this ones route was much stronger than the two sprints its sandwiched between...within the context of that race I thought ran much better than Wild Dancer and hopefully offers some value for the dangerous Joseph Lee/Frankie combo.

Good luck

[theguarantee]

Will make up for cancellations at some point.

Best Bet: Race 8: #8 Caroline Street
Best Value Race 10 #4 Wrigelyville

[theguarantee]

Best Bet: Race 10 #4 Just Basking 5/1 - Tricky race the Alabama came up this year. Obviously Candied can win but I wanted to beat her. I was originally leaning toward Miss Justify but I can't shake the feeling she might not get the added ground. This one certainly should, just a matter of if she classes up to these.

Best Value: Race 9 #2 Grayosh 8/1 - Not sure she's really good enough to beat She Feels Pretty or the Appleby horse everyone seems to be against (don't love her but don't totally get it either, she's a little scary to me)...but I have to give her another shot after the last where I thought she was much the best just forced to move a little early and wide. I'm hoping given the draw that Prat will be a little more aggressive early getting a little more forward while saving all the ground. I still think she's a little better than she looks on paper and might be still improving.

[seekingthegold]

Dude thank your efforts.
I follow a lot of guys looking for value.
You are the best and I thank you

[theguarantee]

^Thanks. Glad you're finding it insightful.

Three pack today.

Race 9: #7 Playingwithmatches 8/1- I think he needed that last and will love the seven furlongs today. Seems to be spotted to win today. Hopefully Lezcano can work out the right kind of trip in a tricky field with a murky pace scenario to me.

Race 10 #2 Enfuega 4/1 - Two back was so impressive to me. Talk about doing all the dirty work...i really thought she was sitting on a big move forward off that and then for some reason they tried the turf. Hoping that is an easy cross off and it actually gets us a little value in here today. Not sure though because she still feels pretty obvious with IMO all the upside of these in here today.

Race 11 #16 Colloquy 5/1 - Hoping Irad off gets some value here because he really got this horse beat moving far too early in the last after completely missing the break. I do think this is stretching the distance limits here but if Junior can get him to break better today and time his move right, something I think hes usually really good at with these types, think he can get the money in here today.

Good luck