Two at Toga (2022)

[moses]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

He opened dead and ran like it. Winner was bet dead, and was awesome. He could show up in the Hopeful

Yep. Any time I say a horse “can’t lose,” it’s a certainty that the horse will in fact lose.

[theguarantee]

Best Bet - Race 8: 5 Palace Gossip 4/1 - I toyed around with making a case for Itsakeyper but it's just tough to take a horse in such bad form off a race at Toga last year with an all time trip, still the price is appealing and I think might just appreciate this trip, would use in exotics underneath. The more I looked though I just think of the logicals Palace Gossip is best in here. I get the case for Sassy Melissa and maybe she'll prove best. I don't really like the 1 or the 3 in here at all though and if DA is right on the ML and we get 4/1 I think that is a fair price today.

Best Value - Race 9: Sister Lou Ann 12/1 - I typically never take Saffie horses outside of Florida but I was looking for something a little off the beaten path in here. The case for Dolce Zel is fine but I just don't know that I'm that convinced she's all that imposing. Koala Princess can beat me off the layoff. Eminent Victor is probably full of upside but I don't want at the expected price. I couldn't quite get there on the others and again it's a bit of defaulting to a horse that's just done nothing wrong so far and will be a square price. Obviously has to improve but received that six month break and then ran well in June. Taking a bit of a stab in here.