3/5: Gulfstream (5th-13th); Santa Anita (4th-11th)

[blackthroatedwind]

If you think there is going to be an "honest pace scenario" in the Honey Fox, why would you pick Navratilova?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

If you think there is going to be an "honest pace scenario" in the Honey Fox, why would you pick Navratilova?

Hoping she doesn’t have to have the lead to win and that she can utilize the stalking gear she’s shown in the good off the pace efforts.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Hoping she doesn’t have to have the lead to win and that she can utilize the stalking gear she’s shown in the good off the pace efforts.

Every time she has gone long without the lead she has been ineffective and dramatically worse than when she has been in front. Why would that change today?

I suppose if she gets the lead, in theory she's the fastest early, she could win...but hoping she suddenly can rate going long belies her past performances.

[atolunch]

Looks like GP Pick 4 starts in race 6 not race 5 as you have listed.

Also looks like the All Stakes P5's are only $1 increments, not .50 as listed.

Thanks as always for your time and efforts; here's to a big day of Coast to Coast action and winners!!

[moses]

Good luck Steve. I’m making one bet today and it’s keying Simplification in some ways in the FOY.

2 / 3,4,5,6,11,13 / 3,4,5,6,11,13 ($30.00)
3,4 / 2 / 3,4,5,6,11,13 ($10.00)
3,4 / 3,4,5,6,11,13 / 2 ($10.00)

I haven’t bet much recently but if my luck continues, you guys should all load up on Emmanuel and High Oak.

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Good luck Steve. I’m making one bet today and it’s keying Simplification in some ways in the FOY.

2 / 3,4,5,6,11,13 / 3,4,5,6,11,13 ($30.00)
3,4 / 2 / 3,4,5,6,11,13 ($10.00)
3,4 / 3,4,5,6,11,13 / 2 ($10.00)

I haven’t bet much recently but if my luck continues, you guys should all load up on Emmanuel and High Oak.

Not a bad day.

[cal828]

That top one is very nice. I tried to hit a tri and had all of them except O Captain, My Captain. Maybe I can be forgiven considering he was 80-1. Good to see that you had it.

[moses]

Originally Posted by cal828

That top one is very nice. I tried to hit a tri and had all of them except O Captain, My Captain. Maybe I can be forgiven considering he was 80-1. Good to see that you had it.

Thanks. He was sort of a throw-in just on value. I didn’t realize he would be 80-1.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

Not a bad day.

Moise.. Congratulations! That's a fabulous pop on a great play..

~ $1 Tri (2-4-11) Paid $1,060.70 for those keeping score at home..

[moses]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Moise.. Congratulations! That's a fabulous pop on a great play..

~ $1 Tri (2-4-11) Paid $1,060.70 for those keeping score at home..

Thanks. I could definitely use it.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

If you think there is going to be an "honest pace scenario" in the Honey Fox, why would you pick Navratilova?

Not a bad seasonal debut and the 26-1 made it a worthwhile gamble.. No match for the very nice winner and no excuse given the reasonable fractions. She seemed anxious to go for the first half mile but then relaxed. Really needed her to hold second.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Not a bad seasonal debut and the 26-1 made it a worthwhile gamble.. No match for the very nice winner and no excuse given the reasonable fractions. She seemed anxious to go for the first half mile but then relaxed. Really needed her to hold second.

Right, she was a live longshot. But conflating her ability to rate in turf sprints to being able to do it successfully in routes is a mistake.

[atolunch]

Another awesome display of handicapping!

Congrats and thanks as always.