January 22 Fair Grounds ROI Wagers go here

[cal828]

Originally Posted by DonGuido

All I can say is, very tough card!!!

Turned out to be way tougher than I thought it would be. Allmost "Oaklawn"tough. I thought about playing s horizontal bet of some kind, but thought it might be a little chalky for that with the Mandaloun/Midnight Bourbon race and also even the LeComte looked like it could be a little chalky, but the Pick3,4 and 5 all paid Live and maybe learn one day, but I doubt it!!

[JolyB]

Originally Posted by cal828

Turned out to be way tougher than I thought it would be. Allmost "Oaklawn"tough. I thought about playing s horizontal bet of some kind, but thought it might be a little chalky for that with the Mandaloun/Midnight Bourbon race and also even the LeComte looked like it could be a little chalky, but the Pick3,4 and 5 all paid Live and maybe learn one day, but I doubt it!!

I played the all stakes pick 5 and found to my dismay that it was a lot tougher in reality than it looked on paper. Scratches made the Krantz much less competitive than it could have been, but Pass The Plate still paid a very generous price - perhaps bettors just couldn't figure out what to do with the Janelle Morae, the Brazilian import who took lots of money. The Silverbulletday was just the opposite. I thought that it would be a very competitive race and felt that any one of 4 runners had a very good chance of winning. The heavy favorite La Crete proved me wrong on that. I was most worried about the Colonel Bradley and went 4 deep and would have gone even deeper if the bankroll had permitted it. The victory by the outside horse at a price proved that theory - I'm not sure I could have come up with him even with a deeper ticket. Cal pointed out how formful the Louisiana Stakes was. The leg that fooled me was the finale. I felt that it was very likely to be formful with 2 very strong contenders and two more marginal contenders. However, it was on paper an outsider who won the photo and led to a very generous payoff of the pick 5. There were two very close photos in the sequence and I came out on the wrong side of both of them. I will concede that if those two had both gone the other way I would have had a winning ticket but it would have been much smaller.

[cal828]

I think without a real standout in a race that can be singled, the P5 too cost prohibitive. Based on my points play, I could have hit the first 4 races, but would have lost the finale. I thought that race could be a single and I would have tried to make the 3 horse one, but I think the layoff was too much to expect that he would fill that bill. At any rate, you made a good stab at it and I don't blame you for trying. It was a gutsy play that could have paid off. I say "gutsy", just as if we were playing for real money here.