September 25 Parx ROI Wagers go here

[JolyB]

Yesterday's results certainly showed the sometimes wild divergences between the morning line odds and the actual odds. Ruff's winning pick of Hollywood Talent was 20-1 in the ML and yet went off at an eye popping 108-1! Amazingly, he was not the longest shot in this 9 horse field - the last two runners both were 170-1 and ran like it.

I happened to make a no-brainer win pick of Jackie's Warrior in the next race. Jackie was 4-5 in the ML but was crushed to about 1-20 in the win pool - may have been even less than that but they don't go any lower.

I have to wonder whether either of us would have made the plays that we did if we were looking at the infield tote with two minutes to post. I probably would have said that Jackie was by far the most likely winner but an insane bet at those odds and either passed the race or looked to a bet other than win. I just don't know what a bettor would do when seeing a horse that they had considered at 20-1 on the board at 99-1. Would that horseplayer have run to the windows and gotten the bet down or said at those odds there must be a reason why they are so high and looked elsewhere. Interesting to consider.

[cal828]

I think Ruff's horse was a 10 year old. I probably would have eliminated him for that reason alone. Not often you see one that old win a stakes or maybe any other race. I did see one at Oaklawn win a stakes. Can't remember, but think he was at least 10 and maybe 11. What's that old saying? Snow on the roof and fire in the furnace. I think Ruff's horse obviously, still had some fire.

[RUFFIAN]

I REALIZED LAST WEEK
MY CRYSTAL BALL HAD GROWN DINGY
SO I POLOSHED IT TO SEE MORE CLEARLY

THAT SURELY DID HELP

INTERESTING SIDENOTE

IN HIGH SCHOOL
3 TEACHERS NICKNAMED ME “ HOLLYWOOD “

BUT THATS A TALE FOR ANOTHER TIME

EARLIER I WAS SO UPSET OVER MY OTHER HORSE “SMARTEN UP” FINISHING #2nd
THAT SEEING HOLLYWOOD WIN, MADE UP FOR IT IN A BIG WAY!


12
Vine Jet Abner Adorno 24.60 11.00 6.80

1
Smarten Up Anthony Salgado 16.80 12.60 <=========