Two at Toga

[moses]

Finally out of the red with Vinda Machine scoring.

Best bets: $64.00 wagered. $30.30 returned.
Longshots: $64.00 wagered. $98.70returned.
Total: $128.00 wagered. $129.00 returned.

Thursday, September 3.

Best bet: Race 10 - #4 Harlem Heights (5/1 ML). This 1/2 sister to Point of Entry should like the surface switch to turf.

Longshot: Race 7 - #5 Five Alarm Robin (8/1 ML). This race looks fairly competitive but Kitten of the Sea removes her blinkers and that may allow Five Alarm Robin a relatively easy lead. Now late into her 4YO year, I’m hoping this one has improved a bit from her 3YO year and is ready to take another step forward. She’s certainly capable.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by moses

Finally out of the red with Vinda Machine scoring.

Best bets: $64.00 wagered. $30.30 returned.
Longshots: $64.00 wagered. $98.70returned.
Total: $128.00 wagered. $129.00 returned.

Thursday, September 3.

Best bet: Race 10 - #4 Harlem Heights (5/1 ML). This 1/2 sister to Point of Entry should like the surface switch to turf.

Longshot: Race 7 - #5 Five Alarm Robin (8/1 ML). This race looks fairly competitive but Kitten of the Sea removes her blinkers and that may allow Five Alarm Robin a relatively easy lead. Now late into her 4YO year, I’m hoping this one has improved a bit from her 3YO year and is ready to take another step forward. She’s certainly capable.

Off the turf today unfortunately

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Off the turf today unfortunately

Ah shoot. Thanks.

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by moses

Finally out of the red with Vinda Machine scoring.

Best bets: $64.00 wagered. $30.30 returned.
Longshots: $64.00 wagered. $98.70returned.
Total: $128.00 wagered. $129.00 returned.

Thursday, September 3.

Best bet: Race 10 - #4 Harlem Heights (5/1 ML). This 1/2 sister to Point of Entry should like the surface switch to turf.

Longshot: Race 7 - #5 Five Alarm Robin (8/1 ML). This race looks fairly competitive but Kitten of the Sea removes her blinkers and that may allow Five Alarm Robin a relatively easy lead. Now late into her 4YO year, I’m hoping this one has improved a bit from her 3YO year and is ready to take another step forward. She’s certainly capable.

Point Of Entry is the greatest heavy metal album you’ve never heard in your life.
Point of Entry passed a huge percentage of the hosses he faced. He was awesome

[moses]

Let’s go with:

Best bet: Race 5 - #6 Constitutionalrage (10/1ML). A horse sired by Constitution out of a Tiznow mare and trained by Barclay Tagg. None of the other horses look like anything special and I like the pedigree and works here.

Longshot: Race 2 - #6 My First Grammy (8/1 ML). Key Stat: Mejia and Benji have won 100% of their starts together since August 29th. But really, this horse is talented enough that he was placed into the Florida Derby as a maiden. While he’s no Bodexpress, he’ll appreciate the class relief here. And while the drop in class is massive, this one was purchased for only $57,000 two years ago. That’s less suspicious to me than the class drop for the favorite Long Term Thinking or the $20,000 tag for Advance Notice, purchased for $350,000 two years ago. Maybe none of this means anything, but the figures alone at least put him in contention.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Point Of Entry is the greatest heavy metal album you’ve never heard in your life.
Point of Entry passed a huge percentage of the hosses he faced. He was awesome

One of my good friends growing up liked Judas Priest but I never got into them. I’m 34 though so I think his dad got him into them and they definitely weren’t one of my dad’s favorites.

[moses]

Friday September 4.

I’m really trying to focus on the Derby card so I haven’t looked at these much. So take them with a grain of salt.

Best bet: Race 9 - #13 Uncle George (4/1 ML).
Longshot: Race 10 - #6 Playtone (15/1 ML).

[theguarantee]

Got caught up with work the last couple days.

Best Bet Race 7 #8 Thin White Duke - Think the 6.5 should be perfect.

Best Value Race 10 #6 Playtone - Last was so bad but I have to give one more chance. Interesting on the stretch out with Joel but admittedly just a stab/chase.

I was going to do a little write up on Churchill but honestly the card seems perfectly straight forward to me. Don’t plan on getting too involved until tomorrow. Will try to post some thoughts in the morning.

Good luck everyone.

[moses]

Best bets: $68.00 wagered. $30.30 returned.
Longshots: $68.00 wagered. $98.70returned.
Total: $136.00 wagered. $129.00 returned.

Best bet: Race 9 - #7 Mystic Guide (4/1 ML). If they both run, the two Pletcher horses are going to be heavy favorites so I'm looking elsewhere for a little value. I've liked Mystic Guide for a while now and think the addition of blinkers here could help him be more forwardly placed, which should help him going 9 furlongs here.

Longshot: Race 5 - #8 Officiating (10/1 ML). A horrible start to last race but he finished impressively. This could be a competitive group but this one is full of run.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by theguarantee

Got caught up with work the last couple days.

Best Bet Race 7 #8 Thin White Duke - Think the 6.5 should be perfect.

Best Value Race 10 #6 Playtone - Last was so bad but I have to give one more chance. Interesting on the stretch out with Joel but admittedly just a stab/chase.

I was going to do a little write up on Churchill but honestly the card seems perfectly straight forward to me. Don’t plan on getting too involved until tomorrow. Will try to post some thoughts in the morning.

Good luck everyone.

Good call on Thin White Duke

[theguarantee]

Wagered: $92.00
Returned: $121.40

Best Bet: Race 9 #7 Mystic Guide - Hoping Dr. Post gets overbet as I think Mystic Guide is the most likely winner in here.

Best Value: Race 10 #4 Secondary Market - Needs to move forward obviously but I think she has it in her.

I plan on posting some Churchill thoughts at some point here if I get the time.

Good luck everyone on a strange but still exciting Derby+Toga day.

[moses]

Mystic Guide pulled through for me and paid $10.70 total for win and place. Officiating completely disappointed. That leaves me down a little over $4.00 with two days left in the meet. Maybe I can end up on a high note.

Best bets: $72.00 wagered. $41.00 returned.
Longshots: $72.00 wagered. $98.70 returned.
Total: $144.00 wagered. $139.70 returned.

Sunday, September 6.

Best bet: Race 8 - #2 Thomas Shelby (6/1 ML). At first glance, this horse may look outclassed but if you look back a few races, there are plenty of allowance races and even a stakes race. If we take a look at his most recent start, the final time is very close to what Irish Front ran back in July on that same date. Irish Front's fractions are a bit faster but Thomas Shelby's competition here is a lower tier. Irish Front came back to lose by a neck to Night Time on August 28. The absolutely blazing workout tab has me thinking that he is an improving 4 year old. He draws the mount from Irad and I've got to think he's ready to roll.

Longshot: Race 11 - #7 Readyforprimetime (6/1 ML). I normally don't like horses in turf sprints off of a long layoff so to see Readforprimetime run so well last time out was pretty impressive. He now takes a step up in class and takes on two ex-Servis horses in Shekky Shebaz and Fig Jelly. Whatever the reason, I believe both those horses have lost a step and while they may have a major class edge, along with Gidu and Pulsate, over Readyforprimetime, this one might just be ready to take the next step up into stakes company and this could be the perfect spot for him to jump out to the lead and make them try to catch him.