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#1
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Best value : CODE OF HONOR
Most likely : ROADSTER Next best : GAME WINNER Exotics use : SPINOFF & PLUS QUE PARFAIT
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"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/ |
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#2
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Omaha Beach....I can still terrify college professors with my knowlege of WWII. Plus, he definitely is getting good at the right time.
The exacta? Tacitus should help there. Baffert's bunch doesn't inspire me much this year, but Roadster can finish the tri. |
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#3
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Can't get too excited this year. Maybe because we've been spoiled lately. Omaha Beach should be the odds on fav and with Mike Smith hard to overlook.
I'll handicap the card like I usually do for the Derby to fill out the 1-2-3 and we'll see. Have to be better than I've done so far this year. Basically about as good as leftover dog breakfast.
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The wind of heaven is that which blows between a horse’s ears – Arabian Proverb |
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#4
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Don't yet know whom my head will be telling me to bet, but I'm sure that my heart will be pushing me to root for a Bill Mott horse to win. It would be such a pleasure to see a person of his overall quality in the winner's circle.
Of the two, I don't think that Country House will be the one to take him there. While CH is a nice horse with a good closing run and ought to be able to compete at the distance, he could get left far behind early and will be passing a number of very tired horses in the stretch, but might have too much to do to catch the winner. An in the super finish is the absolute best that I could predict for him. Tacitus on the other hand, has a number of positive qualities that give him a realistic chance. In the Wood he was bounced around early, overcame a lot of difficulty and still was game in his duel to the wire with Tax. The price on Tacitus should be realistic. The Baffert horses and Omaha Beach will all take a lot of money, and Tacitus may end up as 4th or 5th choice, even though I think that he belongs in the top three. |
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#5
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I have been a Country House fan early on. I will not differ from his ability. Now that Flavien Prat is the pilot I think he will be a lot closer than usual. If the pace is contested at fast fractions I can see CH benefitting from it and with Prat on him that makes him dangerous. Hopefully cashing $$$$$.. This is where my money is going. Good luck to all.
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#6
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I like the 2 Pletcher hosses...with the Bafferts underneath.
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#7
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I think, if I had to bet it tomorrow, I'd go with the top two from the Arkansas Derby(Omaha Beach and Improbable), the top two from the Louisiana Derby(By My Standards and Spinoff) and the Wood winner Tacitus in no particular order, but we still have several days to think about it so I'll change my mind at least a hundred times before the race.
As for the order, I'll likely play some tri and superfecta boxes so maybe the order won't matter. ![]() |
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