TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL: Probables/Possibles

[cal828]

Originally Posted by casp0555

interesting facts that probably most players know but I don't....btw, this is not a jab at Justify.

https://www.usracing.com/news/analys...kentucky-derby

Interesting stuff that makes you think twice about what I think are probably at least half of everyone's top ten and maybe even top five. On the other hand like the odds board, horses can't read this stuff and it's hard to throw out anything trained by Pletcher and Baffert. This article didn't address it, but a person should probably throw out Mendelssohn too, since no UAE
winner has ever won the KD.

[richard burch]

I'm sticking with :


Only horse that ran 1-3/16 and crushed em'. He is going to break that UA Derby curse!............................unless he gets a bad post.

[richard burch]

Speaking of my new favorite horse, where is he?....Is he back in the States? I would prefer he was in Kentucky breathing their air.


Look at him! He is a very fit animal. Muscles on his muscles....Looks like Hagler in His prime.

[Kitan]

Back in Ireland, will ship very late like O'Brien runners normally do.

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by Kitan

Back in Ireland, will ship very late like O'Brien runners normally do.

not my preference,.......... boy this horse has a lot of frequent flier miles.

[Merlinsky]

Originally Posted by richard burch

not my preference,.......... boy this horse has a lot of frequent flier miles.

Well he did it before the BCJ Turf and to an even farther time zone that KY. He obviously did well in Dubai (which my googling tells me is 3 hrs difference from Ireland). Clearly being on a plane for awhile doesn't put him off. Neither does a bit of time difference.

[Kitan]

Originally Posted by Merlinsky

Well he did it before the BCJ Turf and to an even farther time zone that KY. He obviously did well in Dubai (which my googling tells me is 3 hrs difference from Ireland). Clearly being on a plane for awhile doesn't put him off. Neither does a bit of time difference.

It's about a 7.5 hour flight from Dublin to Dubai, and probably only about an hour or so more to where he'll be landing in the US. An extra 2 hours difference in time, however.

I don't remember exactly when they arrived in Dubai but it was very late (possibly Tuesday). At least on Thursday morning, I watched all Coolmore runners do a very slow walk around the track followed by a very easy jog. Don't expect to see much from him in Louisville before the race.

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by Merlinsky

Well he did it before the BCJ Turf and to an even farther time zone that KY. He obviously did well in Dubai (which my googling tells me is 3 hrs difference from Ireland). Clearly being on a plane for awhile doesn't put him off. Neither does a bit of time difference.

Mendelssohn scares me. I'm sitting on a hefty "All Others" bet from Future Wager Pool 2 (and a bet 1/5 as big from Pool 3, which I've mentally kissed goodbye). With Justify and Magnum Moon, plus about 9 other Derby entrants in my Pool 2 "stable", I should be feeling pretty confident. But there's no telling how good Mendelssohn might be, and as Merlinsky said, the horse has already shown he's a good shipper. I don't see how people can leave him off their exotics tickets simply because less accomplished Dubai invaders have failed in the past.

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by Merlinsky

Well he did it before the BCJ Turf and to an even farther time zone that KY. He obviously did well in Dubai (which my googling tells me is 3 hrs difference from Ireland). Clearly being on a plane for awhile doesn't put him off. Neither does a bit of time difference.

I'm sticking with him. Just hope he gets a good post.