Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Breeders' Cup Archive
Reload this Page BC NOTEBOOK: Distaff, Classic ~ Final Fields
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-26-2016, 06:49 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
  
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
How big a favorite will Sobgbird be inThe Distaff ? 8-5 ?
If the Big 3 all go, I don't think Songbird will be below 2-1. Gorgeous or not, her best BSF is 6 lengths behind the race Beholder and Stellar Wind ran Oct 1. Yeah, Songbird could have run faster if pressed, but 6 lengths faster? If Songbird goes off at 8-5, I'll be all over B or SW or both.
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-26-2016, 07:45 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
  
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
If the Big 3 all go, I don't think Songbird will be below 2-1. Gorgeous or not, her best BSF is 6 lengths behind the race Beholder and Stellar Wind ran Oct 1. Yeah, Songbird could have run faster if pressed, but 6 lengths faster? If Songbird goes off at 8-5, I'll be all over B or SW or both.
She is the greatest filly ever according to Anthony Stabile, as such, now way she goes off more then 6/5 likely even or less.

"the greatest filly ever" I call this the Pharoah Effect lol so ridiculous
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-26-2016, 09:14 AM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
  
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,939
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
She is the greatest filly ever according to Anthony Stabile, as such, now way she goes off more then 6/5 likely even or less.

"the greatest filly ever" I call this the Pharoah Effect lol so ridiculous
You know millennials they need to experience at least 10 "Greatest things ever" a week.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-26-2016, 10:27 AM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
  
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default
100-1 feels fair to me. I give her almost no chance to win.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-26-2016, 10:52 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
  
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
100-1 feels fair to me. I give her almost no chance to win.
I'll take a little of that 100-1. Didn't you see her in the Alabama? Or couldn't you see it from your hiding spot ?
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-26-2016, 10:53 AM
-BT- -BT- is offline
The Curragh
  
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: 60613
Posts: 2,622
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
100-1 feels fair to me. I give her almost no chance to win.
it's ignorant comments like this......................that keep me away from here, hats off. Every thread you touch is a lightning rod for controversy, just lob the grenade and run the other way.

-bt-
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-26-2016, 11:37 AM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
  
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by -BT- View Post
it's ignorant comments like this......................that keep me away from here, hats off. Every thread you touch is a lightning rod for controversy, just lob the grenade and run the other way.

-bt-
Beholder, Unbridled Forever and Stellar Wind are all better/faster. What did I say that was ignorant? If Songbird is 3-1 or 7-2 I'll bet huge against her in all pools. I dont think she can win this race.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-26-2016, 11:51 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
  
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
Beholder, Unbridled Forever and Stellar Wind are all better/faster. What did I say that was ignorant? If Songbird is 3-1 or 7-2 I'll bet huge against her in all pools. I dont think she can win this race.
You know this is as dumb a comment as Anthony Stabile saying she is the greatest filly of all time on Twitter. Is there a morsel of levity in you? She is clearly extraordinary and while I get you like others as do I, she clearly shouldn't be beyond 5/2 in anyone's way of thinking. We all from time to time loathe 2/1 shots and feel they are WAY over rated but in are brains we know they are not 100/1 shots without a reasonable chance. To just suggest so about a multiple grade 1 filly that has shipped throughout country, never been less the 3.5 lengths in front of her G1 competition at the best circuits in the states is 100/1 is just awful to post
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10-26-2016, 12:00 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
Belmont Park
  
Join Date: Sep 2007
Posts: 7,091
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by -BT- View Post
it's ignorant comments like this......................that keep me away from here, hats off. Every thread you touch is a lightning rod for controversy, just lob the grenade and run the other way.

-bt-
Well said Cheers
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10-26-2016, 12:47 PM
Pants II's Avatar
Pants II Pants II is offline
Arlington Park
  
Join Date: Mar 2014
Posts: 4,458
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
100-1 feels fair to me. I give her almost no chance to win.
Thanks for reminding me to use I'm a Chatterbox in multis.
__________________
RIP identity politics 1965-2016
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 10-26-2016, 07:08 PM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by Pants II View Post
Thanks for reminding me to use I'm a Chatterbox in multis.
right on the money sir! ...... as usual the "value" in the Distaff
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 10-31-2016, 03:15 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
  
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,521
Default
10 to go postward in Classic..

Arrogate
California Chrome
Effinex
Frosted
Hoppertunity
Keen Ice
Melatonin
Shaman Ghost
War Story
Win the Space
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 10-31-2016, 03:23 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
  
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,784
Default
Melatonin is an interesting play in the exacta here
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 10-31-2016, 08:00 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
  
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 4,829
Default
Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Melatonin is an interesting play in the exacta here
I can see an insane situation happening where the race totally falls apart and Hoppertunity wins. Between Chrome, Arrogate and Melatonin the pace could get very hot.
Reply With Quote
Reply

« Previous Thread | Next Thread »

Thread Tools
Display Modes
Hybrid Mode Hybrid Mode

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:31 PM.

Contact Us - Derby Trail Steve Byk Steve’s Notes DT Stables DT Shoppe Gallery Contact Links Archive - Top

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.