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#1
02-28-2016, 06:33 PM
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RAGHU
 colt, Showcasing-Fantasy World Trainer: Tony Pike (no Derby wins) Jockey: Michael McNab (no Derby wins) 8 starts 2 wins 3 seconds 2 thirds NZ$178,050 1st Karaka 3YO Mile 2nd Waikato Guineas 3rd Avondale Guineas What a tough horse. When he comes around the home turn and the others start running at him, it always looks like he's going to drop out and finish way back. But he never does. He refuses to surrender, he keeps fighting and he comes back. He is sensational to watch. But there has to be some doubt over his stamina. His sire Showcasing is known for very speedy two-year-olds, and his running style doesn't lend itself to such a gruelling trip. But he's another horse who keeps proving us wrong. Odds: 12 Last edited by _ed_ : 02-28-2016 at 08:58 PM. 
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#2
02-28-2016, 08:57 PM
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TAVAGO
 gelding, Tavastock-Sara Ann Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young (no Derby wins) Jockey: Noel Callow (AUS) (no Derby wins) 5 starts 2 wins 1 seconds 1 thirds NZ$66,275 1st Wellington Stakes 3rd Karaka Mile 13th Waikato Guineas For most of the season he's been my Derby horse, but his run in the Waikato Guineas was just terrible. Obviously he's a much better horse than that, but he's going to have to turn things around big time. Odds: 12
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#3
02-28-2016, 09:01 PM
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WHAT'S THE STORY
 colt, Savabeel-Tall Story Trainer: Stephen McKee & Eddie Chippendale (no Derby wins) Jockey: Sam Spratt (no Derby wins) 6 starts 2 wins 0 seconds 0 thirds NZ$18,725 6th Trevor Eagle Memorial 7th Great Northern Guineas It's been an up-and-down season. He scored a brilliant win on debut, then struggled in his next few starts including a couple of strong stakes races. But then, in his most recent race, he was an unbelievable winner. If he can repeat that performance he's got a really good chance to win this. Odds: 12
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#4
02-29-2016, 06:09 PM
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HUMIDOR
 gelding, Teofilo-Zalika Trainer: Johno Benner & Hollie Wynyard (no Derby wins) Jockey: Mark Du Plessis (no Derby wins) 3 starts 1 wins 2 seconds 0 thirds NZ$11,775 No stakes races This is one of the most exciting three-year-olds in NZ. He has incredible talent. His acceleration is amazing. But it's possible that the Derby is just a bit too soon for him. It's only his fourth start. He should have won his last race, but his head was sideways all the way down the stretch. He's got a lot of growing up to do and he's got a lot to learn. I don't know if he'll do it by Saturday. But he's in my top three. Odds: 16
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#5
02-29-2016, 06:16 PM
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THE HASSLER
 gelding, Shocking-Zaquabeel Trainer: Roger James (Tidal Light 1986, Roysyn 1995, Zonda 1997, Hades 1999, Silent Achiever 2012) Jockey: Michael Coleman (Cut The Cake 2003, Xcellent 2004) 8 starts 2 wins 0 seconds 0 thirds NZ$26,150 5th Avondale Guineas He didn't do much in his first few starts, but he has been fantastic since he started running over longer distances. I liked the way he finished in the Avondale Guineas. He's a son of the Melbourne Cup winner Shocking, and there is no doubt he'll have the stamina for this race. Plus his trainer and jockey know how to win a Derby! Odds: 16
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#8
03-01-2016, 09:37 PM
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So the next one obviously has to be...
CAPELLA  filly, Rip Van Winkle-Limerick Trainer: Danica Guy (no Derby wins) Jockey: Leith Innes (Wahid 2006) 6 starts 3 wins 0 seconds 1 third NZ$82,225 1st Eight Carat Classic 3rd Sir Tristram Fillies' Classic Unexpectedly entered for the Derby today, sending her odds plummeting from 26 to 7.5. She was exceptional in the Eight Carat on Boxing Day, but then bad weather and slight injuries ruled her out of the Royal Stakes, Levin Classic and Desert Gold Stakes. She's only had one race since the Eight Carat, an unlucky third in the Sir Tristram. She's obviously good enough to do this, but I'm just not sure if she's had enough racing to prepare her. She adds a TON of interest and mystery to this race. Odds: 7.5
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#9
03-02-2016, 10:39 PM
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PREDATOR
 gelding, Savabeel-Bird Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young (no Derby wins) Jockey: Jonathan Riddell (Jimmy Choux 2011) 4 starts 2 wins 1 second 0 third NZ$19,500 7th Avondale Guineas He was so impressive in his first three starts, winning twice and finishing second in the other one to Valley Girl. But his first try in a stakes race was only okay, finishing seventh in the Avondale Guineas. I think he will appreciate the distance more than some of the others, so he could be an improver. Odds: 26
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