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#1
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Just worked a tighter half mile (:47+) the other day. Spring and the Classic tries took a lot out of him. Baffert getting weight back on and pleased with progress. Haskell is the working target with Los Al Derby seemingly out.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. |
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#2
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Thanks, I didn't realize that.
That makes it seem even more unlikely that AP will go to MTH. |
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#3
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Why? All things normal, do you actually think Dortmund can beat him or are you thinking Bob wants a Dortmund win not a second or a third or a . . . ???
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The wind of heaven is that which blows between a horse’s ears – Arabian Proverb |
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#4
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Dortmund had his chances to beat him. And of course Bob wants wins.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
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#5
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Because Bob and owners would like first place purse money. The only time I see Dortmund lining up against Pharoh is in the Classic if both show enough form from here to have a realistic chance.
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#6
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AP had his first workout since the Belmont this morning. He went three furlongs in :36 2/5.
http://www.drf.com/news/premium/amer...three-furlongs |
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#7
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Good sign. He was kind of worked up in the SA parade on Saturday. That's understandable, horses are creatures of habit, like us, and that was an interruption of the normal.
If you look at it, it's perfect timing for 2 more works before the Haskell. If they were going to the Travers, no reason to do anymore than jog and gallop right now and start works in about 2-3 weeks.. Trainers don't "work" horses without a target. Unless he hit's a bump, I think that's the target for sure. |
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#8
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I agree 100% with jms. With 2 of your bigger owners, no sense to beat each other up. There are plenty of spots before the BC for each and they are nice races. Dortmund could take the Saratoga/Belmont route. He's a very good horse and I think this time off will have done him some good. He had a strenuous campaign this year. He may come back bigger and better than ever.
Baffert is very good at this. He's juggled multiple good horses for multiple owners over the years and kept them happy. Either the NY or SoCal route makes sense for Dortmund and he should actually be able to withstand it due to not running in all the TC races. |
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#9
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#10
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Look Dortmund goes in TRAVERS IMO that has always been plan Baffert KNOWS AP will trounce him and Baffert KNOWS Shah would love a stallion making G! Travers on Dortmund's resume.. Dortmund is no bum and wiring the Travers is very realistic. AP has done enough till BCC Haskell MAYBE PAC Classic and last race BCC..
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#11
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#12
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#13
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A G!(sic) Travers win will not promote him to "Stallion Making" status any more than it did for V.E. Day. If healthy, he'll be back at 4, and likely 5. |
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#14
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Clearly you have a lack of respect for the mighty Dortmund.
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#15
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Dortmund sweeps the stalls after AP leaves for a walk or whatever. Nice horse but Dortmund may also carry AP's horse shoes in a bag for him. I hate to say it but Dortmund is very forgettable.
Prestige-wise for AP is Haskell, Travers (nothing better this time of year, nothing) and then BC Classic. Not sure that's in the cards for him but if I owned him and Bobby gave me the thumbs up on his conditioning . . . no brainer. If and it is a big if, he were to run the table he may get his head carved into Mount Rushmore!!! ![]() ![]() ![]()
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The wind of heaven is that which blows between a horse’s ears – Arabian Proverb |
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#16
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#17
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If Dortmund was by ap Indy out of some blue hen mare, I would think a win in the travers would be big for his resume. Are you basing your statement on his breeding? |
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#18
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By the time VE Day broke his maiden (2nd week of May) Dortmund had won four graded stakes and 2 Grade Is. He also finished third in the Ky Derby. There is absolutely, positively no comparison between their respective resumes if Dortmund were to win the Travers, as big an "if" as that is.
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#19
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Dortmund's form is so fluffed up that it would embarrass anyone who actually would take a moment to delve into it. Los Al Futurity – won a 3 horse photo against the aforementioned Firing Line (who would later outfinish him in the Derby) and the Indomitable Mr. Z. The fourth place horse would come back to win an overnight restricted stake, and is winless since. The Fifth place horse is still winless. Robert B Lewis – Beat Firing Line by a head, the third place horse by 22 lengths, who is still, along with the rest of the field – winless. San Vincente – Won by a length in a 10 horse field… Impressive. Except when you look at what he beat: Prospect Park – 0 for 2 since Bolo –1 for 3 since. just won an allowance N1X Lord Nelson – 0 for 2 since The Gompter - 0 for 2 since Pain and Misery 1 for 3 since. Just took down the prestigious “Charles Taylor Derby” at Albuquerque. Ocho Ocho Ocho - 0 for 2 since Sir Samson – unraced since Kenjisstorm – 1 for 2 since. The win? A maiden claiming 30K So the field is 3 for 18 out of the San Vincente; those 3 wins coming by way of a mcl 30, a N1X, and of course the toast of Albuquerque Santa Anita Derby- Beat 5 others, scoring in a hand ride by almost 5 lengths. One Lucky Dane – unraced since Bolo – See Above Prospect Park – See Above Cross the Line – 0 for 2 since, well beaten in a AOC affair last Bad Read Sanchez – unraced since. So nothing has come out of the Santa Anita Derby to win a race. My opinion hasn't changed - This horse has been dressed up since Day 1 and hasn't beaten anything of note (save for Firing Line, who is a very nice horse, but not a champion by anyone's count) in his life. A Travers win, however unlikely (as Nick pointed out), should do nothing to bolster his resume unless he plans to stand in Louisiana, California, or overseas. Last edited by Rudeboyelvis : 07-01-2015 at 10:26 PM. |
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#20
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I don't think there is a major prep leading up to and including the Belmont that any winner's resume was enhanced by the runners behind them. Dortmund is one of the top runners of this crop to this point.I'd like to see a strong case made for two others.
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