Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie
I just listened to the Serling fragment of the show.
I was in agreement with most of what he/you had to say, but the thing that I find frustrating and inconsistent with Beyer's numbers is the sometimes adherence to strictly using other races on the card as a barometer, and a sometimes divergence from this when a split variant is used because a race result doesn't meet some earlier preconceived idea of what the race result should be.
Wow, that was a Freddy run on sentence if I've ever seen one.
Anyways, I think this is a pretty cut and dried instance of the second race at that distance being vastly superior to the first, and I don't see why they didn't split it. How much time elapsed between the two races?
Maybe sometimes I don't account for the numbers representing what the winner actually ran, instead of what he could have run had he been asked for more earlier.
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BTW fig making is all about preconceived ideas. Dunbar actually gave you the plausible way the fig could have been higher. That would have required Beyer to think AP Frosted Coach Inge and VD ran there best races ever. That was never going to happen from Beyer "he knows what AP is by now". I suggest if Materialty and AP were 5.5l ahead of the Frosted and Materialty had won by a nose he might of used 108/9 with the same clocking because materialty had proven to him in Florida Derby that he was capable of such a fig. But that is a
complete guess on my part
06-09-2015, 05:31 PM
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