Bet Mix

[Easy Goer Otis]

Just ran my mixes on the Marshua and Ft.Lauderdale stakes at GP:

MARSHUA

ALL simulations predict the favorite Parranda as the winner. He will be hard to beat.

FT LAUDERDALE

This projects as a more wide open race. I ran 14 mixes with numerous horses coming out on top:

#14 Protonico (5 times a simulated winner) 2-1 ML
#1 Silver Freak (5) 15-1
#2 Lochte (1) 6-1
#4 Howe Great (1) 15-1
#7 Grand Tito (1) 15-1
#11 Za Approval (1) 5-2

In this case, I am going to look very hard at Silver Freak, who at 15-1 pops out as the winner in just as many simulations as 2-1 Protonico. I will also consider the 2, 4, 7 in exotics or multi-race tickets.

Note that Silver Freak wins the simulation using the 2014 Ft Lauderdale mix, while Protonico wins using the 2013 Ft Lauderdale mix.

Cheers,

Otis

[dellinger63]

2) European data is not integrated, so I don't use it for any races containing shippers from foreign countries, unless they have a few races on American turf/soil.

Summer Moon FR ??

What I particularly like about this euro shipper is his propensity to run on or near the lead which, I consider a huge plus on this front running, biased, turf course.

[Easy Goer Otis]

Summer Moon is exactly the kind of horse you need to consider independently when using this software. Good catch, dell!

O

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by Easy Goer Otis

Just ran my mixes on the Marshua and Ft.Lauderdale stakes at GP:

MARSHUA

ALL simulations predict the favorite Parranda as the winner. He will be hard to beat.

FT LAUDERDALE

This projects as a more wide open race. I ran 14 mixes with numerous horses coming out on top:

#14 Protonico (5 times a simulated winner) 2-1 ML
#1 Silver Freak (5) 15-1
#2 Lochte (1) 6-1
#4 Howe Great (1) 15-1
#7 Grand Tito (1) 15-1
#11 Za Approval (1) 5-2

In this case, I am going to look very hard at Silver Freak, who at 15-1 pops out as the winner in just as many simulations as 2-1 Protonico. I will also consider the 2, 4, 7 in exotics or multi-race tickets.

Note that Silver Freak wins the simulation using the 2014 Ft Lauderdale mix, while Protonico wins using the 2013 Ft Lauderdale mix.

Cheers,

Otis

Wouldn't it have been useful to exclude Protonico, who was an MTO? Also find it interesting that the software didn't point to the pretty clear horse to beat, and eventual winner, Mshawish.

[Easy Goer Otis]

You can exclude horses easily that you want to toss.

I use Betmix as a guideline rather than a definitive ticketmaker.

It is weird how it popped Parranda but not Mshawish.

O