Breeders Cup Friday Thoughts

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS

Distaff

A repeat of Unrivaled Belle's only other race over this track could probably win this race.

She beat Rachel Alexandra by a head on Kentucky Oaks day at 8.5fs in a rapidly run 1:42 4/5. By comparison - Blind Luck needed 1:50 3/5 that day to win the Ky Oaks .. basically Unrivaled Belle's race was six full lengths superior in terms of final times. She's the older female I want.

Blind Luck has improved since the Ky Oaks. She's very good. She has had a very tough campaign - and I guess you could make something of her repetitive lead switching in the stretch last time out .. I expect her to run well - if she was a speed horse or a presser - I think the chances of her hard season catching up to her would be something I'd worry about more.

I like a big longshot in this race. Seeking The Title had absolutely no chance in the world last time out. She was stuck behind an impossibly slow pace over a wet track. Dallas Stewart is one of my least favorite trainers - but his horses do run their best at Churchill for whatever reason and this will be her first CD start - and Calvin Borel has been lethal on these hapless looking one-dimensional closers at Churchill. I wouldn't be surprised if this horse wakes up.

Thankfully this was the last race and it got me out. If Seeking the Title can snag 4th I absolutely kill it.

Whoever was riding Acoma pulled her up about 50 yards before the wire - and she just saved 4th by a desperate nose. The Stewards should remind these riders that people bet down to 4th place.

That was one nose from being a bad situation.