curlin is going down

[pick4]

1. His last wasn't spectacular but it still beats this field unless Wanderin Boy gets totally loose ( possible ) and speed is absolutely deadly.

This scenerio is the most likely one that has Curlin losing.

While Mambo In Seattle is an improving horse I still think he has to make another huge step up to beat this field. I had a lot of wagers tied to this horse and his loss in the Travers was the most painful beat I've suffered as a horseplayer.

I thought Wanderin Boy would be the pacesetter in the Woodward but Pass The Point ran a career best race. I think Wanderin Boy will get the lead here.How much he has to work get and maintain that lead will make the difference. The only horse that I can see upsetting the scenerio I foresee is Merchant Marine. He has the early lick to make Wanderin Boy work hard early.