Early Top Twenty Derby Hopefuls

[King Glorious]

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

I'm not trying to use that race as a blanket way to say that I think that 7 furlong races are the best indicator of 10 furlong races in the future.

It was just another race that shows me that the horse has no chance of lasting at ten furlongs given her style and her (lack of) stamina. That makes three in a row that lead to that conclusion for most people watching closely.

I don't know how that makes three in a row though. After the Frizette, people said she was walking home and would get caught the next time but the next time, with another turn and added distance, she won by more. People wanted to say it was because of the track and nobody else liking it but to me, that doesn't really make sense. How come only one horse liked it? Also, one of the horses that she had beaten in the Frizette, Backseat Rhythm, came back to hit the board in the BC too so it appeared she was ok with the track. This race yesterday has no bearing on what she'll do later. It was a sprint, she was trained for a sprint and she ran fast. If one was to look at yesterday's race, they would conclude that she couldn't last past 7f but we know that's not true because she's already won grade ones at 8f and 8.5f.

Who knows how far she will run? I don't know. I'm not saying she will run 10f. But I haven't seen any reason to believe yet that many others have a better chance of running it better than her. But then again, maybe I haven't been watching closely or just don't know what I'm looking at. We'll see.