Lawyer Ron's Time

[philcski]

I made my figs for the day and reviewed them with a fine tooth comb. The number Beyer gave him (and the rest of the field) was an adjustment (a 116.) Here's what I got (my fig then the Beyer equivalent in parentheses) and a justification:

R1 101 (73): No recent fig on the winner, 2nd place (beaten 1l) Wood Winner had a 98 last out.
R2 105 (80): [2yo's, although this is par for 2YO MSW at SAR]
R3 Turf
R4 100 (72): Winner had a 97 last out, 2nd (beaten 1l) 98, and 3rd (1l) 96. Probably a point or two high, but longshot winning races are often bizarre.
R5 106 (82): Another longshot winner, moved up 10 lengths (I don't have much confidence in this figure but there were a lot of firsters in there so not much to work off of)
R6 107 (83): Winner had a 104 last out, 2nd 100 (off long layoff), 3rd 103.
R7 Turf
R8 The AGVandy: 116 (104): Winner had a 116 in the Carter (last fig I have). Very evenly matched group on my figs and they ran like it. All were in the 113-117 range
R9 The Go For Wand: 113 (93): Winner had a 108 and 109 last two, steadily improving
R10 The Whitney 132 (123): Winner 125 @ Mth, 2nd (5l) 122 @ CD, 6th (10l)122 @ Aqu, 7th (11l) 120 @ Aqu, 9th 122 (12l) @ Bel, 10th 119 (14l) @ Bel
R11 99 (70) Winner a 99 last out, 3rd (3l) 96

Basically the top 3 ran their eyeballs out. It happens. They probably won't run that fast again, ever. The Beyer just CANNOT only be 17 points higher than the Go For Wand- the time is 18 lengths faster, which at a mile and an eighth translates to 30 Beyer points (precisely what my figures state, even using a different method and scale.)

Take it for what it's worth but if the Whitney Beyer is "officially" a 116, the Go For Wand should "officially" be an 86. Neither are right as they stand.