Top 25 Most Overrated Performances of '06

[philcski]

Originally Posted by cmorioles

I only asked as by most time charts, Magna Graduate's races comes back gigantic. You must be doing something right in my opinion, though I came up with similar relationship using mostly projections.

To be clear, I rarely if ever use projections to modify single races. I use projections to come up with the overall variant for the card. I don't like splitting races out just to make them fit prior history, I need additional evidence.

The 9.5F distance is (obviously) seldom used, which the time charts don't account for- that's probably why the strictly-computer-generated figures don't get a good number. If it's a REALLY wacky distance like that 2 mile race they ran a couple weeks ago... I don't even bother with it. Just pull it out of the day's formula and have it as an "N/A" figure (not like a 2 mile race figure is worthwhile anyways!)

What's the MINIMUM number of races you prefer to have a variant "group" on a specific day? For me it's 3. Once is an abberation, two is a trend, three is a defined set of correlated results. (Of course, occasionally you'll have a day like the Jim Dandy where the first 2 dirt races were an obvious split thanks to the weather.)