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Old 01-26-2009, 10:30 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
It's interesting that you think the number is too high even though you actually don't know the point differentials towards the other horses. Plus, they played this number straight, as the track gave evidence that there was no split variant from the beginning of the day until the end. Also, why would it be surprising to see Kelly Leak improve a synthetic number on the dirt? This makes perfect sense if the horse handled the surface....which apparently he did.

I guess in this case admitting that Dutrow performed a miracle with this horse would also force you to admit that your beloved Marty Wolfson also performed a miracle.....and we can't have that.

Hey, I made a good score in that race, as I know what great trainers these guys are.
As suggested, I was speculating on the differentials... That makes sense on Kelly Leek on the surface switch... but aren't those really significant jump ups on all the top finishers? How often do you get that many horses all moving forward to that extent in one race? And even if you subscribe to the theory that Dutrow, Wolfson, Machowsky and Lake are ALL taking an edge, it doesn't seem possible that they all just happen to be jamming them in this one event?
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