America's first Black President

Originally Posted by dylbert

This election is already shaping up as battle for four states: Florida, Ohio, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Each of the other large states is decidely pro-McCain or pro-Obama. Also, many of the states that are leaning for one particular candidate seem nearly destined for that presidential hopeful.

Some facts:

1. the 92% or so of African-Americans that vote Democrat will vote Obama (neutral for Obama)
2. educated liberal white females will feel disinfranchised and may post lower turnout in November election (bad for Obama)
3. less-educated white males do not identify with Obama who is successful, liberal, well-educated, wealthy African-American male. Floyd R. Turbo ain't pulling donkey lever come November (bad for Obama)
4. conservatives must choose between lesser-of-two-evil liberal candidates -- who will "hurt" my pocketbook less (good for McCain based on his lengthy voting record)
5. Hispanics seem split between pro-entrepreneur (conservative) and pro-government (liberal) (neutral with no advantage to either candidate)

These next months will be filled with campaigning, pundits, advertising and telephone calls seeking support and money for millions of Americans.

Historical observation: US voters have elected three members of Congress to serve as their president: Garfield, Harding, and Kennedy. None lived to complete his term with two being assassinated. While Harding had what most historians agree as the most corrupt presidency ever. History does not suggest that either McCain or Obama will offer great leadership and, therefore, will serve only one term.

Numero cinco:

Slight advantage McCain. Military background is important to Hispanic voters. At least where I live. Obama might have had a slight chance to win Texas and seal the deal if Hispanics came out with the same fervor as blacks for Obama. But they will not.

As an aside and something fairly strange. I get the feeling Hispanic voters have a... dont know quite how to put it...

"Why dont we get as much minority representation as Blacks."
There is some tension. The governor of New Mexico came out for Obama very early to try and smooth this over but it will not work imo.