3/21: FGNO (3rd-12th; Bayou-Bluegrass P5); Turfway (8th-13th)

[Kasept]

FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Direct Strike 3-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Tiernanogue 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Double Entendre 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Marauder 3-1 WON ($9.80)


4th: MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 This Is Your Time 6-1: Half to Sconsin working sharp for return.. 2nd
Best Value: ##7 Hot Days Ahead 8-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Arabian Power 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Great Moment Late SCR


5th: LA-OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Autie 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Dapper Moon 7-2 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #11 Bandido Deal 6-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Achromedoutcat 9-2 2nd


P4 Grid:

2: 2 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
3: 4-8 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
4: 6-7 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)
5: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)
All A's: 1x2x2x2 = $8 ($4 for .50)
Backup (CAAA): 1x2x2x2 = 8 x .50 = $4 (1 in 2nd)


6th: Tom Benson Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 For Love and Honor 5-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Way to Be Marie 3-1 WON ($4.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Ready for Shirl 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Sophie's Cruiser 10-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Range Goat Late SCR
Next Best: #1 Chianti Town 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Bearister 15-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Impractical 15-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

4: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3-4 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
7: 1-5/SCR-8 (A), 2-4-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $24


8th: LA-Costa Rising, 3+, 5.5f-T (All STK P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Monsieur Candy 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Chad's Flashy Ways 20-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Strong Promise 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Nine Part 3-1 WON ($3.40)


9th: New Orleans Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (Crescent P6, Bayou-Bluegrass P5, All STK P4, P3, DD)

SCR #3 Accelerize who runs in the Essex at Oaklawn..

Most Likely: #4 Life and Times 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Touchuponastar 6-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Corporate Power 8-1 2nd


Bayou-Bluegrass P5 Grid:

FG 9: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
TP 11: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
FG 11: 5 (A), 2 (B), 6 (C)
TP 12: 1-2-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
FG 12: 3-7 (A), 9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x3 = $108
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = $36
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x1x3x2 = $36 (6 in FG 11th)


10th: Muniz Memorial Classic (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Montador 7-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Lagynos 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #7 Program Trading 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #1 Chasing the Crown 12-1 4th


P4 Grid:

7: 1-5/SCR (A), 2-8 (B), - (C)
8: 5-8 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-4 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-7 in 10th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (5,9/1,13/2,3/4) Paid $28.80


11th: Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Bella Ballerina 7-5: Eked out Rachel win; Better now? Probably.. 2nd
Best Value: #2 Newtown Pike 8-1: The right price here; Improving with every start.. 4th
Next Best: #6 Life of Joy 4-1: Sneaky danger from Cox ~ and coincidentally, my name in Hebrew.. WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Luv Your Neighbor 7-2: Feels likely to regress from last.. 3rd


12th: 114th Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Chip Honcho 3-1: Just nailed by Paladin; Must turn back Chad again.. 5th
Next Best: #9 Emerging Market 6-1: Smashing in TAM debut; Immediately targeted this.. WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #7 Blacksmith 6-1: Close to imposing stablemate Cherokee Nation 2 back.. 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Golden Tempo 7-2: Cherie's Curlin colt compromised by speed track.. 3rd


All Stakes P5 Grid:

8: 5-8 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-4 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)
11: 5 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
12: 3-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-7 in 10th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[Kasept]

TURFWAY PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (All STK P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 J J Grey 4-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Tartabull 12-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Trendsetter 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Steel Imperium 7-2 2nd


9th: Animal Kingdom, 3yo, 6f (All STK P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Hometown Bound 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Gnome 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Outfielder 2-1 WON ($3.04)
Exotics Use: #6 Mom's Spaghetti 20-1 4th


10th: KY Cup Classic (G3), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Utah Beach 6-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Mercante 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Honor Marie 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Wadsworth 3-1 5th


11th: Bourbonette Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Bless Her 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Scratch It 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Resist 12-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Lovely Grey 6-1 2nd


12th: Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Turf Star 10-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Fulleffort 7-2 WON ($5.82)
Exotics Use: #11 Stark Contrast 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Chaos Agent 10-1 DNF-Pulled Up, Walked off
Hi-5 Play: #6 Medici 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

8: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-7 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
11: 5-8 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
12: 1-2-11 (A), - (B), 6-8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (6-8-12 in 12th)


P4 Grid:

9: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-7 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
11: 5-8 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
12: 1-2-11 (A), - (B), 6-8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (6-8-12 in 12th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[Kasept]

FG SCR/CHG'S

[moses]

Good luck Steve.

I like this horse Easterly in the LA Derby. I’ll be basing some exacta and trifecta bets around him.