My Eclipse Ballot.. (Updated with Winners, Voting)

[Kasept]

A few very difficult calls, including some that I hadn't anticipated being that involved (like 2yo male)..

Two-Year-Old Male: 1st - American Pharoah, 2nd - Texas Red, 3rd - Hootenany
Two-Year-Old Filly: 1st - Lady Eli, 2nd - Take Charge Brandi , 3rd - Sunset Glow

Three-Year-Old Male: : 1st - Bayern, 2nd - California Chrome, 3rd - Shared Belief
Three-Year-Old Filly: 1st - Untapable, 2nd - Sweet Reason , 3rd - Lexie Lou

Older Male: 1st - Palace Malice , 2nd - Goldencents, 3rd - Imperative
Older Female: 1st - Close Hatches, 2nd - Don't Tell Sophia, 3rd - Iotapa

Male Sprinter: 1st - Work All Week, 2nd - Private Zone, 3rd - Palace
Female Sprinter: 1st - Judy the Beauty, 2nd - Artemis Agrotera, 3rd - Better Lucky

Male Turf Horse: 1st - Main Sequence, 2nd - Wise Dan , 3rd - Kaigun
Female Turf Horse: 1st - Dayatthespa, 2nd - La Tia, 3rd - Stephanie's Kitten
Steeplechase Horse: 1st - Demonstrative, 2nd - Divine Fortune, 3rd - Makari

Owner: 1st - Kaleem Shah, 2nd - Kenneth L. and Sarah K. Ramsey, 3rd - Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC
Breeder: 1st - Winchell Thoroughbreds LLC, 2nd - Kenneth L. and Sarah K. Ramsey, 3rd - Chester & Mary Broman
Trainer: 1st - Todd Pletcher, 2nd - Chad Brown , 3rd - Wesley Ward

Jockey: 1st - Javier Castellano, 2nd - Victor Espinoza, 3rd - Joel Rosario
Apprentice Jockey: 1st - Drayden Van Dyke, 2nd - Taylor Rice, 3rd - Juan Saez

Horse of the Year: 1st - Bayern, 2nd - California Chrome, 3rd - Untapable

[senator L]

Not into these awards that much as it really only matters
to those in ownership. I do think that California Chrome is
3 year old male champion and Bayern is HOY. IMO it all comes
down to the races that they won. Chrome won the most prestigious
races for 3 year old's and Bayern won the year end championship race.
Wise Dan still gets the turf vote for me as he is reigning champion.
Why didn't Main Sequence shorten up and go after Wise Dan?
Seems that is what Dan is always hearing.

[blackthroatedwind]

I'm curious as to how you think Todd should even be a finalist for the trainer Eclipse, much less the winner. In all seriousness, I thought he had a poor year all things considered. Certainly one's stock has to be taken into account. No?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by senator L

Not into these awards that much as it really only matters to those in ownership. I do think that California Chrome is
3 year old male champion and Bayern is HOY. IMO it all comes
down to the races that they won. Chrome won the most prestigious
races for 3 year old's and Bayern won the year end championship race.
Wise Dan still gets the turf vote for me as he is reigning champion.
Why didn't Main Sequence shorten up and go after Wise Dan?
Seems that is what Dan is always hearing.

The 3yo/HOY aspect is very difficult. I had made the CalChrome as 3yo/Bayern as HOY case extensively too, but couldn't split the baby when it came down to it. Bayern did far more than just win the year-end championship race. He had a fully realized and complete season. Winning at 7f/9f/10f is a major accomplishment and he traveled extensively to do it. California Chrome had the purest "3yo Classic" season, but the 2nd half of year fell just short enough to leave the door open in my mind. And then there's Shared Belief.

A rather unique and remarkable season for the sophs all the way around as it turned out.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I'm curious as to how you think Todd should even be a finalist for the trainer Eclipse, much less the winner. In all seriousness, I thought he had a poor year all things considered. Certainly one's stock has to be taken into account. No?

Don't disagree. I typically have looked for alternative options, like Dale Romans 2 years ago, but the stats were tough to look past with Pletcher. I didn't have a mojo trainer that fit the bill. Here's a Stakes, Wins, Earnings standings page. What do you do? http://www1.drf.com/static/eclipseaw...seTrainers.htm

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Don't disagree. I typically have looked for alternative options, like Dale Romans 2 years ago, but the stats were tough to look past with Pletcher. I didn't have a mojo trainer that fit the bill. Here's a Stakes, Wins, Earnings standings page. What do you do? http://www1.drf.com/static/eclipseaw...seTrainers.htm

I give it to a lot of trainers before Todd. Numbers don't do it for me given his numbers going in.

If you look at the season as a whole, it's not pretty.

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by senator L

Not into these awards that much as it really only matters
to those in ownership. I do think that California Chrome is
3 year old male champion and Bayern is HOY. IMO it all comes
down to the races that they won. Chrome won the most prestigious
races for 3 year old's and Bayern won the year end championship race.
Wise Dan still gets the turf vote for me as he is reigning champion.
Why didn't Main Sequence shorten up and go after Wise Dan?
Seems that is what Dan is always hearing.

I honestly don't think any case whatsoever can be made for Wise Dan to win the Eclipse.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by senator L

Wise Dan still gets the turf vote for me as he is reigning champion. Why didn't Main Sequence shorten up and go after Wise Dan? Seems that is what Dan is always hearing.

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I honestly don't think any case whatsoever can be made for Wise Dan to win the Eclipse.

Bob..

Didn't address the turf question, but Nick's is right: it's not close. Wise Dan coming back after the colic was a great story, but Main Sequence sweeping nearly all the traditional American turf route tests bears scrutiny. He's a deceptive horse in that his style and margins of victory fueled his critics as he built his resume, but the results are inarguable.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I give it to a lot of trainers before Todd. Numbers don't do it for me given his numbers going in.

If you look at the season as a whole, it's not pretty.

Believe me, I get it. I've taken that tack in each of the years I've voted. I thought he had a 'down' year going in to the results but was actually surprised his cumulatives were as good as they were.

Here's the GSW's..

2014 Metropolitan Handicap (Gr. 1) Palace Malice
2014 Arkansas Derby (Gr. 1) Danza
2014 Besilu Florida Derby (Gr. 1) Constitution
2014 Alabama Stakes (Gr. 1) Stopchargingmaria
2014 Champagne Stakes (Gr. 1) Daredevil
2014 Claiborne Breeders' Futurity (Gr. 1) Carpe Diem
2014 Hopeful Stakes (Gr. 1) Competitive Edge
2014 Chandelier Stakes (Gr. 1) Angela Renee
2014 TVG Coaching Club American Oaks (Gr. 1) Stopchargingmaria
2014 Black-Eyed Susan Stakes (Gr. 2) Stopchargingmaria
2014 Risen Star Stakes (Gr. 2) Intense Holiday
2014 New Orleans Handicap (Gr. 2) Palace Malice
2014 Gulfstream Oaks (Gr. 2) In Tune
2014 Gazelle Stakes (Gr. 2) My Miss Sophia
2014 Dixiana Elkhorn Stakes (Gr. 2) Unitarian
2014 Nashua Stakes (Gr. 2) Blofeld
2014 Hawthorne Gold Cup Handicap (Gr. 2) Red Rifle
2014 Gulfstream Park Handicap (Gr. 2) Palace Malice
2014 Molly Pitcher Stakes (Gr. 2) Majestic River
2014 Top Flight Handicap (Gr. 2) Teen Pauline
2014 Futurity Stakes (Gr. 2) Blofeld
2014 Davona Dale Stakes (Gr. 2) Onlyforyou
2014 Forward Gal Stakes (Gr. 2) Onlyforyou
2014 Horseshoe Casino Cincinnati Spiral Stakes (Gr. 3) We Miss Artie
2014 Poker Stakes (Gr. 3) Jack Milton
2014 Smarty Jones Stakes (Gr. 3) Protonico
2014 Pimlico Special Stakes (Gr. 3) Revolutionary
2014 Schuylerville Stakes (Gr. 3) Fashion Alert
2014 Sam F. Davis Stakes (Gr. 3) Vinceremos
2014 American Derby (Gr. 3) Divine Oath
2014 Turnback the Alarm Handicap (Gr. 3) Dame Dorothy
2014 Razorback Handicap (Gr. 3) Golden Lad
2014 Discovery Handicap (Gr. 3) Protonico
2014 Kent Stakes (Gr. 3) Divine Oath
2014 Palm Beach Stakes (Gr. 3) Gala Award
2014 Westchester Stakes (Gr. 3) Palace Malice
2014 Cliff Hanger Stakes (Gr. 3) Winning Cause
2014 W. L. McKnight Handicap (Gr. 3) Divine Oath
2014 Old Hat Stakes (Gr. 3) Sweet Whiskey
2014 Skip Away Stakes (Gr. 3) Micromanage

[blackthroatedwind]

The number of horses who never won again after the listed race is positively scary.

[cakes44]

Thanks for putting your list out there. Only one I really have issues with is Lady Eli over TCB.

[Kasept]

Here are the year end (thru 12/29) horse category PP's for everyone's enjoyment: http://static.drf.com/eclipse/pdf/eclipse-pps.pdf

[Arletta]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

The number of horses who never won again after the listed race is positively scary.

At least he is able to get them their ever elusive Graded win for their breeding resumes.

[Bogey]

Steve, your ballot is spot on. I hope others come up with similar selections.

[turf fan]

Steve,
Thanks for your support for Dayatthespa! It would be fantastic to win!
I'm rooting for Chad to get his Eclipse this year. Second in earnings plus three BC wins should give him a legitimate chance. Pletcher is so dominant, but based on percentages and his big day at Santa Anita, Chad should secure a lot of votes.

[Thoroughbred Fan]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Don't disagree. I typically have looked for alternative options, like Dale Romans 2 years ago, but the stats were tough to look past with Pletcher. I didn't have a mojo trainer that fit the bill. Here's a Stakes, Wins, Earnings standings page. What do you do? http://www1.drf.com/static/eclipseaw...seTrainers.htm

Maybe Baffert? Same number of G1 Wins with less than half the starters. Bob gets good horses, but not nearly like Todd.

Crazy part with Todd is he gets twice as many horses as it looks like. He cuts the roster 25% before they leave the 2yo training facility and another 25% after their first start. He is dealing from a stacked deck with respect to these year end stats.

Tough for you as a voter.

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

I honestly don't think any case whatsoever can be made for Wise Dan to win the Eclipse.

What about a sentimental case?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Arletta

At least he is able to get them their ever elusive Graded win for their breeding resumes.

That's the point Andy is making because the GSW's aren't all that elusive when you're getting a phalanx of the most expensive, 'success-eligible' horses every crop. And it's the great conundrum with Pletcher as his 'program' may be good for a certain number of clients, but very bad for the game overall. I broached this a bit with Pletcher in his last visit of the year when we talked for 25 minutes and if you listen closely you hear exactly how he approaches each year with Gulfstream as the concentration for assaults on the Classics and Saratoga as a 2nd half focus to get the 2yo's going and relaunch any horses that took time after the spring.

The 80/20 rule is universal, but it's even worse in racing right now with 15% of trainers winning 85% of the stake money. It's a terrible construct.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by Bogey

Steve, your ballot is spot on. I hope others come up with similar selections.

THX Cookie.. Jon White wrote that he thinks California Chrome will carry the day for 3yo and HOY. Part of the HOY vote scenario that's intriguing is the Main Sequence block. Would think those leaning there are anti-Bayern voters and help California Chrome's chances. Very unusual year..

[saratogadew]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I'm curious as to how you think Todd should even be a finalist for the trainer Eclipse, much less the winner. In all seriousness, I thought he had a poor year all things considered. Certainly one's stock has to be taken into account. No?

This is an age old argument that never really has a correct answer. For coach of the year in the 4 major sports. Do you give it to the guy with the most talented team that wins the championship? Or do you give it to the coach that has far less talent but has a good season? Voting for a Bill Belichick type is not a sexy vote, but is sometimes correct.