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Old 05-25-2019, 03:51 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,616
Default 5/25: BEL (6th-10th); MTH (9th-11th; X-C P5); CD (7th-11th)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (NYRA Bets P5, P3, DD)

Tricky start to NYRA Bets P5 with pairs from Abreu & Ward and 4 dropping in from stakes company (4-5-6-7)..

Best Value: #2 Mentality 6-1 WON ($7.90)
Next Best: #4 Chelsea Cloisters 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Stellar Agent 9-5 4th
Super Add: #7 Positive Skew 7-2 5th


7th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

This bunch is a headache..

Most Likely: #3 Fight Night 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Riot 12-1 10th
Exotics Use: #7 Happy Music 12-1 8th
Super Add: #1 Fetching 8-1 WON ($26.20)


8th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Good for Ralph Evans to send some former Violette trainees to Pat Kelly. Tossup, out of stakes mare Spritely, looks set for 3yo debut, but Bank Examiner and Doll were 2-3 behind nice Newly Minted and pose serious challenges. Doll appears to have a pace edge. Timely debut for Ratajkowski with namesake Emily having been on Tonight Show Friday..

Most Likely: #3 Tossup 5-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Doll 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Bank Examiner 3-1 WON ($9.50)
Super Add: #8 Ratajkowski 6-1 3rd


MONMOUTH PARK ~ X-C P5


PRE-SCRATCHES


9th: Salvator Mile (G3), 3+, 1m (X-C P5 Leg A, P5, P3, DD)

Hard to figure edition of this standard with adjustments being made from one turns (Sunny Ridge, Hoffenheim, Bal Harbour, California Night) and 3 turn (Diamond King, Nanoosh) tries.

Best Value: #8 Bal Harbour 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Diamond King 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Sunny Ridge 2-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #6 Hoffenheim 10-1 4th


10th: (X-C P5 Leg B)

Best Value: #1 Party On Prospect 9-2 7th
Next Best: #9 Optic Way 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Smithwick's Spice 5-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Visionary Ruler 3-1 6th


11th: Monmouth S. (G2), 3+, 9f-T (X-C P5 Leg C, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Almanaar 3-1 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #7 Synchrony 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Irish Strait 9-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Projected 5-1 7th


9th: Paradise Creek, 3yo, 7f-T (X-C P5 Leg D, DD)

Mucho debuts on turf and a number of others switch back to lawn while 2-for-2 Fog of War makes 3yo debut for Brant/Brown. Pulsate (10-1) & Pole Setter (9-2) started careers on green and look live..

Most Likely: #4 Pole Setter 9-2 WON ($10.80)
Best Value: #5 Pulsate 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Fog of War 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Uncapped 8-1 6th


10th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-IT (X-C P5 Leg E)

Very difficult end to all the multis..

Best Value: #4 End Play 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Final Frontier 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Commute 12-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Spring to the Sky 20-1 9th


X-C P5 Grid:

MTH 9: 3-8 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)
MTH 10: 1-9 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
MTH 11: 2 (A), 7 (B), 5-8 (C)
BEL 9: 2-4-5 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
BEL 10: 4-7-8 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x5x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P5 Grid:

6: 2-4 (A), 6 (B), 1-7 (C)
7: 3-4 (A), - (B), 1-7-13 (C)
8: 3 (A), 5-7 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
10: 4-7-8 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x3x3 = 162 x .50 = $81
All A's: 2x2x1x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 3-4 (A), - (B), 1-5-7 (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 5 (B), 1-8 (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), 7-8 (B), - (C)
10: 4-7-8 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: MSW, 3+, 9f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Oxburger 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Trinity 2-1 5th
Best Value: #9 World Tax War 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Green Fleet 5-1 8th


8th: OC/N3L, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Peruvian Appeal 5-1 WON ($8.40)
Best Value: #1 Best Kept Secret 12-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Catherinethegreat 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Istan Council 9-2 2nd


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Maid to Remember 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Fiber Optic 8-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Rockin Ready 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Bridled Temper 5-1 6th


10th: Winning Colors (G3), F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #8 Astrollinthepark 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 She's a Gypsy 12-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Awestruck 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Honey Bunny 12-1 WON ($8.80)


11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Super Tap 10-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Sugar Love 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Ria Munk 6-1 4th
Super Add: #12 Sally's Curlin 6-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Temperit 4-1 7th


P5 Grid:

7: 4-5 (A), 9 (B), 2-6 (C)
8: 1-7-9 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C)
9: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), 9-11 (B), - (C)
11: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

8: 1-7-9 (A), 4-5-6 (B), 2-3-8 (C)
9: 2-5-7 (A), - (B), 1-10 (C)
10: 5-8 (A), 9-11 (B), - (C)
11: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-6-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 05-25-2019 at 07:05 PM.
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  #2  
Old 05-25-2019, 10:10 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,616
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BEL SCR/CHG'S

CD SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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