7/19: Saratoga (Day 7; Lake George)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MCLM/$25k, 3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

SCR #6 Lorcan who ran as a MTO Thursday..

Most Likely: #5 Bourbon Mission 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Next Best: #3 Legion Storm 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Therisastormbrewin 8-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Ridolfo 12-1 4th


2nd: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Messy affair..

Best Value: #5 Queen Kahen 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Carrizo 8-5 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #4 Bronco Sally 9-2 6th
Super Add: #2 Movie Score 20-1 3rd


3rd: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Favored Doll obviously the filly to beat, but Finger Lakes invader Tax Me Naught is bred top/bottom for lawn, totes zippy drills across the thruway and race 2 back fits well here..

Most Likely: #5 Doll 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Tax Me Naught 30-1 11th
Next Best: #10 Tatterazzi 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Paradiso 10-1 10th


4th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Shareholder Value 7-5 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #1 Javelin 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Sir Ballantine 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Bolita Boyz 6-1 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Secret Kisses 4-1 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #6 Finite 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Kiawah Sunset 5-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Mrs. Danvers 7-2 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 3-5 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
2: 4-5-6 (A), 1-2-3-7 (B), - (C)
3: 5-9 (A), 10 (B), - (C)
4: 3 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
5: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), 3-4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x7x3x1x3 = 126 x .50 = $63
All A's: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 4-5-6 (A), 1-2-3-7 (B), - (C)
3: 5-9 (A), 10 (B), - (C)
4: 3 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
5: 2-6-7-8 (A), 1-4 (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 7x3x1x6 = 126 x .50 = $63
All A's: 3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Wildly competitive group that should go an honest lick up front. Plethora of price players to tinker with..

Best Value: #3 Red Right Hand 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Rhode Island 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Whiskey Is My Wine 10-1 [color="red"][DH-4th/COLOR]
Super Add: #5 Herecomesyourman 8-1 7th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 11f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Another well-matched set going long on the grass. Don't know if 15-1 sticks, but put a line through the 5/26 off turf run of Neepawa and note April KEE placement which is as good an effort as is on display in the PP's of this event..

Best Value: #4 Neepawa 15-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Pillar Mountain 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Midnight Tea Time 10-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Sentry 6-1 4th


8th: OC/N3X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Nice! A premium quality sprint which features 4yo debuts of Seven Trumpets SCR & Engage, 2nd and 4th in the Jerkens last year. Jersey ace Bennie Perkins Jr. (Delaware Township; Wildcat Heir, et al..) shows up with Speightsford whose last was an eyepopper. Wire threat in group without too many other early pace players..

Most Likely: #5 Speightsford 8-1 5th
Best Value: #6 He Hate Me 10-1 WON ($8.10)
Next Best: #2 Engage 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Bon Raison 5-1 2nd


9th: 24th Lake George (G3), 3yo-F, 1m-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Blowout 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Regal Glory 7-2 WON ($6.60)


10th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f

Most Likely: #5 Final Say 7-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Known But to God 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #10 Dark Storm 15-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Super Silver 12-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

6: 3-9-10 (A), - (B), 5-7-8 (C)
7: 4-9 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
8: 5-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-7 (C)
9: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5 (A), 8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 4-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-6 (A), 2-3-7 (B), 1-4 (C)
9: 1-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x3x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S