5 star lock....of the week

RHT2004 · #1 02-19-2019, 02:05 PM

Thursday, Gulfstream Race 4
#3 Fast Talking. 8-1ml is a pipe dream. Im guessing 5-2.

knickslions2 · #2 02-19-2019, 02:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Thursday, Gulfstream Race 4
#3 Fast Talking. 8-1ml is a pipe dream. Im guessing 5-2.

You’ll get way better then 5-2. It will be closer to 8-1 then 5-2.

RHT2004 · #3 02-19-2019, 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2

You’ll get way better then 5-2. It will be closer to 8-1 then 5-2.

No shot.

knickslions2 · #4 02-19-2019, 02:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004

No shot.

If no one scratches the 1,2, 5, and 6 will be lower then that horse. Be happy if you like him you’ll get paid if he wins.

RHT2004 · #5 02-19-2019, 02:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2

If no one scratches the 1,2, 5, and 6 will be lower then that horse. Be happy if you like him you’ll get paid if he wins.

I dont see it. Its Shug and Ortiz always bet. Plus the speed in an overall weak field.

blackthroatedwind · #6 02-19-2019, 05:12 PM

He's the speed, but unless he has a strong workout report, I don't see how he's 5:2. 8:1 is silly but 4:1 doesn't seem impossible without scratches. He's not really that appealing on paper, save his pace advantage.

Is there some story out about him?

RHT2004 · #7 02-19-2019, 05:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

He's the speed, but unless he has a strong workout report, I don't see how he's 5:2. 8:1 is silly but 4:1 doesn't seem impossible without scratches. He's not really that appealing on paper, save his pace advantage.

Is there some story out about him?

No story that i know of. The 2/5 and 2/16 works look good to me though.

casp0555 · #8 02-19-2019, 05:19 PM

both outside runners first time blinks, if Jose can get the jump on the 1 and hold position on the rail, maybe the 5/6 slug it out....that Tapit will be tough, I think a 3,4 exacta box is my play barring any scratches
good luck

RHT2004 · #9 02-19-2019, 05:26 PM

The 5 hasn't really done much running and he feels like the one who will be overbet to me. Botero who beat him last time was going 1st time Mott from Baffert. He ran OK that day, but then bombed stretching out. Not much horse IMO.

knickslions2 · #10 02-19-2019, 07:18 PM

6-1 7-1 at best

blackthroatedwind · #11 02-19-2019, 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2

6-1 7-1 at best

It's a six horse field with one horse with no chance. He cannot possibly be that high.

RHT2004 · #12 02-19-2019, 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2

6-1 7-1 at best

No freaking shot. If he's 6-1, he probably cant win. At worst Andy is right and its somewhere in the middle. But he is much more likely to be bet 5-2 then 6-1.

RHT2004 · #13 02-19-2019, 08:07 PM

Ill go a step further if he's 6-1 at any point in the betting he's no longer a lock. This is the type that shows in the double, opens at 8-5, nd eventually goes off around 5-2.

RHT2004 · #14 02-19-2019, 08:10 PM

Ill throw out another horse im interested im on Thursday.
Aqu 8th.
Storm Prophet. Obviously would need a fair track, but he feels very dangerous at a decent price. I love the way Maragh is riding....

blackthroatedwind · #15 02-19-2019, 08:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Ill go a step further if he's 6-1 at any point in the betting he's no longer a lock. This is the type that shows in the double, opens at 8-5, nd eventually goes off around 5-2.

I agree about the 6:1 and having no shot. He's not winning at over 9:2 and is unlikely to even be that high.

blackthroatedwind · #16 02-19-2019, 08:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Ill throw out another horse im interested im on Thursday.
Aqu 8th.
Storm Prophet. Obviously would need a fair track, but he feels very dangerous at a decent price. I love the way Maragh is riding....

He's live but that's a very hard race. Probably the most interesting race we have run in a while ( no need for the obvious easy jokes

).