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  #1  
Old 08-20-2022, 04:56 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,613
Default 8/20: Saratoga (Alabama Day)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Fioki's Flight 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Sebaray 7-2 WON ($13.60)
Best Value: #3 Billy Price 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Pistol Or Shotgun 5-1 7th


2nd: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Holiday Jazz 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Spooky Ranch 3-1 WON ($5.10)
Exotics Use: #6 U Can't Handle This 3-1 5th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Favorite Outlaw 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Ryan's Cat 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Peaceful Waters 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Risk Profile 6-1 3rd


4th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Road to Remember 5-1 WON ($5.90)
Next Best: #5 Shinful 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 My Cara Mia Mine 3-1 4th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Coach Petro 3-1 DH-3rd
Next Best: #6 Activist Investing 5-2 DH-3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Conversing 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Rarified Flair 4-1 WON ($11.20)


P5 Grid:

1: 2-4 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
2: 1-4 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
3: 2-4 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
4: 1-5 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: $16 (1-3 in 3rd/A-A-C-A-A); $16 (2-5 in 5th/A-A-A-A-C)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 2-4 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
4: 1-5 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (2-5 in 5th/A-A-A-C)


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Repole entry 1-1 WON ($3.70)/9th
Next Best: #6 Dangerous Edge 9-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Rhymes Like Dimes 6-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Blitz to Win 6-1 5th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Word has been out for weeks that Echo Again is a terror. Expect him to bet heavily..

Most Likely: #5 Echo Again 9-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #2 Good News Rocket 8-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Expected Value 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Bat Flip 6-1 4th


8th: Lake Placid (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 With the Moonlight 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Eminent Victor 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Haughty 9-2 WON ($13.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Dolce Zel 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

4: 1-5 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
5: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)
6: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), - (B), 4-5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x1x1x2 = 16 x $3 = $48
All A's: 2x2x1x1x2 = 8 x $3 = $24
Backups: $8 (2-5 in 5th/A-C-A-A-A); $12 (4-5-6 in 8th/A-A-A-A-C)


P4 Grid:

5: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-5 (C)
6: 1 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), 4-5-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x1x5 = 10 x $2.50 = $25
All A's: 2x1x1x2 = 4 x $5 = $20
Backups: $4 (2-5 in 5th/C-A-A-A)


9th: Smart N Fancy, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Change of Control 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Illegal Smile 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Miss J McKay 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Too Sexy 5-1 7th


10th: Alabama (G1), 3yo-F, 10f (DD)

Case can be made that Nest is due for a regression, but as mentioned yesterday on ATR, hard to argue that she was born for this particular opportunity at the classic distance..

Most Likely: #4 Nest 1-2 WON ($2.70)
Next Best: #3 Gerrymander 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Secret Oath 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #2 Goddess of Fire 20-1 3rd


11th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-Inner

Trying Sonic Speed again after adventurous trip opening week..

Best Value: #10 Sonic Speed 15-1 4th
Next Best: 7 Aviano 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Wicked Fast 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #3 K P All Systems Go 20-1 5th


P5 Grid:

7: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-6-7 (A), 3-4-5-8 (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C)
11: 4-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x7x2x3 = $84 ($42 for .50)
All A's: 1x2x3x1x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 1x2x3x1x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-6-7 (A), 3-4-5-8 (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), 3 (B), 7 (C)
11: 4-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x7x2x3 = 84 x .50 = $42
All A's: 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x3x1x3 = 18 x .50 = $9



MONMOUTH


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: Phillip Iselin (G3), 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Riden With Biden 8-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Highly Motivated 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Forza Di Oro 8-5 6th



DEL MAR


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: Del Mar Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Bellabel 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #11 Spendarella 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #3 Island of Love 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Cairo Memories 3-1 3rd


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 08-21-2022 at 03:38 AM.
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  #2  
Old 08-20-2022, 08:41 AM
ontheoutside ontheoutside is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 964
Default steve

change your number steve in pk 5 today you got 11 in your grid, i think the horse you like is the 10 good luck
scotty[famous lunch] and i found a place monday night, milanos in latham,very good would reccomend
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  #3  
Old 08-20-2022, 09:57 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,613
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #4  
Old 08-20-2022, 05:13 PM
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fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,851
Default

Sonic Speed becomes a double play back next time out. Stymied the entire stretch and once free was full of run. Too bad, Prat got to the rail from out there so smoothly...
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Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
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  #5  
Old 08-20-2022, 05:33 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
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Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
Sonic Speed becomes a double play back next time out. Stymied the entire stretch and once free was full of run. Too bad, Prat got to the rail from out there so smoothly...
Prat heard I needed him in the pick 5….
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