9/5 (CD): Derby Trail Probables ~ 11 for Preakness with Swiss

[Dahoss]

I’m laughing again

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

They are playing the game that the Kentucky Derby is the only race that matters. Of course, if he does win the Derby he will almost assuredly retire at year's end after 1 or 2 more starts. When you think about what racing would be like if every participant in the sport campaigned their top horses in this way, you realize that it doesn't take a pandemic to create spectator-less racing...

Meanwhile, to your other point, Maxfield has not breezed back since his Matt Winn comeback, which is going on 17 days now. He breezed back from each of his two baby races within 2 weeks. He had to have surgery after only those 2 starts. Maybe the real story is that his quest towards the Kentucky Derby is less assured than we realize.

You’re probably on to something with why they are really not running in the Belmont.

I just read they plan to breeze in the next few days “depending on the weather.” And that he’s “been doing great since he ran, just super,” according to Walsh.

I wish reporters could actually ask trainers questions like why hasn’t he breezed in 17 days if he’s doing super, but that’s a whole other conversation.

If he’s really doing super and they are purposely avoiding a triple crown race where he’s second choice at worst...it makes no sense. Especially with a horse who has made 3 lifetime starts midway through his 3 year old season.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

You’re probably on to something with why they are really not running in the Belmont.

I just read they plan to breeze in the next few days “depending on the weather.” And that he’s “been doing great since he ran, just super,” according to Walsh.

I wish reporters could actually ask trainers questions like why hasn’t he breezed in 17 days if he’s doing super, but that’s a whole other conversation.

If he’s really doing super and they are purposely avoiding a triple crown race where he’s second choice at worst...it makes no sense. Especially with a horse who has made 3 lifetime starts midway through his 3 year old season.

Hearing that Maxfield is out.

[robfla]

Originally Posted by moses

Hearing that Maxfield is out.

non-life-threatening condylar fracture of his right front cannon bone

https://twitter.com/DRFMcGee/status/1270717152471838722

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

Hearing that Maxfield is out.

Marty McGee ~ @DRFMcGee: Maxfield is OUT of the #KyDerby after suffering a non-life-threatening condylar fracture of his right front cannon bone following a breeze at #Keeneland, per @brenpwalsh and Jimmy Bell of @godolphin. Colt to undergo surgery with Dr. Larry Bramlage today. Walsh: "Devastating."

[Dahoss]

Hmmm...

[Kasept]

And, Wells Bayou out with bone bruising..

[knickslions2]

Dropping like flies. That Gulfstream 9th race today may have at least three in derby now

[Alabama Stakes]

They should call it the Wood at Belmont, and make the Belmont later in the year.

[cakes44]

Originally Posted by Kasept

6/20 (BEL): Belmont Stakes (9f) 150-60-30-15

Tiz the Law (Tagg)
Tap It to Win (Casse
Sole Volante (Biancone)
Basin (Asmussen)
Farmington Road (Pletcher)
Dr. Post (Pletcher)
Max Player (Rice)
Modernist (Mott)

Will be interesting if Sole Volante will run back next weekend after running today. He looked good, not great. Not a bunch of killers in this group other than Tiz the Law though.

[gamblin4ever]

Hope Max Player runs well.
Has Linda Rice ever had a horse run in the triple crown?

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by gamblin4ever

Hope Max Player runs well.
Has Linda Rice ever had a horse run in the triple crown?

Kid Cruz, 2014 Preakness

[Kasept]

BELMONT STAKES

Tiz the Law (Manny Franco/Barclay Tagg)
Sole Volante (Luca Panici/Patrick Biancone)
Dr Post (Irad Ortiz Jr./Todd Pletcher)
Farmington Road (Javier Castellano/Todd Pletcher)
Max Player (Joel Rosario/Linda Rice)
Tap It to Win (John Velazquez/Mark Casse)
Pneumatic (Ricardo Santana Jr./Steve Asmussen)
Jungle Runner (Reylu Gutierrez/Steve Asmussen)
Modernist (Junior Alvarado/Bill Mott)
Fore Left (Jose Ortiz/Doug O'Neill)

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Modernist (Bill Mott)

Why is a horse like Modernist, a well-bred major winner in seemingly good form based on a strong workout at Belmont still on the fence for this race?

Is the owner holding out for an appearance fee or something?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

Why is a horse like Modernist, a well-bred major winner in seemingly good form based on a strong workout at Belmont still on the fence for this race?

Is the owner holding out for an appearance fee or something?

Was a strange quote from Mott.. "Thinking Ohio Derby but he worked so well.."

[moses]

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi

Why is a horse like Modernist, a well-bred major winner in seemingly good form based on a strong workout at Belmont still on the fence for this race?

Is the owner holding out for an appearance fee or something?

It makes little sense. I’m confused why a $1 million 9 furlong race has only drawn 8 entries.

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Was a strange quote from Mott.. "Thinking Ohio Derby but he worked so well.."

Well at least there's a plausible alternative (that only made sense a couple weeks ago when the Belmont was loaded) as opposed to waiting for races 5 weeks down the road (Blue Grass, Haskell).

Not that I advocate or worry about these things, but if Modernist's connections are interested in solidifying the horse's stallion resume (and they ought to with his deep bloodlines) they wouldn't have to worry ever again if he could spring the upset on Saturday.

As far as I know, breeders, consignors, bloodstock agents, and buyers don't put an asterisks on black type from western Canada, Puerto Rico, or the Midwest so I doubt there will be one for the 2020 Belmont Stakes...

[Kasept]

Fore Left (O'Neill) added to Belmont from Woody Stephens..

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Fore Left (O'Neill) added to Belmont from Woody Stephens..

I think this is a great addition!!

[Kasept]