|
#1
|
||||
|
||||
2/18-20 (CD): Kentucky Derby Future Wager (Pool 1)
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1
1. Anthony’s Cross, 30-1 2. Astrology, 30-1 3. Brethren, 15-1 4. Clubhouse Ride, 50-1 5. Comma to the Top, 20-1 6. Decisive Moment, 50-1 7. Dialed In, 10-1 8. Gourmet Dinner, 30-1 9. Indian Winter, 50-1 10. J P’s Gusto, 20-1 11. Jaycito, 20-1 12. Machen, 30-1 13. Mucho Macho Man, 30-1 14. Rogue Romance, 30-1 15. Santiva, 30-1 16. Silver Medallion, 20-1 17. Soldat, 20-1 18. Stay Thirsty, 30-1 19. Sweet Ducky, 50-1 20. The Factor, 20-1 21. Tiz Blessed, 30-1 22. To Honor and Serve, 10-1 23. Uncle Mo, 9-2 24. Mutuel field (all others), 5-2 KDFW LIVE ODDS
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 02-19-2011 at 08:17 AM. |
#2
|
|||
|
|||
Sweet Ducky 50/1 and Dailed In 10/1 what were they like 2 lengths apart?
|
#3
|
||||
|
||||
That's a pretty accurate line on those two Freddy.
|
#4
|
||||
|
||||
Rogue Romance at 30-1 is interesting indeed
|
#5
|
||||
|
||||
Rogue Romance's morning line is irrelevant - he runs on Saturday and betting doesn't close until around mid-day Sunday.
If he wins impressively - his price will come way down. If he runs a dud he'll take almost no money in the final 24 hours of the bet. |
#6
|
||||
|
||||
Quote:
|
#7
|
||||
|
||||
Quote:
|
#8
|
||||
|
||||
Field will be 6-5 or less?
|
#9
|
|||
|
|||
I don't think it should be and it probably won't be.
|
#10
|
||||
|
||||
I actually thought that with Mo being such a strong early favorite, the field might end up around 2-1, but that's probably too high.
|
#11
|
||||
|
||||
It's never closed that low, Randall. I'm pretty sure that last year's 3-2 is the lowest ever.
--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson |
#12
|
||||
|
||||
Kentucky Derby Pool #1 PP's
|
#13
|
||||
|
||||
thanks!
|
#14
|
||||
|
||||
Of the 23....only 10 look like they have a prayer.
Strong Contender: Uncle Mo Somewhat of a contender: To Honor And Serve Silver Medallion Dialed In Marginal chance: Clubhouse Ride Mucho Macho Man (juice trainer would help) X Factor: Jaycito The Factor Machen Soldat |
#15
|
|||
|
|||
I dont think your marginal chance horses have a prayer. I dont get Silver Medallion at all. Your other 7 are all strong.
|
#16
|
||||
|
||||
Look at who trains Silver Meds. 99.8% of his horses are much, much better on dirt than turf or synthetic.
|
#17
|
|||
|
|||
I know this. I was recently reading your old posts about Rachel and how she had no chance in the Classic because of his stats on synthetic surfaces. I get all that. I just dont think the horse is much horse. He was not on my radar before and winning that race against that competition does not change my mind.
|
#18
|
|||
|
|||
Quote:
|
#19
|
||||
|
||||
He's #2 because he's not as good as Uncle Mo - and he has a very similar style of running.
The horses who thrive in the Kentucky Derby fall into two profiles: 1.) They simply prove themselves a better route horses than anyone else in the field 2.) They are horses with deep closing running styles who pick up the pieces while superior horses to them are pushing the reset button at the 5/16ths pole. (Ice Box, Pioneer of the Nile, Denis of Cork, Giacomo, and Steppenwolfer have all been in the trifecta since 2005) Steve Asmussen would be lucky if he could have got Rachel Alexandra to win an alw race on a synthetic track when she was 3. |
#20
|
|||
|
|||
Quote:
Oh, I understand why he's #2 - although I'm not conceding anything to Uncle Mo, esp. since neither horse has run at 3. I'm expecting Mo to be very good, but I also have enormous confidence in THAS. Misplaced? Who knows, lol - I've been wrong before. I've seen some polls with Dialed In on top; I love Mineshaft and I like the horse a lot, but he's always going to be at the mercy of the pace. |