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Old 01-19-2024, 05:36 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,612
Default 1/19: Santa Anita ($100k P6 C/O)

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: Cal-MSW, 4-5yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$100k P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #1 Sand to Sea 3-1: Could forget to stop.. 3rd
Next Best: #4 City of Angels 6-5: Logical, but there's no pace.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Ship and Scam 5-2: Earns checks.. WON ($6.80)


4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

SCR #1 and you might need to cover all 4 of these..

Most Likely: #2 Alternate Rock 8-5 4th
Next Best: #4 Phenom 9-5 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Stressed 9-5 3rd


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

4: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4 = 16 x $3 = $48
All A's: 2x1x4 = 8 x $3 = $24

$3 PICK THREE (4/6/1) $48.60 (A-A-A)


5th: Cal-MCLM/$50k, F&M-4-5yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Appears to go through Glatt with Eltonsingsanother logical and consistent and Jazzy Boo offering the triple whammy (Dropping down; Cutting back; Turf to dirt)..

Most Likely: #2 Eltonsingsanother 5-2 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #3 Jazzy Boo 4-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Ryder's Candy 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Warren's Paradice 5-2 3rd


6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

D'amato drops Teen Drama and reaches for Prat..

Most Likely: #6 Teen Drama 5-2 WON ($3.20)
Next Best: #4 Gritty Girl 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Yolo Calls 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 A New Peace 5-1 2nd


7th: ALW/NC, 4+, 6f (DD, $1 Golden Hour P4)

You have to believe Hopkins won't be ready off the break to go against, but worktab says go. Plus, he's lone speed if Van Dyke doesn't get aggressive with Ginobili..

Most Likely: #2 Hopkins 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #5 Ginobili 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 C Z Rocket 2-1 3rd


8th: OC/S-ALW, 4+, 6f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Vorpal 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 To Speight Her 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Neon Lights 7-2 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #4 Cribbage Board 5-2 3rd


P6 P5 Grid:

3: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
5: 2 (A), 3-6 (B), 1 (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-7 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x1x1x4 = $96
All A's: 2x4x1x1x1x4 = $32
Backup (AACAAA): 2x2x1x1x1x2 = $8 (1 in 5th)


P5 Grid:

4: 2-4 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
5: 2-3 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
6: 6 (A), - (B), 1-2-4 (C)
7: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x1x4 = 64 x .50 = $32
All A's: 2x2x1x1x4 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (AACAA): 2x2x3x1x4 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-2-4 in 6th)


P4 Grid:

5: 2-3 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
6: 4-6 (A), 1 (B), 2 (C)
7: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 2x2x1x4 = $8 ($4 for .50)
Backup (ACAA): 2x2x1x4 = 16 x .50 = $8 (2 in 6th)


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-19-2024 at 06:27 PM.
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Old 01-19-2024, 12:38 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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