Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Triple Crown Topics/Archive..
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #101  
Old 05-11-2008, 01:08 AM
the_fat_man's Avatar
the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 4,676
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Half of the dirt horses in America, KEE.
That's just not true. Some of them handled it but just didn't run well. PYRO would be one example. But, feel free to generalize.
Reply With Quote
  #102  
Old 05-11-2008, 01:14 AM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
That's just not true. Some of them handled it but just didn't run well. PYRO would be one example. But, feel free to generalize.
Oh, you mean like calling everyone who works for Churchill Downs "****ing RETARDS" because one replay didn't go up on their site?
Reply With Quote
  #103  
Old 05-11-2008, 06:34 AM
saratogabrit saratogabrit is offline
Cahokia Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 166
Default

NYRA will need to provide windows with Japanese speaking clerks-otherwise the betting on the day will go into meltdown.

I reckon there were 10,000 Japanese who went to Longchamp to see Deep Impact. Longchamp provided 2 windows for Japanese bettors. Average length of each line was 200 during the day-possibly peaking at around 500.

Combine that with a possible Triple Crown attempt by Big Brown-thousands of 1st time bettors and once a year people...plus any protestors outside or inside the track....
Reply With Quote
  #104  
Old 05-11-2008, 07:45 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,613
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
two questions; did DeSormeaux say that Casino Drive was the best horse he has ever ridden?
Desormeaux actually DID say it, tongue in cheek, but was seriously impressed after the race.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #105  
Old 05-11-2008, 08:42 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by saratogabrit
NYRA will need to provide windows with Japanese speaking clerks-otherwise the betting on the day will go into meltdown.

I reckon there were 10,000 Japanese who went to Longchamp to see Deep Impact. Longchamp provided 2 windows for Japanese bettors. Average length of each line was 200 during the day-possibly peaking at around 500.

Combine that with a possible Triple Crown attempt by Big Brown-thousands of 1st time bettors and once a year people...plus any protestors outside or inside the track....
You think 10K Japanese strong are going to make a trip halfway around the world to watch and bet on a horse who made one career start over there?

I know they tend to be pretty obsessed with the sport and love to bet - but I doubt that horse built a huge fan base with a single odds-on maiden win.

Last year's 2-year-old champion in Japan came from a juvenile sale here - and they bought up many excellent athletes at juvenile sales this year - most of which I assume will be sent over there. I guess that is what happens when the value of the American dollar tanks.

Major stallions and top horses A.P. Indy, Unbridled's Song, and Fusaichi Pegasus all had a big chance to go to Japan and race - none of which did. Tomo Tsuramaki and Fusao Sekaguchi kept A. P. Indy and Fu Peg here - probably because both were outright Keeneland July Select yearling sales toppers - where UBS was, at the time, the most expensive horse ever purchased from a 2yo in training sale - but the day after the sale they found "a flake" in his ankle and the sale was voided.
Reply With Quote
  #106  
Old 05-11-2008, 08:48 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,613
Default

There was a noticeable number of Japanese at Belmont yesterday..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #107  
Old 05-11-2008, 08:50 AM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
There was a noticeable number of Japanese at Belmont yesterday..
I think I'm turning Japanese
Reply With Quote
  #108  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:02 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
Default

I think he's right, the Japanese will come out bigtime for the Belmont. They're rabid about horse racing and love to support their own. Once on a business trip to Japan I somehow managed to find the time to visit an OTB in Tokyo. omg what a madhouse
Reply With Quote
  #109  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:05 AM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Desormeaux actually DID say it, tongue in cheek, but was seriously impressed after the race.
Early reports are he got a 101 beyer for the effort? I thought it would have been slightly higher. Still needs to improve abit to reach Big Brown and Harlem Rocker's top beyers.
Reply With Quote
  #110  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:11 AM
saratogabrit saratogabrit is offline
Cahokia Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 166
Default

I don't think that they will come over in Deep Impact numbers but I think a large number will be swayed into making the trip if the Triple Crown is on the line. If Casino Drive wins-history is made. If not they may well see a Triple Crown.
Reply With Quote
  #111  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:16 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,613
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
Early reports are he got a 101 beyer for the effort? I thought it would have been slightly higher. Still needs to improve abit to reach Big Brown and Harlem Rocker's top beyers.
Well, I'm a big figure believer/user, but the Beyers don't do the actual running.

It was Casino Drive's 2nd.. SECOND.. career start. And off a layoff. He was absolutely terrific. And should only be better in 4 weeks.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #112  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:22 AM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
I think I'm turning Japanese
http://youtube.com/watch?v=EpCcelpvkps
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #113  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:24 AM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by tiggerv
Anybody want to school me on the trainer of Casino Drive?
In addition to the info above:

The Trainer for the Japanese entry 'Kazuo Fujisawa' is currently 10th in the Trainer standings in Japan as of the end of April 2008. His strike rate is a respectable 16.2% - from 74 entries.
Reply With Quote
  #114  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:25 AM
brockguy's Avatar
brockguy brockguy is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 3,263
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
beat me to it HHH...

The Belmont could turn in to a really colourful event.. he is trying to be the first foreign trained winner of a triple crown since Go and Go??
__________________


#Grand
Reply With Quote
  #115  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:30 AM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by brockguy
beat me to it HHH...

The Belmont could turn in to a really colourful event.. he is trying to be the first foreign trained winner of a triple crown since Go and Go??
Great "new wave" one hit wonder from fall of 1980.....let's hope Casino Drive isn't!
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction"

http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
Reply With Quote
  #116  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:31 AM
CSC's Avatar
CSC CSC is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Posts: 4,408
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Well, I'm a big figure believer/user, but the Beyers don't do the actual running.

It was Casino Drive's 2nd.. SECOND.. career start. And off a layoff. He was absolutely terrific. And should only be better in 4 weeks.
I agree it was a good performance considering it was only his second career performance, can't take that away from him one bit. All the credit to his connections for shipping in. I only have 1 concern what was the quality of the field he beat yesterday? I think the telling sign was Mint Lane holding on for second off of a very fair pace. No one else was making an impact down the stretch when perhaps they should have been.
Reply With Quote
  #117  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:35 AM
Betsy Betsy is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,303
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
You think 10K Japanese strong are going to make a trip halfway around the world to watch and bet on a horse who made one career start over there?

I know they tend to be pretty obsessed with the sport and love to bet - but I doubt that horse built a huge fan base with a single odds-on maiden win.

Last year's 2-year-old champion in Japan came from a juvenile sale here - and they bought up many excellent athletes at juvenile sales this year - most of which I assume will be sent over there. I guess that is what happens when the value of the American dollar tanks.

Major stallions and top horses A.P. Indy, Unbridled's Song, and Fusaichi Pegasus all had a big chance to go to Japan and race - none of which did. Tomo Tsuramaki and Fusao Sekaguchi kept A. P. Indy and Fu Peg here - probably because both were outright Keeneland July Select yearling sales toppers - where UBS was, at the time, the most expensive horse ever purchased from a 2yo in training sale - but the day after the sale they found "a flake" in his ankle and the sale was voided.
Someone who posts on another board lives in Japan and follows Japanese racing - she also provides updates on Japanese horses, etc....... Apparently the man who owns Casino Drive is anxious to get in all the right circles (royalty, celebrity, etc.......) - he's also a sporting man and therefore it seems natural that he would point for the Belmont. I asked what she thought his plans for the colt would be after the Belmont (return to Japan for the Japan Dirt Cup, then point for a 4 year old campaign in the US? Stay in the US?) and even she's not sure. I hope the owner does not try to point CD to only the biggest races in the world and show up for the Arc just to get into high -class circles.........he's not exactly bred for turf and he could be a fun horse to watch in the US.

If I recall, AP Indy's owner (Tsurumaki) bought another yearling besides Indy - turned out to be AP Jet. AP Jet was sent to Japan because he was more precocious - lucky for US racing and breeding that Indy was later developing. He was also not interested in breeding at all, which is why he remained in the US for his stud career. I'm not sure the owner of Casino Drive has enough of a track record for us to make any kind of determination as to the colt's future.
Reply With Quote
  #118  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:38 AM
Betsy Betsy is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,303
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
I agree it was a good performance considering it was only his second career performance, can't take that away from him one bit. All the credit to his connections for shipping in. I only have 1 concern what was the quality of the field he beat yesterday? I think the telling sign was Mint Lane holding on for second off of a very fair pace. No one else was making an impact down the stretch when perhaps they should have been.
Yes, but CD won easily - it's not like had had a hard time with this field. He won off as easy as could be despite not being sharp - he did overcome a lot of obstacles - and not breaking well. Given those obstacles, I'm not sure that it means anything that he didn't beat much.
Reply With Quote
  #119  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:43 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,613
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC
I only have 1 concern what was the quality of the field he beat yesterday? I think the telling sign was Mint Lane holding on for second off of a very fair pace. No one else was making an impact down the stretch when perhaps they should have been.
The field was OK. I personally like Mint Lane a great deal.. think he's a real horse.. and played him accordingly yesterday at what was a big overlay number. He went a lot faster than J. Jerkens was hoping for, and while no match for the winner, ran a very nice race.

Casino Drive's running style is exceedingly conducive for the Belmont... (And I'm not going to state the obvious about him being bred well for Belmont Stakes success.. )
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
Reply With Quote
  #120  
Old 05-11-2008, 09:46 AM
Cannon Shell's Avatar
Cannon Shell Cannon Shell is offline
Sha Tin
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 20,855
Default

Maybe Hank Goldberg will show up for the Belmont in a kimono and commit hari-kari.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 02:22 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.