Show Parlay

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by jman5581

Plays for 5/18 picking up where I left off for Round 6....

GG R1 3:05 #1 Eastern Sand (coupled, only playing this one)
GG R2 3:34 #5 Groupofthefuture
GG R3 4:03 #1 Souvenir Sands
GG R8 6:34 #2 Smiler

Canterbury R1 7:00 #5 Angel Smoke
Canterbury R2 7:27 #4 Wingbrook
Canterbury R4 8:22 #1 Before the Storm
Canterbury R8 10:12 #5 A Team Leader

If I get knocked out, I'll start Round 7 another day. Not automatically going into the next round. That hasn't worked so well for me, has it now?

Your choice, but I don't see why you wouldn't want to just start right into Round 7. Do you think missing one has some bearing on missing a later one the same day?

Anyway, I'll stay tuned...

--Dunbar

[Dunbar]

jman, you might want to consider the Barbaro Stakes on Preakness day. Chelokee dominates this field, and the 2nd best horse, Soaring By, probably will skip it (according to Pletcher in DRF), making it a 6-horse field.

--Dunbar

[jman5581]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Your choice, but I don't see why you wouldn't want to just start right into Round 7. Do you think missing one has some bearing on missing a later one the same day?

Anyway, I'll stay tuned...

--Dunbar

I don't know, it doesn't really make sense.... but it's more of a "re-grouping" thing. I'd rather start fresh when I flub it up. If I haven't hit one of these by the end of this round, I am going to a "one or two a day/best play of the day" strategy... I'm going a little too fast I think. A few of these races, even though they are 6 horses, aren't all that distinguishable.

[jman5581]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

jman, you might want to consider the Barbaro Stakes on Preakness day. Chelokee dominates this field, and the 2nd best horse, Soaring By, probably will skip it (according to Pletcher in DRF), making it a 6-horse field.

--Dunbar

After this round, he might have to be my play of the day tomorrow!

[jman5581]

ah, what the??? boy, that sucks... Eastern Sand ran off the board in the 4th leg of Round 6. Geez....


Okay, I know I said I wouldn't continue if I lost, but I wasn't planning on going out so quickly....so, Round 7 starts with Race 2 at Golden Gate. I can't believe this insanity!!

[jman5581]

To start off Round 7...

#5 Groupofthefuture got 2nd and paid $2.20 - Running Total - $110

#1 Souvenir Sands got 3rd and paid $2.10 - Running Total - $116

#2 Smiler WON and paid $2.10 - Running Total - $122

[jman5581]

Don't have time to update all of Round 7 right now, but that one ended a little prematurely as well... Angel Smoke got 2nd, Wingbrook killed the round.


Before the Storm and A Team Leader started off Round 8 on the right foot. I will go with Chelokee in the Barbaro Stakes today as my 3rd pick in Round 8

[jman5581]

Originally Posted by jman5581

To start off Round 7...

#5 Groupofthefuture got 2nd and paid $2.20 - Running Total - $110

#1 Souvenir Sands got 3rd and paid $2.10 - Running Total - $116

#2 Smiler WON and paid $2.10 - Running Total - $122

#5 Angel Smoke got 2nd and paid $2.10 - Running Total - $128

-----End of Round 7-----

-----Start of Round 8-----

#1 Before the Storm got 2nd and paid $2.20 - Running Total - $110

#5 A Team Player WON and paid $2.40 - Running Total - $132

Chelokee WON and paid $2.10 - Running Total - $139

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by jman5581

I don't know, it doesn't really make sense.... but it's more of a "re-grouping" thing. I'd rather start fresh when I flub it up. If I haven't hit one of these by the end of this round, I am going to a "one or two a day/best play of the day" strategy... I'm going a little too fast I think. A few of these races, even though they are 6 horses, aren't all that distinguishable.

(emphasis added)


I tend to agree that it would be more interesting if you were more selective, using the kind of big fav/short field that would tempt bridgejumpers.

Good job keeping your stats, btw!

--Dunbar

[jman5581]

well here goes for today... 2 races I can feel real solid about. If these don't Show, well....

Canterbury R6 3:53 - #3 Run With Joy

Mountaineer R3 6:40 - #5 Fresado

and with the SCR of Vitruvius in the Peter Pan I'll take Sightseeing in the 8th at Belmont

[jman5581]

Originally Posted by jman5581

well here goes for today... 2 races I can feel real solid about. If these don't Show, well....

Canterbury R6 3:53 - #3 Run With Joy

Mountaineer R3 6:40 - #5 Fresado

and with the SCR of Vitruvius in the Peter Pan I'll take Sightseeing in the 8th at Belmont

Sightseeing WON and paid $2.10 - Running Total - $146

Run With Joy got 2nd and paid $2.40 - Running Total - $175

Fresado WON and paid $2.40 - Running Total - $210

[jman5581]

I have one for 5/21, maybe another one pending scratches.

Woodbine R1 (12:10) - #5 Gantu

[jman5581]

Originally Posted by jman5581

Woodbine R1 (12:10) - #5 Gantu

Gantu WON and paid $2.10 - Running Total - $221

Need 3 more to finish off this round.

[jman5581]

1 more, Calder R8 - #4 Frosty Secret

[jman5581]

Round 8 stops right there! Dagummit...


That was a decent little run... I would be curious to see what my win % has been so far. I don't have time to figure it up right now. It's gotta be somewhere in the 50% range. Just betting WIN in short fields might be a more profitable strategy, but this is pretty fun.

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by jman5581

Round 8 stops right there! Dagummit...

\

Ouch! You had sight of the finish line!

--Dunbar

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by jman5581

Round 8 stops right there! Dagummit...


That was a decent little run... I would be curious to see what my win % has been so far. I don't have time to figure it up right now. It's gotta be somewhere in the 50% range. Just betting WIN in short fields might be a more profitable strategy, but this is pretty fun.

Hi jman5581,
I was fooling around with show parlays last year for awhile. I started with $5 and parlayed until I reached $20. At that point I began to wager half of the total, giving me a cushion in case one ran out. It was very tedious and I reached a point where I felt I was letting some decent win bets and pick 3 opportunities get by, particularly when I reached a profit level of $80 and I was losing $40 on a show bet when I could have been investing $40 in a pick 3 using multiple horses. However all said and done I made a small $20 profit and never lost my original $5. I played about 25 races over a 10 day period before giving up.
Good luck on your endeavor, I may start one up again myself.

[jman5581]

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane

Hi jman5581,
I was fooling around with show parlays last year for awhile. I started with $5 and parlayed until I reached $20. At that point I began to wager half of the total, giving me a cushion in case one ran out. It was very tedious and I reached a point where I felt I was letting some decent win bets and pick 3 opportunities get by, particularly when I reached a profit level of $80 and I was losing $40 on a show bet when I could have been investing $40 in a pick 3 using multiple horses. However all said and done I made a small $20 profit and never lost my original $5. I played about 25 races over a 10 day period before giving up.
Good luck on your endeavor, I may start one up again myself.

PCL, it's not a bad way to turn a small little bit of money into something more substantial to play on exotics and multi's. As you said it can be tedious, especially dealing with 5 or 10 bucks. I would recommend someone do a parlay with a little larger amount of $. Maybe $50 or $100. It's not too hard to string a few together (okay, so maybe 10 in a row is a little agressive, so far at least) and before you know it you've doubled up and you can take that $50 or $100 you made and play a few P3's or a P4. You use something that's hopefully less risky to have an opportunity to do something more risky. And hopefully get more reward. Some would say why not just take your $100 and play a P4, but the object here is to parlay some profit and still have your $100 in your pocket when you play the P4.

Good Luck Port Conway Lane. Nice name.

[jman5581]

Round 9

Fairmount Park R1 - #4 Safeforsure - 2nd - paid $2.10 - Running Total = $105

Fairmount Park R2 #7 Stefanie C (see next post) - 2nd - paid $2.10 - Running Total = $110

Fairmount Park R4 - #1 Freestyle Spirit SCR Substitute #3 Cousin Bill 3rd - paid $2.20 - Running Total = $121

Fairmount Park R6 - #1 Cat on the Grass WON - paid $2.10 - Running Total = $127

Fairmount Park R7 - #6 Stop the Race WON - paid $2.60 - Running Total = $165

[jman5581]

I'm feelin' it on FP today... R2 #7 Stefanie C