Dubai Carnival Contest V

[Arletta]

The races are Thursday morning right? Not tomorrow?

Everyone is posting their picks already

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by Arletta

Te races are Thursday morning right? Not tomorrow?

Everyone is posting their picks already

I did so I don't forget (like the first day of Showvivor).

[Arletta]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

I did so I don't forget (like the first day of Showvivor).

o.k.. good deal

[clyde]

Go to your room!

[Linny]

Race 2
Ariete Arrollador, Barbeque Eddie alt Russian Rock

Race 3
Green Beret, Addictive Dream alt Apache Crown

race 4
Dark Matter(NAP), Rassam alt Kinglet

Race 5
Glen's Diamond, Ottoman Empire alt Emirates Champion

Race 6
Musir, Mendip alt Fanunalter

Race 7
Belgian Bill, Alkimos alt Rasmy

[brockguy]

Originally Posted by Linny

Thank you for doing the contest again, Brockguy.

Originally Posted by PatCummings

Ditto Linny's comment...

Thanks lads, computer is working now (well for the time being) scores are being updated as we speak..

[Arletta]

R2) #1 Barbecue Eddie / #4 Ariete Arrollador - Alt: #6 Red Gulch
R3) #1 Addictive Dream / #6 International Debut - Alt:# 2 Green Beret
R4) #10 Rassam (NAP) / #2 Dark Matter - Alt: #5 Kinglet
R5) #4 Glen's Diamond / #10 Naqshabban - Alt: #2 Emirates Champion
R6) #1 Mendip / #8 Kavango - Alt: #4 Musir
R7) #10 Song Craft / #4 Happy Valley - Alt:#13 Zain Shamardal

[brockguy]

Scores after Day 1

Defending champ jaripeo storms into the lead while perennial wooden spooner brockguy sits last!!


Rank Player This Week Running Total
1 jaripeo 950 950
2 Linny 650 650
3 Arletta 430 430
4 mclem0822 419.95 419.95
5 ryonker1 415 415
6 PatCummings 220 220
7 brockguy 0 0

[brockguy]

Scores after Day 2

Linny takes the lead after a very productive day..

Rank Player This Week Running Total
1 Linny 743.50 1,393.50
2 jaripeo 0.00 950.00
3 ryonker1 423.50 838.50
4 PatCummings 433.50 653.50
5 Arletta 143.50 573.50
6 mclem0822 63.50 483.45
7 gamblin4ever 400.00 400.00
8 brockguy 80.00 80.00

[brockguy]

Day 3 Picks
1. Nova Step, Ariete Arrollador alt Captain Ramius

2. Internationaldebut, Bohemian Melody alt Terrific Challenge

3. Bible Black, Rassam alt Enjoy Dubai

4. Montaff, Plantagent alt Ottoman Empire

5. Dance and Dance NAP, Secrecy alt Fanulnalter

6.Alkimos, Songcraft alt Zain Shamardal

best of luck everyone!

[Linny]

Originally Posted by brockguy

Thanks lads, computer is working now (well for the time being) scores are being updated as we speak..

And lasses, last time I looked...

[NoChanceToDance]

Completely forgot that the carnvial starts this early, disappointed I missed the first week but I was in the States. Must play catch up....

1. Ariete Arrollador, Barbecue Eddie (alt Red Gulch)
2. Addictive Dream, Bohemian Melody (alt Sir Reginald)
3. Rassam, Bible Black (alt Kinglet)
4. Glen's Diamond (NAP) , Naqshabban (alt Emirates Champion)
5. Mendip, Musir (alt Derbaas)
6. Alkimos (NB) , Hunting Tower (alt Nationalism)

[mclem0822]

Race 2-#8 Russian Rock #6 Red Gulch (alt-#1 Barbecue Eddie)
Race 3-#1 Addictive Dream #9 Terrific Challenge(alt-#2 Green Beret)
Race 4-#2 Dark Matter #10 Rassam (alt-#5 Kinglet)
Race 5-#4 Glen's Diamond (NAP)#2 Emirates Champion(alt-#5 Dr. Faustus)
Race 6#6 Escape Route #1 Mendip (alt-#2 Derbaas)
Race 7-#11 Alkimos #10 Songcraft (alt-#7 Topclas)

Good Luck All!

[jaripeo]

[FONT='Verdana','sans-serif']Race 2-#14 Swop #15 Krypton Factor (alt-#11 Nova Step)
Race 3-#5 Forjatt#9 Terrific Challenge(alt-#2 Green Beret)
Race 4-#6 Mabroor *NAP #10 Rassam (alt-#7 Mehdi)
Race 5-#4 Glen's Diamond #2 Emirates Champion(alt-#8 Royaaty)
Race 6#Snaafy #4 Musir (alt-#1 Mendip)
Race 7-#8 Nationalism #11 Alkimos (alt-#7 Topclas)[/font]

[PatCummings]

Hey gang...just throwing it out there.

I absolutely LOATHE Alkimos in the last tomorrow. I'll be the first to admit I was wrong if he wins, but he seems a perfect Godolphin play-against in the Carnival. He's first Godolphin, off a long layoff, first against elders, and the good races he had in the UK showed up incredibly weak looking back at the form.

[Arletta]

Originally Posted by PatCummings

Hey gang...just throwing it out there.

I absolutely LOATHE Alkimos in the last tomorrow. I'll be the first to admit I was wrong if he wins, but he seems a perfect Godolphin play-against in the Carnival. He's first Godolphin, off a long layoff, first against elders, and the good races he had in the UK showed up incredibly weak looking back at the form.

Agree... and is why I went another way

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by Arletta

Agree... and is why I went another way

He'll be a short price too

[NoChanceToDance]

Originally Posted by PatCummings

Hey gang...just throwing it out there.

I absolutely LOATHE Alkimos in the last tomorrow. I'll be the first to admit I was wrong if he wins, but he seems a perfect Godolphin play-against in the Carnival. He's first Godolphin, off a long layoff, first against elders, and the good races he had in the UK showed up incredibly weak looking back at the form.

The long layoff never seems to affect the Godolphin horses, surely you know that more than most. Yes, it is his first time against his elders, but that's more due to the fact there is limited opportunity for a 3yo of his level to have run against older horses in the UK.

I'm scratching my head a bit when you say the form of his races has turned out to be rather weak. When he won his maiden, he did so easily with two horses pulling well clear of the rest. The second horse is now stakes placed. He also won his small field handicap with plenty to spare at the line. The 2nd and 3rd placed horses have been highly tried since that race and both stakes placed also. His latest start in a very competitive Gr3 has really been franked. The slightly surprsing winner of that (even though always highly regarded by the trainer) won a decent Gr2 in France. The horse who finished 3rd was an honest listed / Gr3 galloper who has since finished 4th in a Hollywood Park Gr1 (unsure of that form). Fact is, he's a stakes horse running around in a handicap off a mark of 104

If Godolphin have high hopes for him, he really needs to be winning well today, and he should in my opinion.

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by NoChanceToDance

The long layoff never seems to affect the Godolphin horses, surely you know that more than most. Yes, it is his first time against his elders, but that's more due to the fact there is limited opportunity for a 3yo of his level to have run against older horses in the UK.

I'm scratching my head a bit when you say the form of his races has turned out to be rather weak. When he won his maiden, he did so easily with two horses pulling well clear of the rest. The second horse is now stakes placed. He also won his small field handicap with plenty to spare at the line. The 2nd and 3rd placed horses have been highly tried since that race and both stakes placed also. His latest start in a very competitive Gr3 has really been franked. The slightly surprsing winner of that (even though always highly regarded by the trainer) won a decent Gr2 in France. The horse who finished 3rd was an honest listed / Gr3 galloper who has since finished 4th in a Hollywood Park Gr1 (unsure of that form). Fact is, he's a stakes horse running around in a handicap off a mark of 104

If Godolphin have high hopes for him, he really needs to be winning well today, and he should in my opinion.

Of course I recognize how well Godolphin does off the shelf, but they can't all be treated the same, and I firmly believe the path to a successful Carnival is finding the right times to play against them. In the 2011 Carnival, by my count, there were 17 occasions where a Godolphin horse went favored in a Carnival race and didn't win...sometimes one of their others won (indicated by *)...but in the races they didn't...the int'l tote payoffs were...

$18.00
$14.80
$16.40
$27.20
$35.40
$14.80
$11.60*
$21.60
$24.60*
$27.60
$75.60
$10.80
$21.40
$17.20
$23.40*
$59.40*
$8.80

Godolphin bought Pisco Sour, so clearly they like him. Alkimos beat Maali before the Ascot race, and he came back to run up the course in the Tercentenary, albeit over ground likely softer than he preferred. If you want, you could even use the Laajooj performance from last week to frank it. I thought Laajooj's past races, beaten Namibian, stood out more than what Alkimos's second behind Pisco Sour did, where he later defeated Colombian and Glaswegian.

Opinions are wonderful in this sport...

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by Linny

Race 2
Ariete Arrollador, Barbeque Eddie alt Russian Rock

Nice triple!!!