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#41
06-16-2008, 12:46 PM
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If Bellsbutthead would join this discussion I think we could safely call the Guiness Book.
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB 
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#42
06-16-2008, 12:47 PM
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new bankroll =1059.20 comments: good price on High percentage barn stretch-out in a weak field of maidens with no other big% barns, not this time. Horse pulls up after stopping badly on the backstretch.
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#43
06-16-2008, 01:02 PM
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Nothing butt class here
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I'm gonna need you to inject some more NY Attitude as the thread goes on. Feel free to mush last out high beyer winners as well... The Little Guy everybody... Steve Crist *claps*
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#44
06-16-2008, 01:10 PM
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The Edge Factor... Pretty Soon It Will Be The Tie In Too The Sales Pitch.... 5,4,3,2,1...............
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#45
06-16-2008, 01:21 PM
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=Value*hit% Edgefactor is just an easier way of saying all that. You can use it to decide how much you want to bet if you don't want randomness to cause you to ruin your bankroll. Value is the $2price times estimated% divided by 2 value = ($2price*hitProbability)/2 So a $6 horse with a 1/3hit probability would be a break even wager or 1.00.
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#46
06-16-2008, 01:36 PM
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we should do a mythical contest... 1000 bankroll for a 2 week period. something like that
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#47
06-16-2008, 02:14 PM
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i want to see a heads-up contest between jcs and bobby fischer, no holds barred. start with mythical $1000, first one to $2000 wins. fischer uses edge factor, jcs can use his own system or a crystal ball, whatever works best.
my money is on jcs and his crystal ball. Last edited by ArlJim78 : 06-16-2008 at 02:29 PM.
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#48
06-16-2008, 02:30 PM
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Delaware Race7 $16 to win on #11 born to be
estimated $2 price=6 est. hit%=.40 Value=1.2 edgefactor=.48 wager amount=16
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#49
06-16-2008, 02:38 PM
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new bankroll =1083.20 Comments: LMAO, somebody put 3 large on it with a minute to post. The entrymate 4 did his job, never got the possible clear easy with the 1 also trying to go early.
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#50
06-16-2008, 02:56 PM
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race 8 Delaware
$10 win 22 place 26 show all on #6
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#51
06-16-2008, 03:01 PM
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new bankroll = 1027.2 Comments: Beattie shipper didn't do anything. was bet well late to show, have to be more careful with the pools at delaware.
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#52
06-17-2008, 11:45 AM
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Del R1 $2 exacta 1-4
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#53
06-17-2008, 11:46 AM
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also $2 show on #1
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#54
06-17-2008, 11:48 AM
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good luck.
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#55
06-17-2008, 11:53 AM
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new bankroll = $1055.20 Comments: another larry jones move up at Del. Estimated hit% for the straight exacta was 12% , estimated payout $24 for a value of 1.44 and edgefactor of 0.1728. 24 0.12 1.44
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#56
06-17-2008, 11:55 AM
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oops
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#57
06-17-2008, 11:55 AM
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and you put your whole bankroll on him, i promise its a winner, give me a few minutes
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#58
06-17-2008, 12:02 PM
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#60
06-17-2008, 12:42 PM
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I cancelled meetings and pumped up my ADW account in anticipation of your release. Joe, this is worse than lying about your parents dying in a car accident and leaving you $12,000,000.00. Much worse.
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