Kentucky Oaks draws 13

[Kasept]

Euphrosyne passes on Oaks. Gyarmati-Treadway now in with Sweet Reason if they want in. Thank You Marylou next on deck and Ramsey desperate to get in with Mrs. Whitney tribute filly.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Euphrosyne passes on Oaks. Gyarmati-Treadway now in with Sweet Reason if they want in. Thank You Marylou next on deck and Ramsey desperate to get in with Mrs. Whitney tribute filly.

They should get in with Thank You Marylou. Nothing about Sweet Reasons races this year say she is even competitive in this race. She is a really nice filly, going 1 turn. They should do right by her.

[GPK]

I know I'm out of the loop, but did they move the Oaks to Thursday?

[-BT-]

Originally Posted by GPK

I know I'm out of the loop, but did they move the Oaks to Thursday?

(shaking head)

this whole no otb in Roanoke is killing you aint it?

it's still friday

-bt-

[GPK]

Originally Posted by -BT-

(shaking head)

this whole no otb in Roanoke is killing you aint it?

it's still friday

-bt-

But Byk has it as 5/1 and isn't that Thursday?

[-BT-]

Originally Posted by GPK

But Byk has it as 5/1 and isn't that Thursday?

touche


-bt-

[tywizard]

In Tune has been withdrawn.

[Sightseek]

Room Service will not run in the Oaks, will stay on grass.

[FATPIANO]

my Favorite Bet is the Oaks/Derby Double , it can be a great score

Rosalind is the horse to beat in the Oaks

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by FATPIANO

my Favorite Bet is the Oaks/Derby Double , it can be a great score

Rosalind is the horse to beat in the Oaks

Im not using Untapable, Im going to try to beat her. But she is clearly the horse to beat. She is the fastest 3yr old in the country right now. Rosalind is a definite use for me though.

[RockHardTen1985]

Steve will the OAKs day pps be out Monday or Tuesday?
Is there definitely the Oaks-Woodford-Derby pick 3?
Thanks

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985

Steve will the OAKs day pps be out Monday or Tuesday? Is there definitely the Oaks-Woodford-Derby pick 3?
Thanks

Oaks card draws Tuesday; Derby card draws Wednesday.

KO-WR-KD P3 definitely being offered: http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...mes-wager-menu

[Kasept]

Bret Calhoun tells Zoe Cadman he's leaning towards Eight Belles with Fiftyshadesofgold..

[Kasept]

Oaks Probables:

1. Untapable
2. Sugar Shock
3. Fashion Plate
4. My Miss Sophia
5. Rosalind
6. Got Lucky
7. Aurelia’s Belle
8. Ria Antonia
9. Kiss Moon
10. Unbridled Forever
11. Thank You Marylou
12. Empress of Midway
13. Please Explain

[RockHardTen1985]

Untapable—X. Clearly the horse to beat, but I’ll try to beat her. She’s going to be 7-5 or lower vs a big field. She will be singled on 80% of the 2 day pick 3 tickets, that’s all Im looking to play Friday. If she wins I’ll be back for Saturday, if she gets beat I should be setup on some solid tickets.
Sugar Shock—X. Seems like one of many potential speeds, seems a bit slow to me. She might also have distance limitations as she lugged out badly 2 back.
Fashion Place—X. Another speed horse, she has gotten away with murder 2 starts in a row. Even if she was the loan speed I would not cover. Nothing wrong w/ a dual G1 winner, but she is not for me.
My Miss Sophia—A. Potential superstar. Has to improve to beat the top horse, but they all do. She feels like the 1 filly who can beat Untapable even if Untapable runs her good race.
Rosalind—B. I think she is clearly a better synthetic horse. She got a wicked pace in the BC Juvy Fillies, she should have blown by the leaders and kinda just plugged along. I don’t love her, but I think she gets the same pace again, and she’s doing well right now off of the big Keeneland dead heat. I think she was clearly best in that dead heat as Joel moved her early.
Got Lucky—A. On paper she’s not good enough. I get it, but I see excuses in her last 2. Both races were pace less, both races she appears to be getting scrubbed on early, both races she comes running a little for second. On paper the Oaks fast should be quick and she can be a player late. She’s like Rosalind w/ more upside.
Aurelias Belle—X. Consistent runner, another who is better on synthetics. Her dirt races are simply not good enough. If she was going 1st time dirt I would give her a look at 20-1, but she’s already proven to be just mediocre on dirt.
Ria Antonia—X. The worst BC Juvy Fillies winner ever, actually ran well last time out chasing an easy leader. Shes just not that good, even the GOAT cant get her home in this race.
Kiss Moon—X. Only 1 bad career race, but just seems overmatched to me. Working well, if I played in race exotics I would use her underneath.
Fiftyshadesofgold—X. Another speed horse. She would be much better off in the 8 Belles earlier on the card. I would give her a long look in that race on the cutback against the defending 2yr old filly champ.
Unbridled Forever—B. Not a fan of her trainer, but a huge fan of this filly. Her mom won this race at a huge price, not that that matters. Should sit a perfect trip as an overlay, everyone but the top 2 will be overlays in this race.
Thank You Marylou—X. Her trainer comes off a horrible Keeneland meet. She looks like a closing sprinter to me. Like We Miss Artie on Saturday I don’t think she belongs in this race, but is in because of her trainer and owner.
Empress Of Midway—X. She could be very talented, but this is asking a lot to soon. She is also another 1 who will be up on the pace.

A’s----- My Miss Sophia and Got Lucky
B’s----- Rosalind and Unbridled Forever
X's----- Everyone else

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

nice write up ....... I agree with your points

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff

nice write up ....... I agree with your points

Good Luck this weekend.

[Thunder Gulch]

Been trying to make the case for Got Lucky moving forward. I think the pace will definitely be to her liking.

[robfla]

Originally Posted by arizonadave

any idea what the weather will be like on Friday-Saturday?

http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/USKY1096


Fri May 2
Cloudy
63°
45°
Cloudy
Chance of rain:
10%
Wind:
WSW at 13 mph


Sat May 3
Partly Cloudy
65°
44°
Chance of rain:
10%

Wind:
WSW at 12 mph

[zippyneedsawin]

CD PR tweeted that Tom Proctor is entering Please Explain in the Oaks.