2/17: Fair Grounds (LA Derby Preview Day)

[Kasept]

FAIR GROUNDS


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: LA-ALW/N3L, 4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Macho Beanie 5-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Doctored Deal 4-1 WON ($16.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Like This 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #7 Coptor 12-1 4th


2nd: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 The Reds 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 Freedom's Way 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Agent Creed 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #12 Point Proven 7-2 WON ($8.00)


3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

SCR's down to Nash, Hawks Creek & Tuscan Sky..

Most Likely: #7 Tuscan Sky 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #3 Nash 9-5 2nd


4th: LA-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Wish Carefully 3-1 5th
Next Best: #1 He's Just Lucky 9-2 4th
Best Value: #7 Causeway Benny 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Benji Star 4-1 WON ($11.60)


5th: ALW/N3L, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Liuzza 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Standoutsensation 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Our Pretty Woman 4-1 WON ($5.60)
Super Add: #3 Splash Master 6-1 6th


P5 Grid:

1: 4-10 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)
2: 13 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
3: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1-11 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
5: 4-5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x2x4x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x1x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups (CAAAA & ACAAA): 2x1x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-7 in 1st) + 2x1x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (10 in 2nd)


P4 Grid:

2: 13 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
3: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 1-11 (A), 6-7 (B), - (C)
5: 4-5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x4x5 = 40 x .50 = $20
All A's: 1x2x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6
Backups (CAAA): 1x2x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6 (10 in 2nd)


6th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Gourmet 4-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Quality Credit 7-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Beelieve Her 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Harbor Springs 6-1 WON ($12.20)


7th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Yikes.. Super live MDN group with deep pedigrees/star siblings..

Most Likely: #2 Banned for Life 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 Higgins Boat 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Discreet Mischief 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Mister Lincoln 8-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Drip 5-1 WON ($8.80)


8th: Col. Power, 4+, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Just Might 2nd
Next Best: #3 Minnesota Ready WON ($4.60)
Exotics Use: #8 Pirate Rick 3rd
Super Add: #9 Mischievous Rogue 7th


P4 Grid:

5: 4-5-8 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
6: 8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-4-11 (A), - (B), 7-9 (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACA): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (7-9 in 7th)


9th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Cornishman 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Django 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Antiquarian 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #7 El Magnifico 5-1 3rd


10th: Al Stall Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Not So Close 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Creative Cairo 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Watch This Birdie 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Spirit and Glory 3-1 WON ($8.00)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-4-11 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
8: 3-4 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
9: 1-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x3x2 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18


11th: Mineshaft (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Best Actor 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Smile Happy 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #7 Money Supply 8-1 WON ($20.20)
Super Add: #8 Happy American 8-1 7th


12th: Fair Grounds (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Strong Quality 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #9 Harlan Estate 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Camp Hope 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Johny's Fireball 10-1 3rd


13th: Rachel Alexandra (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Intricate 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Alpine Princess 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Pennick 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 V V's Dream 5-2 5th


14th: Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 9f

Superb lineup for this 9f test and because of the trying trip, I'm hard-pressed to favor the short-priced players that are making seasonal debuts (Sierra Leone, Honor Marie, Reak Men Violin) when Track Phantom, Hall of Fame, Catching Freedom (and 12-1 Resilience) are in form..

Most Likely: #7 Hall of Fame 6-1 7th
Next Best: #11 Track Phantom 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #10 Resilience 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Sierra Leone 4-1 WON ($7.40)


P5 Grid:

10: 3-8 (A), 1-5 (B), - (C)
11: 3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 4 (A), 5 (B), 2-6 (C)
14: 4-7-8-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x1x2x5 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x2x1x1x5 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x1x2x5 = 40 x .50 = $20 (2-6 in 13th)


P4 Grid:

11: 3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 3 (A), - (B), 1-8-9 (C)
13: 4-5 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
14: 4-7-8-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x5 = $40 ($20 for .50)
All A's: 2x1x2x5 = 20 x .50 = $10
Backup (ACAA): 2x3x2x5 = 60 x .50 = $30 (1-8-9 in 12th)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

2ND & 8TH ARE OFF THE TURF.. TURF LISTED AS SOFT..

[Kasept]

FG SCR/CHG'S