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  #1  
Old 08-01-2008, 09:01 PM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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Default the sharpness of ny summer bettors

i tell ya its hard to get any prices at saratoga,the bettors and the whole nation is tuned in to it..some angles that were just easy money in the past have bene negated to a chalk..the age of information had really hit hard as of late..i mean guys in the early 90s should have been fng wheelbarrowing the cash in on stuff they did on thier own/ figs and trainer patterns..now its old hat and easily done.. i think the ny summer crowd is a tough capping adventure..hell mrs grabowski can out capp half the people i know...
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Old 08-01-2008, 10:28 PM
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Default Saratoga Tilt

Well Said, everyone is chasing that same "now horse". When you find the 4 and 5 to 1's, take it and run with it...............
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  #3  
Old 08-01-2008, 10:32 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
i tell ya its hard to get any prices at saratoga,the bettors and the whole nation is tuned in to it..some angles that were just easy money in the past have bene negated to a chalk..the age of information had really hit hard as of late..i mean guys in the early 90s should have been fng wheelbarrowing the cash in on stuff they did on thier own/ figs and trainer patterns..now its old hat and easily done.. i think the ny summer crowd is a tough capping adventure..hell mrs grabowski can out capp half the people i know...

Alot of this is the devaluing of prices by the Sheets and TGH. About a month ago at Belmont I had a nice sheet exacta that was something like 7-1/9/2. It paid 50 bucks for 2 bucks. Both horses were TGH plays and just got pounded in combinations. It's really difficult to get prices in New York.
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  #4  
Old 08-01-2008, 10:35 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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I've been getting killed at the Spa this summer, but I disagree with pretty much everything said in this thread so far.
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  #5  
Old 08-01-2008, 10:47 PM
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asudevil asudevil is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
i tell ya its hard to get any prices at saratoga,the bettors and the whole nation is tuned in to it..some angles that were just easy money in the past have bene negated to a chalk..the age of information had really hit hard as of late..i mean guys in the early 90s should have been fng wheelbarrowing the cash in on stuff they did on thier own/ figs and trainer patterns..now its old hat and easily done.. i think the ny summer crowd is a tough capping adventure..hell mrs grabowski can out capp half the people i know...
Couldn't agree more....just too sophisticated. There is tons of "unsophisticated" money plowed into the pools at Del Mar. Folks are just happy to smell that sea air, look at the scenery, and blow their money at the track while pounding Coronas or Cuervo. The guaranteed pick 4's on the weekend provide lots of big money opps!
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Last edited by asudevil : 08-01-2008 at 11:39 PM.
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  #6  
Old 08-01-2008, 11:11 PM
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AeWingnut AeWingnut is offline
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is it the bettors or level of competition. They have carry overs in California constantly. You don't mean to say it's because the New York bettor only likes ny tracks and doesn't like cal

What's the average payoff in NY? $5
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Old 08-01-2008, 11:35 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AeWingnut
is it the bettors or level of competition. They have carry overs in California constantly. You don't mean to say it's because the New York bettor only likes ny tracks and doesn't like cal

What's the average payoff in NY? $5
It's both. As mentioned in other threads, there is no doubt which circuit is more competitive. I am fortunate enough to spend time at both places. The Northeast crowd, in my opinion, approaches the wagering with far more due dilligence and overall knowledge. I'm not detracting from the group of west coast players that take the same workman like approach. It's just apparent to this observer that it's much more abundant at The Spa. A large percentage of the attendees at Del Mar spend their morning on the beach, not in front of the screen looking at Formulator. These folks have lots of Many of them, again my opinion, are just happy to be there and anxious to be in action. On the NY bettor question, I think logistics come into play. Del Mar starts at 5pm Eastern and 7pm on Friday's. Not that folks can't play with their NYRA accounts, but one would assume the Saratoga players regroup, go out, handicap for the next day, etc.
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  #8  
Old 08-02-2008, 12:28 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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First time Lion Hearts are money... Other than that good luck
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  #9  
Old 08-02-2008, 01:01 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
I've been getting killed at the Spa this summer, but I disagree with pretty much everything said in this thread so far.
mrs grabowski is damn good ask byk...
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  #10  
Old 08-02-2008, 01:04 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by asudevil
It's both. As mentioned in other threads, there is no doubt which circuit is more competitive. I am fortunate enough to spend time at both places. The Northeast crowd, in my opinion, approaches the wagering with far more due dilligence and overall knowledge. I'm not detracting from the group of west coast players that take the same workman like approach. It's just apparent to this observer that it's much more abundant at The Spa. A large percentage of the attendees at Del Mar spend their morning on the beach, not in front of the screen looking at Formulator. These folks have lots of Many of them, again my opinion, are just happy to be there and anxious to be in action. On the NY bettor question, I think logistics come into play. Del Mar starts at 5pm Eastern and 7pm on Friday's. Not that folks can't play with their NYRA accounts, but one would assume the Saratoga players regroup, go out, handicap for the next day, etc.
yes but that may be nothing nothing new.. in a nice way..
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  #11  
Old 08-02-2008, 01:10 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
i tell ya its hard to get any prices at saratoga,the bettors and the whole nation is tuned in to it..some angles that were just easy money in the past have bene negated to a chalk..the age of information had really hit hard as of late..i mean guys in the early 90s should have been fng wheelbarrowing the cash in on stuff they did on thier own/ figs and trainer patterns..now its old hat and easily done.. i think the ny summer crowd is a tough capping adventure..hell mrs grabowski can out capp half the people i know...
Half?! She's a machine.. I'd take her over 90% of the 'cappers I know.
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  #12  
Old 08-02-2008, 07:05 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Saratoga, 80 races, 13.79 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.21
Belmont, 535 races, 11.60 ave win mutuel

DelMar, 113 races, 14.29 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.48
Holly, 522 race, 13.21 ave win mutuel

Last edited by ArlJim78 : 08-02-2008 at 07:36 AM.
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  #13  
Old 08-02-2008, 07:38 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Saratoga, 80 races, 13.79 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.21
Belmont, 535 races, 11.60 ave win mutuel

DelMar, 113 races, 14.29 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.48
Holly, 522 race, 13.21 ave win mutuel
thanks a j can you break down the pick /3/4s
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  #14  
Old 08-02-2008, 07:58 AM
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Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Saratoga, 80 races, 13.79 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.21
Belmont, 535 races, 11.60 ave win mutuel

DelMar, 113 races, 14.29 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.48
Holly, 522 race, 13.21 ave win mutuel
just read last night that del mar may have to reduce purses. fields sizes and handle both down.

also, what's the avg for the above at arl park?
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  #15  
Old 08-02-2008, 08:36 AM
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AeWingnut AeWingnut is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Saratoga, 80 races, 13.79 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.21
Belmont, 535 races, 11.60 ave win mutuel

DelMar, 113 races, 14.29 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.48
Holly, 522 race, 13.21 ave win mutuel
that's interesting. Can you do the average pick 6
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  #16  
Old 08-02-2008, 08:36 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Danzig
just read last night that del mar may have to reduce purses. fields sizes and handle both down.

also, what's the avg for the above at arl park?
I think you're going to find handle down everywhere, due to the economy. I know saratoga is down already, although some of that might be due to weather.

Arlington
585 races, ave win mutuel $12.99, ave field size 8.36
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  #17  
Old 08-02-2008, 08:44 AM
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5+5+5+5+5+5+5+5+5+80 = $12.50 average payout
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  #18  
Old 08-02-2008, 08:50 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
thanks a j can you break down the pick /3/4s
no, i don't have the exotic data.
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  #19  
Old 08-02-2008, 09:18 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Saratoga, 80 races, 13.79 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.21
Belmont, 535 races, 11.60 ave win mutuel

DelMar, 113 races, 14.29 ave win mutuel, ave field size 8.48
Holly, 522 race, 13.21 ave win mutuel
Great stuff, can you run the median on these? I think that might be an enlightening statistic.
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  #20  
Old 08-02-2008, 09:47 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
Great stuff, can you run the median on these? I think that might be an enlightening statistic.
median win mutuel

Saratoga $8.95
DelMar $9.60
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