Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Triple Crown Topics/Archive..
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-07-2011, 07:44 PM
Travis Stone's Avatar
Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 2,229
Default Derby Thoughts - Animal Kingdom going forward; Mo

Andy and Eric said on Talking Horses today that this is the type of year where the Triple Crown might be easier versus a year with a more top-heavy/competitive group and I agree.

I'm not saying Animal Kingdom can or will win the Triple Crown, but it's hard to argue with his effort today. Slow pace and all, he won fair and square. What happens if he gets pace? Plus, happy for Graham Motion, who is definitely one of the good guys in racing.

Nehro ran big, he'll be useful down the road too.

And what if - big what if - Uncle Mo were at his best today? Slow pace, tracking it, if not setting it... it's hard to imagine he doesn't open-up in the stretch, and then it's a matter of whether or not gets there first.

For a Derby trail that was frustrating and disappointing, it turned out okay today... but I do hope in the years to come we can return to triple digit preps and performances throughout the early spring.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-07-2011, 07:50 PM
VOL JACK's Avatar
VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: @VOLJACK79
Posts: 2,578
Default

HUH?

Bobby Flay was on VS saying that Soldat was gonna win the Triple Crown.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-07-2011, 07:50 PM
Travis Stone's Avatar
Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Louisiana
Posts: 2,229
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK View Post
HUH?

Bobby Flay was on VS saying that Soldat was gonna win the Triple Crown.
..... interesting. I actually missed it, but was told by two people he picked Animal Kingdom???? I edited the line out...
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-07-2011, 07:51 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

I think the jockey situation will (sadly) be talked about more than the horse.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-07-2011, 07:52 PM
VOL JACK's Avatar
VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: @VOLJACK79
Posts: 2,578
Default

He was perfectly clear on VS..
"Soldat will win the Triple Crown"

He obviously a Thoro-Graph guy..they liked Soldat going in.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-07-2011, 07:54 PM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
Posts: 21,706
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Stone View Post
Bobby Flay loved him today.

Andy and Eric said on Talking Horses today that this is the type of year where the Triple Crown might be easier versus a year with a more top-heavy/competitive group and I agree.

I'm not saying Animal Kingdom can or will win the Triple Crown, but it's hard to argue with his effort today. Slow pace and all, he won fair and square. What happens if he gets pace? Plus, happy for Graham Motion, who is definitely one of the good guys in racing.

Nehro ran big, he'll be useful down the road too.

And what if - big what if - Uncle Mo were at his best today? Slow pace, tracking it, if not setting it... it's hard to imagine he doesn't open-up in the stretch, and then it's a matter of whether or not gets there first.

For a Derby trail that was frustrating and disappointing, it turned out okay today... but I do hope in the years to come we can return to triple digit preps and performances throughout the early spring.
With the scratch of Uncle Mo, we were left with 1 horse in the field that had run a triple digit beyer (Soldat) and 3 horses that had never run a beyer in the 90's. Happy to see JV get his first Derby win and even happier to see a guy like Motion get his Derby win as well, but it was a race filled with some pretty unimpressive horses.

As an aside, the scratch of Little Mike in the Woodford proved huge for the Get Stormy connections. Was glad to see Ramon win that race.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-07-2011, 08:07 PM
JJP JJP is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,220
Default

I'm not sure the pace was that slow. The track has been deep lately and we've seen a lot of slow fractions in the route races. According to the chart, there still was a number of horses at least a dozen lengths out; Dialed In was over 17 lengths off the pace. If the pace really was that slow, they all would've been within 7-8 lengths of the leader.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-07-2011, 08:21 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK View Post
He was perfectly clear on VS..
"Soldat will win the Triple Crown"

He obviously a Thoro-Graph guy..they liked Soldat going in.
He is... they recommended the purchase of Her Smile to him 2 weeks ago. I talked to him about it on Wednesday.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 05-07-2011, 08:26 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK View Post
With the scratch of Uncle Mo, we were left with 1 horse in the field that had run a triple digit beyer (Soldat) and 3 horses that had never run a beyer in the 90's. Happy to see JV get his first Derby win and even happier to see a guy like Motion get his Derby win as well, but it was a race filled with some pretty unimpressive horses.

As an aside, the scratch of Little Mike in the Woodford proved huge for the Get Stormy connections. Was glad to see Ramon win that race.
Killled me in the Oaks/Woodford/Derby P3... hope you had GS in the double, Kev.... Singled GS in the DD after the scratch
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 05-07-2011, 08:26 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski View Post
He is... they recommended the purchase of Her Smile to him 2 weeks ago. I talked to him about it on Wednesday.
Is your new job Professional Name Dropper?
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 05-07-2011, 11:04 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek View Post
Is your new job Professional Name Dropper?

We don't see important people around these hills very often.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 05-08-2011, 12:18 AM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski View Post

We don't see important people around these hills very often.
Are you saying that people in your area are unimportant?
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 05-08-2011, 12:38 AM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
Are you saying that people in your area are unimportant?
Uh, very much so. I'm from New York, remember?
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 05-08-2011, 12:57 AM
Indian Charlie's Avatar
Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Southern Maine
Posts: 8,708
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski View Post
Uh, very much so. I'm from New York, remember?
lol, yeah!
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 05-08-2011, 01:26 AM
Merlinsky Merlinsky is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 3,047
Default

http://www.ajc.com/sports/ritvo-cele...ss_news_128746

Looks like if it's up to Kathy, MMM is going to the Preakness. I'm so happy for her that he ran well today. Not too shabby for a 17+ hands, June 15 foal.
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 05-08-2011, 02:25 AM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

There's absolutely no reason Animal Kingdom can't win the TC. And I'd love to see it from a son of LRDA. Nehro ran a big race.

It's pretty interesting that we got such a clear result from such a muddled field. The first three were tons the best, and Shackleford did what he should've done.
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 05-08-2011, 03:07 AM
letswastemoney's Avatar
letswastemoney letswastemoney is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Turlock, CA
Posts: 2,561
Default

Maybe just key Nehro in the 2nd slot next time with the logical contenders on top
__________________
Lady and The Track
Twitter
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 05-08-2011, 07:37 AM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

Would it be fair to say that Nehro just hung?

I suppose Animal Kingdom could win the Triple Crown. I also suppose Dialed In running the final 1/4 under 24 would have been much more useful if he were in the same zip code as the rest of the field at some point in the race.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 05-08-2011, 09:00 AM
paulo537 paulo537 is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 121
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Stone View Post
Andy and Eric said on Talking Horses today that this is the type of year where the Triple Crown might be easier versus a year with a more top-heavy/competitive group and I agree.

I'm not saying Animal Kingdom can or will win the Triple Crown, but it's hard to argue with his effort today. Slow pace and all, he won fair and square. What happens if he gets pace? Plus, happy for Graham Motion, who is definitely one of the good guys in racing.

Nehro ran big, he'll be useful down the road too.

And what if - big what if - Uncle Mo were at his best today? Slow pace, tracking it, if not setting it... it's hard to imagine he doesn't open-up in the stretch, and then it's a matter of whether or not gets there first.

For a Derby trail that was frustrating and disappointing, it turned out okay today... but I do hope in the years to come we can return to triple digit preps and performances throughout the early spring.
Great and interesting Derby to me.

- Weather
- Track condition
- Record attendance
- Winner last prepped at Turfway
- Winner never ran on dirt
- Jock/Trainer/Owner get first win
- Fairly clean race without huge excuses. Maybe Nehro moved too soon.

I'd be surprised if we see Uncle Mo anytime soon, if ever. I also think Dialed In will be off a while. His race and work schedule certainly were not very encouraging. He has the look of a colt with some issue they managed best they could.

I don't care much about triple digit figures in preps. What do they mean? Good horses can come from anywhere.

I just wish Brilliant Speed had run at least a little bit.
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 05-08-2011, 09:45 AM
Mawhip Mawhip is offline
Sunshine Park
 
Join Date: Dec 2009
Posts: 86
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by paulo537 View Post
Great and interesting Derby to me.

- Weather
- Track condition
- Record attendance
- Winner last prepped at Turfway
- Winner never ran on dirt
- Jock/Trainer/Owner get first win
- Fairly clean race without huge excuses. Maybe Nehro moved too soon.

I'd be surprised if we see Uncle Mo anytime soon, if ever. I also think Dialed In will be off a while. His race and work schedule certainly were not very encouraging. He has the look of a colt with some issue they managed best they could.

I don't care much about triple digit figures in preps. What do they mean? Good horses can come from anywhere.

I just wish Brilliant Speed had run at least a little bit.



What race were you watching. I would say Brilliant Speed ran a little bit. He got beat 5.25 lengths and was closing. He certainly outran his odds.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:34 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.