7/11: Keeneland (Blue Grass Day)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Kid Shelleen 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Civil Servant 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Copper King 5-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Looking At Liberty 3-1 WON ($8.20)


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Snake Doctor 8-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Therideofalifetime 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Swill 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Palazzi 6-1 5th


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 She Can't Sing 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Crown Jewel 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Tortuga 10-1 11th
Super Add: #5 Perfect Happiness 8-1 2nd


4th: Appalachian (G2), 3yo-F, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Alms 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #3 Evil Lyn 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Enola Gay 6-1 WON ($12.60)


5th: Madison (G1), F&M-4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Guarana deserving even money fave noting consistently strong efforts. Primary rivals like Sally's Curlin, Mia Mischief, Bell's the One & Amy's Challenge all have races that contend. The interesting price is Wildwood's Beauty (20-1) who hasn't missed an exacta in any of her 13 dirt races for Scott Becker & Bill Stiritz. Seconf off the break while 7/3-4-0 at seven eighths, she enters off an eye-popping :57.3 drill on 7/3. Stalker can chase favorite home and juice exotics a little..

Most Likely: #5 Guarana 1-1 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #2 Wildwood's Beauty 20-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Mia Mischief 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Sally's Curlin 10-1 5th


Caveman 'Action' P5:

1-2-4-6-8 w/ 4-5-6-9-10 w/ 2-3-5-9 w/ 4 w/ 5 = 5x5x4x1x1 = 100 x .50 = $50


P4 Grid:

2: 4-5-6-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 2-3-9 (A), 1-5-10 (B), - (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 5 (A), 2-7 (B), 3-8-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x6x1x3 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 5x3x1x1 = $15 ($7.50 for .50)
C Backup: $22.50 (5x3x1x3 = 45 x .50)


6th: Shakertown (G2), 3+, 5.5f-T (X-C P5/Leg A, All Stakes P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Yikes.. Terrific group with countless possibilities. Taking the most consistent ones that have current form. Adding #2 Wildman Jack & #7 Fast Boat (best last efforts) to the multi includes..

Best Value: #10 Totally Boss 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Extravagant Kid 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Bound for Nowhere 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #9 Texas Wedge 6-1 10th


7th: Ashland (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

If Venetian gets away with easy opening splits, she'll be tough to reel in. Speech and Castellano seek a stalk and pounce trip. Envoutante and Bonny South feel like clunk up exotic candidates..

Most Likely: #6 Speech 2-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #2 Venetian Harbor 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Bonny South 5-1 4th


8th: Jenny Wiley (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (X-C P5/Leg C, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Toinette 5-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Rushing Fall 6-5 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Juliet Foxtrot 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Secret Message 15-1 6th


9th: Blue Grass (G1), 3yo, 9f (X-C P5/Leg D, DD, Hi-5)

Several late developing/forward going types involved and a delightful wagering opportunity with the filly (who can obviously win) taking a lot of money. Arky-bred Man in the Can just keeps getting better and Art Collector feels like a horse-of-a-lifetime for thoroughly capable Tom Drury..

Best Value: #5 Man in the Can 10-1 13th
Next Best: #3 Art Collector 5-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #7 Swiss Skydiver 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Rushie 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

5: 5 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-8-10 (A), - (B), 2-7-9 (C)
7: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-8 (A), 1-6-7 (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 7-10 (B), 1-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
C Backups: $36 ($18 with 2-7-9) + ($18 with 1-12)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-8-10 (A), - (B), 2-7-9 (C)
7: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-8 (A), 1-6-7 (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 7-10 (B), 1-4-8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
C Backups: $54 ($18 with 2-7-9) + ($36 with 1-4-8-12)


Cross Country P5 Grid:

KEE 6: 1-8-10 (A), - (B), 2-7-9 (C)
DEL 7: 5-9 (A), - (B), 10 (C)
KEE 8: 4-8 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
KEE 9: 3-5 (A), 7-10 (B), 1-4-8-12 (C)
BEL 9: 3-4 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


10th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Romantic Pursuit 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #4 Coco Channel 15-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Mighty Scarlett 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Speedy Solution 15-1 WON ($26.40)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-8 (A), 1-6-7 (B), - (C)
9: 3-5-7 (A), 1-10-12 (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
C Backup: $12 (with 4-8)


Good luck!
Steve