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  #1  
Old 05-16-2018, 06:44 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Default 5/19 (PIM): Preakness Day







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  #2  
Old 05-16-2018, 08:49 PM
helicopter11
 
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Turf sprints are the future.
and
Two 3 year old stakes dirt route races back to back is a brilliant move!
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  #3  
Old 05-16-2018, 11:02 PM
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Bing Bang Bong!

Superfecta: $1

7 / 1,5 / 1,5,2,4,8 / ALL = $15

LAST YEAR PAID $1,862

PHARAOHS YEAR PAID $1,906
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  #4  
Old 05-17-2018, 08:35 AM
tywizard tywizard is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by richard burch View Post
Bing Bang Bong!

Superfecta: $1

7 / 1,5 / 1,5,2,4,8 / ALL = $15

LAST YEAR PAID $1,862

PHARAOHS YEAR PAID $1,906
If your bet wins itís impossible that it pays anywhere near the two examples you provide.

In 2015 the second longest shot on the board finished second and the second betting choice was off the board.

Last year the winner was 13-1 and derby winner off the board.

Iím not criticizing your approach but want you to have realistic expectations.
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  #5  
Old 05-17-2018, 08:50 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tywizard View Post
If your bet wins itís impossible that it pays anywhere near the two examples you provide.

In 2015 the second longest shot on the board finished second and the second betting choice was off the board.

Last year the winner was 13-1 and derby winner off the board.

Iím not criticizing your approach but want you to have realistic expectations.
Maybe Iím doing my math wrong. Isnít that more than $15?
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  #6  
Old 05-17-2018, 10:36 AM
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Maybe Iím doing my math wrong. Isnít that more than $15?
Absolutely. It's $40.
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  #7  
Old 05-17-2018, 04:48 PM
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Default Question

Is the late pick 4 on Preakness day a guaranteed 1M?
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Old 05-17-2018, 05:12 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by asudevil View Post
Is the late pick 4 on Preakness day a guaranteed 1M?
I think its $2 million... copied from the Brisnet program
STAKES. 6 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $150,000. Maryland Sprint S.. THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. By free subscription. $1,500 to pass the entry box. Free to start, with $150,000 Guaranteed of which 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 6% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 1% to sixth. Weights: Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners of $70,000 twice in 2018 allowed 2 lbs.; $70,000 once in 2018, 4 lbs.; $60,000 once in 2018, 6 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming and Starter races not considered in estimating allowances). Trophy to the owner of the winner. Nominations Closed Tuesday, May 8, 2018 with 36 nominations. (04:05PM) (9)
Wager Types: EXACTA, 50 cent TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 10-11) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 10-11-12) $2,000,000 GUARANTEE 50 cent PICK 4 (RACES 10-11-12-13) / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
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  #9  
Old 05-17-2018, 05:13 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by casp0555 View Post
I think its $2 million... copied from the Brisnet program
STAKES. 6 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $150,000. Maryland Sprint S.. THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD. By free subscription. $1,500 to pass the entry box. Free to start, with $150,000 Guaranteed of which 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 10% to third, 6% to fourth, 3% to fifth and 1% to sixth. Weights: Three Year Olds, 119 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners of $70,000 twice in 2018 allowed 2 lbs.; $70,000 once in 2018, 4 lbs.; $60,000 once in 2018, 6 lbs. (Maiden, Claiming and Starter races not considered in estimating allowances). Trophy to the owner of the winner. Nominations Closed Tuesday, May 8, 2018 with 36 nominations. (04:05PM) (9)
Wager Types: EXACTA, 50 cent TRIFECTA & DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 10-11) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 10-11-12) $2,000,000 GUARANTEE 50 cent PICK 4 (RACES 10-11-12-13) / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
Thx!!
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  #10  
Old 05-17-2018, 07:30 PM
robfla robfla is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cakes44 View Post
Absolutely. It's $40.

Further muddying the picture...last year, the $1 Superfecta paid: $8,162.80. NOT $1862..( minor details )
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  #11  
Old 05-17-2018, 10:56 PM
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Originally Posted by robfla View Post
Further muddying the picture...last year, the $1 Superfecta paid: $8,162.80. NOT $1862..( minor details )

even better!...and I don't care if its forty bucks for that prize....

2017....8162
2016...317
2015...1906
2014...174 lowest payout is + $134
2013...1817
2012...425
2011...3016

and on and on and on.....could there be a S'fecta in the last 20 years in the Preakness that paid less than $40? I don't have time for that search.

I don't see how it's a bad bet and I am betting it and I will win!
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Last edited by richard burch : 05-17-2018 at 11:18 PM.
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  #12  
Old 05-17-2018, 11:07 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cakes44 View Post
Absolutely. It's $40.
My bad...I cant fix it now...its in Gods hands.
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  #13  
Old 05-17-2018, 11:15 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by richard burch View Post
show me your math please.
For a $1 Superfecta:

7 / 1 / 2 / ALL = $5
7 / 1 / 4 / ALL = $5
7 / 1 / 5 / ALL = $5
7 / 1 / 8 / ALL = $5
7 / 5 / 1 / ALL = $5
7 / 5 / 2 / ALL = $5
7 / 5 / 4 / ALL = $5
7 / 5 / 8 / ALL = $5

TOTAL OF BETS = $40
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  #14  
Old 05-17-2018, 11:19 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by richard burch View Post
even better!...and I don't care if its forty bucks for that prize....

2017....8162
2016...317
2015...1906
2014...174 lowest payout is + $134
2013...1817
2012...425
2011...3016

and on and on and on.....could there be a S'fecta in the last 20 years in the Preakness that paid less than $40? I don't have time for that search.

I don't see how it's a bad bet and I am betting it and I will win!
Iíll be making some superfectas as well. Hopefully one of the big ones comes out.
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  #15  
Old 05-17-2018, 11:20 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by richard burch View Post
My bad...I cant fix it now...its in Gods hands.
Haha. No biggie. Iím always messing up my math on my bets. Luckily I normally figure it out before I hit the window. Or these days, TVG.
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  #16  
Old 05-18-2018, 07:15 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by richard burch View Post

I don't see how it's a bad bet and I am betting it and I will win!
I'm not suggesting that it's a bad bet, but...There are 40 ways for you to win and 1,640 ways for you to lose.
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  #17  
Old 05-18-2018, 07:15 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
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Great thread
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  #18  
Old 05-18-2018, 09:46 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I'm not suggesting that it's a bad bet, but...There are 40 ways for you to win and 1,640 ways for you to lose.


HA!!! Odds Schmodds...doesn't scare me.
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  #19  
Old 05-19-2018, 05:07 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by richard burch View Post
HA!!! Odds Schmodds...doesn't scare me.
I think Han Solo said it better:

https://tenor.com/view/han-solo-neve...rs-gif-4901664
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  #20  
Old 05-19-2018, 10:10 AM
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Pimlico is going to destroy Gulfstreamís record for liberal use of the term ď0 MTPĒ today!
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