Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Triple Crown Topics/Archive..
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #21  
Old 05-06-2011, 09:39 PM
philcski's Avatar
philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
Posts: 8,872
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek View Post
This article is saying 276K in the pool and only 1 simulcast outlet has sent their money in.

Twice the Appeal 2nd choice at 7-1...

This will probably come back to bite me in the pants, but is Pants On Fire 9-1 because of Rosie and the name?

http://www.drf.com/news/kentucky-der...-early-betting
POF fits pretty well on Thorograph. I think he's a contender in a very muddled group.

And I can't believe I'm saying this but I agree with Justin Dew. The odds don't usually change that much from Friday's action to post time Saturday. Twice the Appeal will be less than 15-1.
__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 05-07-2011, 12:26 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski View Post
POF fits pretty well on Thorograph. I think he's a contender in a very muddled group.

And I can't believe I'm saying this but I agree with Justin Dew. The odds don't usually change that much from Friday's action to post time Saturday. Twice the Appeal will be less than 15-1.
Astoundingly 9-1 still. I was wrong.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 05-07-2011, 01:51 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
Astoundingly 9-1 still. I was wrong.
I made the same mistake last year, Randall, predicting that one horse's odds were an early betting anomoly that would surely be corrected on Saturday. I don't remember the horse, but the odds hardly moved at all.

--Dunbar
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 05-07-2011, 01:52 PM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
I made the same mistake last year, Randall, predicting that one horse's odds were an early betting anomoly that would surely be corrected on Saturday. I don't remember the horse, but the odds hardly moved at all.

--Dunbar
I mean if he wins with TTA he deserves to be in the Hall of Fame this summer.
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 05-07-2011, 02:19 PM
pointman's Avatar
pointman pointman is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 15,693
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski View Post
POF fits pretty well on Thorograph. I think he's a contender in a very muddled group.

And I can't believe I'm saying this but I agree with Justin Dew. The odds don't usually change that much from Friday's action to post time Saturday. Twice the Appeal will be less than 15-1.
Even a broken clock is right twice a day. The odds rarely move significantly from day 1 to post time in the Derby
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 05-08-2011, 08:46 AM
justindew's Avatar
justindew justindew is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 1,640
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
95k. I'm not taking your money Jdew
11.9 to 1.

I win.
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 05-08-2011, 11:32 AM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by justindew View Post
11.9 to 1.

I win.
I purchased a new clown car for you. Enjoy!
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 05-08-2011, 11:36 AM
justindew's Avatar
justindew justindew is offline
Fairgrounds
 
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 1,640
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
I purchased a new clown car for you. Enjoy!
Those who follow me on Facebook and Twitter know why I don't need anyone to purchase anything for me. I'll but my own clown car.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:49 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.