8/10: Saratoga ~ Day 23 (SAR Special)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Aviator Gui 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Jujubee 9-2 6th
Next Best: #2 Sandman 7-2 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #7 Thunder Roll 10-1 4th


2nd: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Banned for Life 9-2 WON ($8.70)
Next Best: #1 Hurricane Nelson 1-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Marche 7-2 6th
Super Add: #6 Tomorrow's Wish 8-1 5th


3rd: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Secret Rules 9-5 3rd
Next Best: #6 Saffa's Day 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Disco Deano 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 The Bullion Bomber 7-2 5th


4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-OFF (DD)

Most Likely: #9 Miss Fashionista 2nd
Next Best: #6 Bertrille 3rd


5th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f

Most Likely: #7 Spiritual Lady 5-2 WON ($4.20)
Next Best: #6 Grab the Glory 5-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Toot Your Horn 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Jay's Love 8-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

1: 2-4-5 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
2: 1-4 (A), - (B), 2-6 (C)
3: 2-6 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
4: 9 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x4x1x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 3x2x2x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup 3x2x2x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (2-6 in 2nd)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-4 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
3: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 6-7 (A), 2-3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-OFF (P5, P3, DD)

Will need off-the-turf SCR's to determine pecking order and there's no guarantee that it will be any easier once we know who is staying in..

Most Likely: #11 Clock Tower 2nd
Next Best: #1 Statesman 3rd
Exotics Use: #12 The Boondocker 7th
Super Add: #4 Royal Presence 4th


8th: Saratoga Special (G2), 2yo, 6.5f (P4, DD)

BEAT BYK ~ Week 5: https://www.ntra.com/nhc/beatbyk/

Very good edition of this with 9 runners assembling from 6 different venues. Pace aplenty and one of the speeds could get loose ~ but which one?

Best Value: #3 Global Legend 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Smoken Wicked 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Keep It Easy 4-1 8th
Super Add: #2 Showcase 6-1 WON ($8.70)


9th: Troy (G2), 4+, 5.5f-OFF

SCR #1 Witty who runs tomorrow at CNL..

Most Likely: #12 Surveillance WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #3 Step Forward 3rd
Next Best #5 Thin White Duke 5th


11th: S/ALW, 4+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #5 M B's Munning 15-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Downtownchalybrown 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Got Thunder 5-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Dot's Dollar 9-2 5th


12th: Galway, 3yo-F, 5.5f-OFF

Most Likely: #10 Halina's Forte WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #1 Golden Degree 4th
Next Best: #7 Baraye 2nd


P5 Grid:

7: 1-11 (A), 12 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-9 (A), 2-4-5 (B), - (C)
9: 12 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
11: 2-3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x1x4x1 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x1x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACAA): 2x3x1x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-3-9 (A), 2-4-5 (B), - (C)
9: 12 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
11: 2-3-4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x1 = $24 ($12 for .50)
All A's: 3x1x4x1 = 12 x .50 = $6
Backup (ACAA): 3x1x4x1 = 12 x .50 = $6 (3 in 9th)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]