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#1
10-26-2007, 02:43 PM
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10/27: Breeders' Cup Saturday (2 of 2)
8th: BC MILE (Gr. I), $2MM, 3+, 8f-T (P4, P3)
Freely admit to having little feel for always quirky event.. Will be using ML fave #13 Excellent News lightly and #12 Purim in my own plays and multi-race wagers.. Best Value: #11 Silent Name 30-1: Bay 5yo being utterly ignored here this week, but makes debut for Frankel; Tote booster if able to return to good form.. 12th Most Likely: #8 Kip Deville 6-1: Back to where he was in spring after misfires on foolish West Coast jaunts; 6 of 9 this trip and more than acceptable price.. WON Exotics Use: #14 Remarkable News 12-1: Exceedingly classy 5yo should be able to get to turn first and save the ground the rest of the way under clever Ramon; Wire threat.. 2nd Super Add: #9 Nobiz Like Shobiz 8-1 Choosing to trust Tagg's judgement with converted Classic soph who had been intended on trip to HOL for the Gr. I Derby; Only now really getting hang of lawn despite three straight wins; Castellano prefers Trippi's Storm, but Johnny V. may be a good fit.. 4th 9th: BC DISTAFF (Gr. I), $2MM, F&M-3+, 9f (P3) Best Value: #6 Bear Now 15-1: Savvy Canadian conditioner always enters with intent and Tiznow filly will adore slop while loping on/near lead; Live, ready and dangerous turning for home with H'dorfer below.. 8th Most Likely: #12 Hystericalady 8-1: Plenty of frontstretch available for DistHumor 4yo to get to turn without ground loss, and from there it's up to Castro; Ignore synthetic surface form and focus on Molly Pitcher performance this oval; Stands out.. 2nd Exotics Use: #11 Unbridled Belle 9-2: Pletcher Broken Vow 4yo immediately retutned to level of DEL H. performance with Beldame score: a good sign that she's capable of big effort again here; Mud a question mark.. 5th Super Add: #1 Balance 20-1: Hofmans' TGulch bay accomplished and sitting on go for stalking trip from inside; Scored on wet-fast SA surface in February; Price is right.. 6th 10th: BC TURF (Gr. I), $3MM, 3+, 12f-T (DD) Best Value: #2 Red Rocks 7-2 Back to defend title and gets Lasix as he did in '06 visit; Racey looking Galileo 4yo arrives here certainly as good as last year and could pull same stunt.. 3rd Most Likely: #7 Dylan Thomas 7-5 Imposing Danehill bay trying to reverse 'Arc Curse' on three week turnaround; O'Brien amazed by colt's continence and increasing legend; Murtaugh likened MTH surface to Ascot's Friday, spot where Magnier-Tabor product aced Grp I 'George & Liz' in July; His race to lose.. 5th Exotics Use: #6 English Channel 5-2: Quality 5yo 2/2 this strip, but off-going may not suit so well; Always comes with run, but expect board hit at best.. WON Super Add: #1 Fri Guy 50-1: Romans-Zayat red will set pace and save ground, and should get little pressure; Has run races close enough to consider as exotics ladder-hanger at bonus tote.. 7th 11th: BC CLASSIC (Gr. I), $5MM, 10f An edition of this race like few before it: A remarkably well-match group.. Take the one you've enjoyed the most as there appears to be little seperating the 4 excellent sophomores and 4yo Lawyer Ron.. Best Value: #3 Any Given Saturday 4-1: Haskell winner appears right type for this race flow, scenario, course condition.. Most Likely: #4 Curlin 3-1: Pitts, then Asmussen, deserve all the credit for making the most of super-talented Street Cry son; Never worse than third since bow, displayed tenacity in JCGC score and will need to utilize every tool in the box to cap campaign; Frankly rooting against, but looms the one to beat.. WON Exotics Use: #1 Lawyer Ron 5-2: Magical year for Pletcher's Langfuhr 4yo who may finally have found the right spot to be rank; Gets first run on Hard Spun, but will need to battle others for all the money; Big chance.. Super Add: #2 Street Sense 3-1: Wonderful Nafzger colt is ready, but takes the worst of it under potential scenario of slop; Will be hard to close on this strip, but expect game an effort as possible in career farewell.. P4 Play: 8: 8-11-13-14 9: 6-11-12 10: 7 11: 1-2-3-4 4x3x1x4 = $48 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 10-27-2007 at 05:45 PM. 
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#2
10-26-2007, 08:17 PM
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Street Sense
Steve - you've backed SS all season long, and recently on air; is the track condition the reason you are backing off him now?
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#3
10-26-2007, 09:38 PM
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Steve.....
Gonna dip into the p6? Dylan Thomas being a strong single there as well.
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#4
10-26-2007, 10:52 PM
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Carl Nafzger was stoic about it today on the show saying your horse has to face adversity, etc., but since we don't get to see horses like this match up as often anymore, you really feel cheated by a surface we're likely to get tomorrow.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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#5
10-26-2007, 11:11 PM
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Went down in flames on Friday, stickin' with my original picks for Saturday.....anyway playin' with "house money" from the Spa.
Things can only get.....better??? Good luck everybody with your plays on Saturday, the "big boy" gets hitched (my stepson Josh) so won't see much, put most of Saturday's plays in on Friday afternoon, don't see much track change and sticking to those selections. It's been a great year anyway for me; wagering, the Dee Tee Stables & meeting all great people at the Spa. Thanks to all!!!!!!!!!
__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/
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#6
10-27-2007, 06:55 AM
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Doesn't mean he won't win, but I personally do not think he is a strong single. GL
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#7
10-27-2007, 08:48 AM
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Race 8: #9 Nobiz Like Shobiz and #13 excellent Art
Race 9: #4 Ginger Punch and #5 Lady Joanne Race 10: #7 Dylan Thomas(LOCK) Race 11: #3 Any given Saturday and #2 Street Sense. Pick 4 6,9,13,14 4,5,11 7 23
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#8
10-27-2007, 06:44 PM
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Linear Mode
