Hard Spun's Condition.......Fit Or Fatigued

[docicu3]

After reading such conflicting information including the thread here about the accuracy of media "opinion" or facts, I am left with less of a feeling of certainty about the horses condition.

Did Mario ruin him for a couple months by leaving his best effort on the track a week prior to the day he needed it or did the horse get a strong work that was part of his intended cycle.

I agree with many here that although I think you have to have savers with some of the obvious chalk I would love to key Hard Spun for a great score if I had confidence of his current condition.

What do people think????

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

i think we will see when the gate opens..thats a fast work..

[Merlinsky]

Say you work like this, then come and win the race with a solid effort. Does the combination of work/race exertion this close together matter or is the recovery up to the Preakness strictly about getting over the Derby?

[tanner12oz]

i think his connections are boneheads and that is a bigger issue to get over then the workout......i like this horse alot but theres a few red flags that go up for me.

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

He would have been my top pick...but, his connections & the work scared me from doing that.

[MarkyD]

I hope the condition is sharp.

This guy has to pull a War Emblem. Take the lead and grab the rail so Street Sense has to go around him. War Emblem forced Perfect Drift to go outside of him, cause I rememebr Perfect Drift comming hard along the rail.

I believe this is all Street Sense, Hard Spun.

[alysheba4]

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff

He would have been my top pick...but, his connections & the work scared me from doing that.

......dont overthink, its just a horse race. i remember ferdinand worked 58 flat, thats
before churchill was santa anita east.......he won rather easy

[Thunder Gulch]

Originally Posted by tanner12oz

i think his connections are boneheads and that is a bigger issue to get over then the workout......i like this horse alot but theres a few red flags that go up for me.

Agree with this. While traditional prep methods are losing favor, they have been all over the place with this guy.

[ShadowRoll]

Didn't this happen before -- where the horse worked extra fast and Mario said he misjudged it because the horse was moving so easy? Or am I thinking of someone else? But if I'm right, it'd be nice to know how the horse did in the next race right after that work.