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  #21  
Old 10-19-2010, 11:01 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
Besides PG, who thinks she has a shot in the Mile?
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  #22  
Old 10-19-2010, 11:16 AM
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lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
Race 2- Toss B@T... Press Uncle Moe, back up with Astrology and Stay Thirsty.

Race 3- Toss Goldikova and Paco Boy. Use Rip Van Winkle, Proviso, Courageous Cat and Sidneys Candy.

Race 4- This is gross. Is there enough speed to set up the 2 best horses, Bribon and the Warrior. Likely spread, the 2 closers with Giralomo and Big Drama. Really hope I can form something strong in this race over the next 2 weeks.

Race 5- Fame N Glory, Workforce, Behkabad and Sans Frontieres all look really good to me, hopefully 1 or 2 of them will not go, and then I only have to go 2,3 deep, because I wont be using an American.

Race 6- Because of my love for the GOAT...I might have to include Lucky especially in the bigger pick 4's Ill play, but my mains will be Z and QR.
I'm all for trying to beat favorites, but I would suggest actually looking at the PPs with an open mind when they become available. It's well documented that you love Stay Thirsty and dislike BOT, but it seems like you're tossing him only to avenge your wrong opinion about him in the Hopeful. I haven't seen the PPs, but I would be shocked if Astrology has any kind of realistic chance to win the Juvy, even if his debut victory was a key race.
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  #23  
Old 10-19-2010, 11:30 AM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Besides PG, who thinks she has a shot in the Mile?
I can't wait to bet Paco Boy. He's 0-3 against Goldikova but the possibility of a fast pace and firmer turf course could be the equalizer.
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  #24  
Old 10-19-2010, 11:50 AM
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Indian Charlie Indian Charlie is offline
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Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
I can't wait to bet Paco Boy. He's 0-3 against Goldikova but the possibility of a fast pace and firmer turf course could be the equalizer.
All turf courses in Europe are firm.
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  #25  
Old 10-19-2010, 03:54 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
I can't wait to bet Paco Boy. He's 0-3 against Goldikova but the possibility of a fast pace and firmer turf course could be the equalizer.
Any guess as to what the Kova/Paco and Paco/Kova exactas pay? I know it's always risky banking on multiple shippers, but they're so much better than everyone else if I can get $15-$16 it might be a box worth making IMO.
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  #26  
Old 10-19-2010, 03:56 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
Any guess as to what the Kova/Paco and Paco/Kova exactas pay? I know it's always risky banking on multiple shippers, but they're so much better than everyone else if I can get $15-$16 it might be a box worth making IMO.
You think 3-1 is really fair odds there?
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  #27  
Old 10-19-2010, 03:58 PM
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brockguy brockguy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
Any guess as to what the Kova/Paco and Paco/Kova exactas pay? I know it's always risky banking on multiple shippers, but they're so much better than everyone else if I can get $15-$16 it might be a box worth making IMO.

I have been thinking about this and was just gonna ask what ballpark figure you would put it at?

I know you said somewhere else you cant see him being much higher than 5-1 but if Proviso and GioPonti also go, I can see him being 4th favourite at best and being double digits. He is available at 7-1 over here right now.
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  #28  
Old 10-19-2010, 04:03 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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Goldikova is better than Paco Boy - do we really think the possibly firmer turf is going to make a difference. If someone beats her, it'll probably be Sidney's Candy or Gio (barring some up and coming Euro).
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  #29  
Old 10-19-2010, 04:07 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
Goldikova is better than Paco Boy - do we really think the possibly firmer turf is going to make a difference. If someone beats her, it'll probably be Sidney's Candy or Gio (barring some up and coming Euro).
The pace is going to make a difference. I'm not saying it's going to hinder her at all, but I think a fast pace is going to help him and it's not like miles are separating the two of them.
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  #30  
Old 10-19-2010, 04:33 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
Any guess as to what the Kova/Paco and Paco/Kova exactas pay? I know it's always risky banking on multiple shippers, but they're so much better than everyone else if I can get $15-$16 it might be a box worth making IMO.
You will take 16 bucks in a 10-12 horse field?
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  #31  
Old 10-19-2010, 04:34 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
Goldikova is better than Paco Boy - do we really think the possibly firmer turf is going to make a difference. If someone beats her, it'll probably be Sidney's Candy or Gio (barring some up and coming Euro).
Don't you make a living betting the "Other Euro"
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  #32  
Old 10-19-2010, 05:08 PM
tiznowthegreat tiznowthegreat is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
DRF has some pre entry stuff up on Formulator right now. Not really the most expansive list, though.
how/where do you access this?
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  #33  
Old 10-19-2010, 05:09 PM
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Duvalier Duvalier is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tiznowthegreat View Post
how/where do you access this?
They're in the DRF Formulator PPs. You can find them under the Handicapping header...you need a subscription though.
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  #34  
Old 10-19-2010, 05:32 PM
tiznowthegreat tiznowthegreat is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Duvalier View Post
They're in the DRF Formulator PPs. You can find them under the Handicapping header...you need a subscription though.

All I see is the list of tracks and dates. ???
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  #35  
Old 10-19-2010, 05:35 PM
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Duvalier Duvalier is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tiznowthegreat View Post
All I see is the list of tracks and dates. ???
You're right. Had em up yesterday but they must have removed them...sorry.
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  #36  
Old 10-19-2010, 05:42 PM
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Arletta Arletta is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
All turf courses in Europe are firm.
They are?
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  #37  
Old 10-19-2010, 11:51 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
You think 3-1 is really fair odds there?
Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
You will take 16 bucks in a 10-12 horse field?
Yep. They're on another planet from Gio Ponti and Sidney's Candy. Judging by your responses, I'll probably do better than $16, which answers my question.
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  #38  
Old 10-20-2010, 08:24 AM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
Yep. They're on another planet from Gio Ponti and Sidney's Candy. Judging by your responses, I'll probably do better than $16, which answers my question.
I dont see how Gio Ponti has a chance, is he going to outkick Gold, Paco, and Proviso? Sidneys Candy is dangerous, what if he totally freaks again, hes the only horse who can still move way up.
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  #39  
Old 10-20-2010, 10:04 AM
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cakes44 cakes44 is offline
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Yeah well Araafa should have been a lock the last time it was at Churchill. There are alot of things that can happen in the Mile, and I'm giving Gio Ponti a big chance here. His kick matches up with these if he can get a trip IMO.
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  #40  
Old 10-20-2010, 10:30 AM
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JerseyJ JerseyJ is offline
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Is this how low we have sunk to actually thinking that our mediocre turf horses have any chance to beat top class European horses on the grass?

Come on, Gio Ponti? He's a neat horse and he's good for an American turf horse but how good is he really...he sure seems to find ways to lose races he should win.

Proviso, seriously? We already went over this. She couldn't get close to Goldikova in Europe and needed to come run against our average turf/synthetic females to start to win. She's really not that good.

And finally, Sidney's Candy. If there's a favorite and likely horse to finish last in the Mile this one is it. He's yet to face even average turf horses let alone true world class quality Milers. He may have the lead early but as soon as the class horses run him down watch him plummet to the back of the pack. If there's one thing I'm confident of in the Mile, it's this horse has zero chance to hit the board, let alone win.
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