(At) What Odds Will Rachel Go Off?

Rupert Pupkin · #1 05-07-2009, 05:19 PM

Assuming that Rachel Alexandra runs in the Preakness, what odds do you guys think she will go off at? We still don't know for sure who will be in there. Jones is now saying that Fresian Fire will run. Papa Clem and Musket Man are supposed to run. I don't know if POTN will run or not.

Rachel has been so impressive that she will obviously be the favorite. But I think some of those other horses will get play so I don't think RA will be odds-on. I'm guessing she goes off at around even-money. What do you guys think?

ateamstupid · #2 05-07-2009, 05:21 PM

Depends on how big of a field it is. I say 3-2. There are enough doubts (or at least there should be) about her competition to keep her above even-money.

ninetoone · #3 05-07-2009, 05:25 PM

Put me in for 2.40/1

King Glorious · #4 05-07-2009, 05:39 PM

Rupert Pupkin · #5 05-07-2009, 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Depends on how big of a field it is. I say 3-2. There are enough doubts (or at least there should be) about her competition to keep her above even-money.

I rarely bet favorites, but I will bet her if she is anything close to those odds. I'm not impressed by any of the colts that will be in there. If there was a horse like Quality Road in there, it would be a totally different story. But I don't see any really good colts in there. RA is the best filly I have ever seen. I would bet her at 3-2 against a cast of mediocre colts.

10 pnt move up · #6 05-07-2009, 06:02 PM

Looking at the field so far, 8/5.

sdjcom · #7 05-07-2009, 06:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

Assuming that Rachel Alexandra runs in the Preakness, what odds do you guys think she will go off at? We still don't know for sure who will be in there. Jones is now saying that Fresian Fire will run. Papa Clem and Musket Man are supposed to run. I don't know if POTN will run or not.

Rachel has been so impressive that she will obviously be the favorite. But I think some of those other horses will get play so I don't think RA will be odds-on. I'm guessing she goes off at around even-money. What do you guys think?

I'm betting against her and might eat my words but i think she'll get beat,why
because i want her to, no other reason.

ninetoone · #8 05-07-2009, 06:35 PM

I'm more interested to see what MTB and the others go off at...

hockey2315 · #9 05-07-2009, 06:43 PM

And I the only one who thinks she's a big play against? (Not that she won't be the best horse in the race)

IrishofNDMan · #10 05-07-2009, 06:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315

And I the only one who thinks she's a big play against? (Not that she won't be the best horse in the race)

No I agree, Papa Clem and Musket Man look like good options to me.

hockey2315 · #11 05-07-2009, 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan

No I agree, Papa Clem and Musket Man look like good options to me.

I'm not particularly crazy about either one of them either, though. . . I don't know much about Hull but maybe he's the real deal. . .

#12 05-09-2009, 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn

Be there or be square,
I swear.

I want you to bed by 10:00 pm tonight, lights off.
Light breakfast, get the eye drops in.
I would expect you to be at the track at 5 am
just in case she works in the dark. (Mobile lighting)

Since she wins the Oaks under a light jog I expect
you convince connections to go Preakness.
ONE MILLION DOLLARS.

Lemoncruch:
First, if they wanted $1 million, they should have "jogged" in the Arkansas Derby. No chance they spend the ridiculous supplemental fee now just to run in the preakness since she is not triple crown nominated.

yikes...

And now she will be favored.
Bizarre.

ateamstupid · #13 05-10-2009, 08:44 AM

Right now a field of 13 is expected. If she's less than 2-1 I'm playing against. She's an awesome filly and probably the best horse in the race, but she's faced nothing but muskrats this year. I'm pretty sure Papa Clem and Musket Man would look pretty good against Flying Spur and Stone Legacy too. Plus it would be a lot more fun to see her lose now that she's trained by Asshead.

Hickory Hill Hoff · #14 05-10-2009, 09:18 AM

5-2 with POTN a close 2nd, MTB will be over 8-1 at least with Papa, Musket ahead of him.

Travis Stone · #15 05-10-2009, 10:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff

5-2 with POTN a close 2nd, MTB will be over 8-1 at least with Papa, Musket ahead of him.

I can see 5 or 6-1, maybe 7-1 given the right circumstances, but OVER 8-1? I dunno.

Dunbar · #16 05-10-2009, 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone

I can see 5 or 6-1, maybe 7-1 given the right circumstances, but OVER 8-1? I dunno.

Agree. Over 8-1 and I'd bet him myself. Especially if it's raining.

--Dunbar

Travis Stone · #17 05-10-2009, 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Right now a field of 13 is expected. If she's less than 2-1 I'm playing against. She's an awesome filly and probably the best horse in the race, but she's faced nothing but muskrats this year. I'm pretty sure Papa Clem and Musket Man would look pretty good against Flying Spur and Stone Legacy too. Plus it would be a lot more fun to see her lose now that she's trained by Asshead.

I think this the thing to do... you bet against her as a gambler, root for her as a fan. I fully agree with running her in this spot, I'm a-okay with playing against her as well. If she wins, it's great for the game and you can take solace in that.