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#21
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Honestly some horses are going to take to it and some are not, I dont think style means much. |
#22
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__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit. |
#23
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#24
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![]() Tiago's best race to date was probably at Oaklawn Park, was it not?
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The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs." |
#25
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#26
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#27
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![]() Reporting for Duty was 3rd beaten 6 in that Oaklawn Park handicap - he got bought up and has been drubbed a couple of times in Saudi Arabia.
Tiago had already won the Santa Anita Derby - and was 3rd in the Belmont Stakes in a race where he got no pace at all before ever racing on a synthetic track. He's basically about the same on both surfaces. |
#28
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#29
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The lousy Brownie Points was 2nd to Zenyatta in the Apple Blossom. Closers with turf oriented pedigrees make the worst syn to dirt projections. |
#30
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Start #1: Won a Grade 2 stake by 2.5 lengths over Albertis Maxiumus Start #2: Won a Grade 1 stake by a nose over next out BC Classic 3rd place finisher Awesome Gem He also had the best finish of any American horse in last year's Breeders Cup Classic. |
#31
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![]() You look at the amount of turf a horse has in it's pedigree.
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#32
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My starting point is the most INTEGRAL, IMPORTANT, and IMPOSING concept in the history of horse racing: THE BOUNCE. ![]() My data shows that those horses that never BOUNCE in their racing career are those most apt to run on ANY surface. Of course, once they bounce, this all goes out the window. There's the 'common trait'. |
#33
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I would love to see him in the Met Mile, he cant make it now. Maybe the Whitney. |
#34
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![]() Acoma broke her Mdn at Keeneland and then won 2 straight at CD, one that included the Dogwood Stks.
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#35
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![]() this is a tough subject and is only on a case to case basis. the breeding is not as big a deal as it may look. any horse who has the look of a contener off poly should be used as if he had the ped for the dirt.there is huge misconception that a horse does not like poly. he/she was not a fit horse last out. got a bad trip ect.dont buy into the press of people that say they didnt like the poly..chances are the horse was not ready for it [the race] and will not all of a sudden get on the dirt and fly..
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#36
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![]() Colonial John is perhaps the best and most interesting example, he didn't get the best of trips last year in the derby which resulted in only a 6th place finished, it would have been very easy to dismiss him as a synthetic surface horse after that race, instead he came back to win the Travers later that summer. This is a perfect example of letting biases and or predjudices getting in the way of making a winning bet, I know I dismissed him last year so what do you do? You live and learn and try to keep an open mind next time a similiar situation comes along.
Last edited by CSC : 04-22-2009 at 07:37 PM. |
#37
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#38
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![]() IMHO, AW surfaces put a premium on stamina, whether it is implicit in the pedigree or developed by the trainer. In the current state of racing in the US, a horse is likelier to get stamina from the turf runners in the pedigree than the dirt runners, leading to the impression that horses with 'turfy' peds will do better on AW. Stallions who explode the notion equating turf and AW include dyed-in-the-wool dirt stayers A.P. Indy and Tiznow.
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#39
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#40
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