Arlington's Saturday Card - DRF Contest

[NTamm1215]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

i'll be playing against DOL in the 10th. first of all she'll be an underlay given all the hype, second i don't like her late pace numbers for the stretchout to a mile. i don't think with her light foundation she'll be staying the full mile on the lead against horses with more racing in them.

I completely agree and in fact I think this race could be ripe for a bomb coming through. Honest to Betsy is going to get money because of the fourth place finish last time, but that race was a total mirage given that More Happy was totally spent in the last furlong. Honest to Betsy is 7/2 on the morning line and those odds are intolerable.

Wonderful Luck looks kind of "one-paced" and perhaps the only thing going for her is that she's returning to the synthetic surface. Those two on top of Dreaming of Liz at a short price make shopping for longshots seem to be a good idea.

NT

[Scav]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

She's 4-1 on the morning line from the best connections on the ground. She's Marcus Hersh's Best Bet of the Day, there's an article about her in the DRF and her stablemate's going in the race prior.

I think she's going to be the favorite.

NT

3rd choice, maybe she ties for 2nd choice, but i doubt she is favored, if so, she is one of the falsiest favorites of the year.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by Scav

3rd choice, maybe she ties for 2nd choice, but i doubt she is favored, if so, she is one of the falsiest favorites of the year.

I agree. I would be really shocked if she goes off as the favorite given Wonderful Luck's record on synthetic.

[Mike]

I'm going to focus on The Pucker Up:

http://www.thorograph.com/ROTW/20070...px0899r_07.pdf
(you may have to be logged into thorograph.com and be registered)

[Mike]

I picked West Coast Swing, also, so forget anywhere near the 10-1 ml odds

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by Mike

I picked West Coast Swing, also, so forget anywhere near the 10-1 ml odds

i read in DRF that west coast swing will scratch if the race stays on turf, which it certainly will.

[jwkniska]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

i read in DRF that west coast swing will scratch if the race stays on turf, which it certainly will.

I heard the same thing.... they want to wait unitl Keeneland and run on the polytrack.