BEL: $60K C/O (4th-9th)

[zippyneedsawin]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Zip,

Good job.. I thought the firsters would be "there", but was surprised they were "so there"... Had I suggested a different single, it would have been Go Robin who i absolutely LOVED today... But I wanted to cover with the prices there. Today could have been monsterous, but the faves came to run...

Yeah, both firsters showed good works.. in that field they made sense to use. I used Go Robin and Bend a Little in the last. I went fairly deep in the 2nd leg (including having the 3 who scratched--so I was "ok" with having the favorite win)

[Kasept]

It was a pretty strong effort at Delaware Park Tuesday, with 2 on top winners, 2 second choice winners and third tab winner in the 5 races we capped… Those keyed 4 exactas, 3 trifectas and the late Pick 3, and if you added the 2nd selection in the opener of the Pick 4 to my single, you caught the Pick Four as well. The prices weren’t especially juicy, but we’ll take that kind of day happily. Results are below… Hope you did well.

Wednesday’s carryover is $45,000 at Belmont, but it’s a murderous sextet of heats and I don’t know if I’d suggest playing it. The first, second and sixth legs are Maiden Claiming affairs, two state bred, and there are few “standouts”. I’d tread lightly on the day overall…


SELECTIONS – Belmont Park (6/14/06) Races 4-9 (P6, P4, Grand Slam, P3’s)


R4: NYB Mdn Clm, 3+, 1m

1. #8 Sense of Speed 5-1: Morrison returns A.P. Jet gelding who looks steady getting ready
A. #1 Smoke Diamond 8-1: DeMasi grey takes proverbial “biggest drop in racing”
B. #6 Bronxdale 4-1: Gullo adds Gomez to bay that is ITM 4 of 8 tries
C. #3 Judge John B. 8-1: gelding by sire we love a karma include; blinks off, goes turf to dirt and cuts back


R5: Mdn Clm, 3+, 1m-T

1. #7 Tactically Fein 15-1: Will keep trying with Campo red who lures Luzzi after decent grass debut last
2. #9 Good Looking Out 12-1: Cedano gelding hit board first time in career in lawn bow fortnight back
A. #10 Bold Love 5-1: My man Sciacca sends 5yo chestnut again, and should find this field to his liking
B. #4 Gift of Valor 6-1: Hard to ignore anything from Contessa right now, and Calumet bred has back figs
C. #2 Lotsa Smarts 12-1: Manning gelding’s number jumped first time on lawn last time in Tampa


R6: Clm, 4+, 9f-IT

1. #4 A Nice Splash 15-1: Commonly bred Ontario native 10/6-2-0 last 12 months; Bonus tab
2. #1 Privy Seal 3-1: Prado returns on stretchout with Dutrow import on the drop
A. #5 Forget the Judge 8-1: Saw this 7yo by Judge TC win at GP; Hasn’t missed a check in forever
B. #7 Gigli 5-2: Frankel brings horse from Ipanema back after year plus; Was Gr. I placed “back when”


R7: OC/N3X ($100k), 4+, 8.5f-T

1. #7 Golden Commander 6-1: Serpe 6yo a classy customer; just missed Dave in Kingston last out off break
2. #1 Ashkal Way 5-2: Godolphin gelding made NA debut a winner and looks headed for stakes company
A. #2 Dave 4-1: Tagg terror returned to circle after series of misses last but doesn’t get ideal scenario today
B. #9 L’Oiseau d’Argent 12-1: Can’t pass plump price on regular board visitor from sky high KMac shed


R8: OC/N3X ($75k), 4+, 6.5f

1. #1a Royal Moment 4-1: Asmussen side of entry keeps good company (Spooky, Introspect, Cheetah, etc.)
2. #3 Dashboard Drummer 8-1: Attractive number on good gelding; In super every start since May ‘05
A. #4 Tenthirteen 10-1: More tote goodness available on Ribaudo gelding 7/1-2-2 this strip
B. #2 Rumspringa 5-2: Tagg-Lael contestant possible lone speed here; Must use


R9: Mdn Clm, 3+, 1m-T

1. #3 Dancing Dynamo 6-1: 5yo gelding from IEAH came fast from impossible slot last
2. #4 Really Reilly 7-2: Hushion-Schwartz player ML choice and shows consistency
A. #5 King Hoss 8-1: Kimmel takes goggles off Stronach-bred that is usually close
B. #6 Kris Angel 15-1: Sciacca goes green with Kissin Kris colt that was wide in debut


<$100 P6 Play:

4:1-8
5: 7-9
6: 4-7
7: 1-2-7
8: 1e-2
9: 3

2x2x2x3x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


$4 Grand Slam:

5: 9
6: 4
7: 7
8: All

1x1x1x6 x $4 = $24


P4 Play:

6: 1-4-7
7: 1-2-7
8: 1e-2-3
9: 3-5

3x3x3x2 = $54


Good luck on a tough card..
Steve


RESULTS -- Delaware Park (6/13/06) Races 5-9 (P4, P3's)

5th: MSW, 1m, F&M-3+

1. #3 Strong Vows 2-1: 3RD
2. #4 Golden Opportunity 3-1: WON
3. #5 Coupled 4-1: 2ND

Ex: $13.30
Tri: $31.80

6th: Alw/N1x, 3+, 9f-T

1. #4 Fin Addict 8-1: 5TH
2. #6 Enroute 7-2: WON
A. #5 Agent Danseur 10-1: 2ND
B. #7 I'm a Fax 10-1: 7th

Ex: $13.20


7th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6f

1. #1 The Student 6-1: WON
2. #5 Forest Park 4-1: 3RD
A. #6 Crafty Schemer 2-1: 2ND
B. #3 Saay Mi Name 8-1: ?

Ex: $6.50
Tri: $13.00


8th: OC/N4x, F&M-3+, 9f-T

1. #2 Go Robin 4-1: WON
2. #7 Missmaybe 20-1: ?
A. #8 Frost Princess 6-1: 4TH
B. #4 Patriots Image 12-1: 3RD

(Include favorite #5 Bend a Little in multi-race wagers)


9th: Clm, 3 yo, 8.5f

1. #3 Harbor Worker 10-1: 5TH
2. #2 Stormy Fellow 6-1: 3RD
A. #5 Padua's Gift 7-2: WON
B. #4 Behind Enemy Lines 6-1: 2ND

Ex: $14.80
Tri: $88.40

[GPK]

If this rain from Alberto forces me to leave work early today and I have to go home, lay around and play the races all afternoon, I am gonna be HIGHLY UPSET!!!

[Kasept]

Scratched Little Bit O'Gold in the BEL 4th.. Otherwise the selections are "as is"..

[GPK]

big time tri in the 5th with the 7-10-8...I didn't bet the tri, but I did have WP on the 7.
well done Stevo.

[Scav]

I REALLY hope he played this pick six ticket, $22 horse, and a $25 horse to start it off...

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

the 10 hole is less tha 2perc on the widner..could not use him..and he fed up my 3/5...doh...great capping steve...your the man

[Kasept]

If anyone told me this play would be live for the conso I wouldn't have believed it.. Haven't seen the 'will pays', but my guess is the 6 gets hit..

<$100 P6 Play:

4:1-8
5: 7-9
6: 4-7
7: 1-2-7
8: 1e-2
9: 3

2x2x2x3x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96

[Nostradamus]

Well done. I was all over Tactically Fein myself but I would never have had Smoke Diamond.

[tap]

Nice call on top with Fein. Nice price too.

[Exceller]

Pick Six paid $165,540.00.

[Kasept]

I'm a Goer in the 6th prevents this from being an All-time kind of day... Destroys the multis (6, 4, Slam) with run up the rail...

Three tris though ($815.50, $25.50, $115.75) that make the day a keeper..

But boy..

[Kasept]

It was, by any definition, a VERY good day... One race, Belmont's 6th, stood between us and one of our best days ever Wednesday. Four winners from our first or second choices, one third choice winner, produced three trifectas including a $1,600 ($2) bonanza in the 5th...

Only I'm a Goer eluded us Wednesday when Gary Contessa's charge found room up the rail. That result ruined the P4, Grand Slam and P6 conso... That's how narrow the gap is between a good day and an unforgettable one. On a day where we thought the Pick Six would be a foolhardy investment, we suggested a cheap $96 ticket which caught 4 of 6... The winning play returned $166,000... Details of yesterday are below today's selections.

Thursday we are right back at Belmont before shifting gears towards Saturday's huge Stephen Foster Day stakes card at Churchill... Hope you did well... The ammunition was there!


SELECTIONS -- Belmont Park (6/15/06), Races 4-9 (P6, P4, Grand Slam, P3's)


R4: MSW, NYB-3+ 9f-IT

1. #4 Conrad Crossing 5-1
2. #5 Speaking Out 3-1
A. #10 Soldier of Rome 12-1
B. #2 I Won't Dance 12-1
C. #3 Rodeo Hand 9-2


R5: Clm, F&M-3+, 6f

1. #1 Town Charmer 5-1
2. #2 For What Its Worth 3-1
A. #5 Vicaracci 6-1
B. #9 Sweet La Rizzi 4-1


R6: OC/N2X, NYB 3+, 6f

1. #8 Frank's Fuse 7-2
2. #1 Air Race 5-1
A. #3 Cool Days 3-1
B. #7 The Trip Continues 20-1


R7: OC/N3X, NYB 3+, 1m-T

1. #7 No Parole 7-2
2. #1 Emotrin 3-1
A. #5 Fiddlers Cat 10-1
B. #4 Theconfidenceman 8-1


R8: Alw/N1X, 3+, 9f-IT

1. #9 Museeb 5-2
2. #1 Sweetiewheatie 12-1
A. #3 Federal Number 7-2
B. #5 Builders Option 10-1


R9: Mdn Clm, F&M-3+, 1m-T

1. #3 Princess Langfuhr 15-1
2. #1 Martin entry (A Stroke A Hole) 5-2
A. #11 Kiss On a Star 6-1
B. #6 Griffin Cat 12-1


$4 Grand Slam:

5: 1
6: 8
7: 1
8: 1-3-5-6-9

1x1x1x5 x $4 = $20


$1 Pick Four:

6: 4-8
7: 1-7
8: 3-5-9
9: 1-3-4-11

2x2x3x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Friday-Saturday: Churchill Downs..



RESULTS – Belmont Park (6/14/06) Races 4-9 (P6, P4, Grand Slam, P3’s)


R4: Good start to day as Smoke Diamond produces at 10-1 to get the P6 rolling.. Siding with Sense of Speed over Meeses to Pieces costs us the tri.

1. #8 Sense of Speed 5-1: 5th @ 5-1
A. #1 Smoke Diamond 8-1: WON @ 10-1
B. #6 Bronxdale 4-1: 3rd @ 2-1
C. #3 Judge John B. 8-1: 4th @ 8-1


R5: Biggest trifecta in NY in a while ($1,631 for $2) as our 1-2-3 comes 1-3-2 at boffo tabs.. On top choice "Fein" keeps the P6 going great paying $25!

1. #7 Tactically Fein 15-1: WON @ 12-1
2. #9 Good Looking Out 12-1: 3rd @ 11-1
A. #10 Bold Love 5-1: 2nd @ 12-1
B. #4 Gift of Valor 6-1: 6th @ 13-1
C. #2 Lotsa Smarts 12-1: 8th @ 7-1


R6: "Splash" photo-ed out of third costing the $125 Grand Slam.. I'm a Goer spoils an otherwise near-perfect day..

1. #4 A Nice Splash 15-1: 4th @ 8-1
2. #1 Privy Seal 3-1: 2nd @ 5-2
A. #5 Forget the Judge 8-1: 5th @ 10-1
B. #7 Gigli 5-2: 3rd @ 5-1


R7: P6 moves to 3 of 4 as 2nd choice "Ashkal" gets up over the #3 that we considered at first pass but dropped when making final call..

1. #7 Golden Commander 6-1: 3rd @ 7-1
2. #1 Ashkal Way 5-2: WON @ 3-2
A. #2 Dave 4-1: 5th @ 13-2
B. #9 L’Oiseau d’Argent 12-1: 8th @ 5-2


R8: Other half of entry does the job for us giving the 6 play a shot at the conso. Cheap trifecta ($51) the 2nd of the day...

1. #1a Royal Moment 4-1: POE Entry (#1) WON @ 3-1
2. #3 Dashboard Drummer 8-1: 3rd @ 9-1
A. #4 Tenthirteen 10-1: 4th @ 7-1
B. #2 Rumspringa 5-2: 2nd @ 1-1


R9: Dynamo disappoints but King Hoss, our 2nd use in the P4, wins.. Reilly and Sciacca's 2nd board visitor of the day at a price (17-1) delivers a good tri ($231.50), #3 on the afternoon, to end a good day...

1. #3 Dancing Dynamo 6-1: 9th @ 10-1
2. #4 Really Reilly 7-2: 2nd @ 9-2
A. #5 King Hoss 8-1: WON @ 3-2
B. #6 Kris Angel 15-1: 3rd @ 17-1


<$100 P6 Play: PAYS $166,000

4:1-8
5: 7-9
6: 4-7 (Leaving out 'Goer' kills it..)
7: 1-2-7
8: 1e-2
9: 3 (Used the winner in the P4 play..)

2x2x2x3x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


$4 Grand Slam:

5: 9
6: 4 (No Goer means missing out on $125 x 2!)
7: 7
8: All

1x1x1x6 x $4 = $24


P4 Play:

6: 1-4-7 (No Goer.. No $192.75 payday..)
7: 1-2-7
8: 1e-2-3
9: 3-5

3x3x3x2 = $54

[Kasept]

They call baseball a game of redeeming qualities, well horseplaying is a game of humbling qualities... After a monsterous Wednesday at Belmont, Thursday was a blood-letting. Every call was a bad one, and with one chance at redemption in the nightcap, we failed to use hard-considered winner Maria's Locket, from Sciacca no less, which would have bailed out the day and way more...

Friday, we look to Churchill in a move designed to prepare for Saturday's big Foster Day card. It's always a good idea to watch races at an oval a day or two before you intend to wager to get a feel for what's hot and what';s not. Right now, it looks like Churchill is favoring stalker-closers on the main...

SELECTIONS -- CD, 6/16/06 (R7-11) Guaranteed $50k P4


7th: Alw, F&M-3+, 1m

1. #7 Hurricane Isabel 7-5: Imposing..
2. #4 Royal Cup 3-1: Rarely misfires..
A. #3 Lovetheprospect 6-1: 3rd off break..
B. #2 Dane Hall Dreamer 6-1: Sets pace..


8th: MSW, Fillies-2yo, 4.5f

1. #10 Chagall 4-1: Pletcher-Bejarano..
2. #3 Donnie's Madam 8-1: Foley tough 2nd start..
A. #2 Cohiba Miss 5-1: Could smoke 'em..
B. #5 Tora 5-1: Asmussen tore up KEE with juvys..


9th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6f

1. #7 Engineered 3-1: Romans Langfuhr 6yo comes late..
2. #6 Yes Yes Yes 2-1: Almost too obvious..
3. #4 Danieltown 4-1: Flint gelfing exits W. VA stakes..


10th: OC/$100k, 3+, 1m

1. #1 Suave 6-5: Figures to be set now..
2. #4 Second of June 2-1: Cesare brings him back again..
3. #5 Tap Danicing Mauk 15-1: Not far behind top ones on figs.

11th: Clm, F&M-3+, 1m-T

1. #10 Kindling 4-1: Needs to work out trip..
2. #2 Cat's Copy 7-2: Gets target..
A. #5 Sugar Booger 5-1: Stalks or presses under Guidry..
B. #7 Y Country 20-1: Could move up on lawn..


P4 play:

8: 2-3-10
9: 4-6-7
10: 1
11: 2-5-7-10

3x3x1x4 = $36


Good luck.. Huge stakes action from BEL, CD, AP, LS, HOL tomorrow!!

Steve

[Kasept]

Unbelievable.. I just go to see how this card went for me today, (well..), and discover I'm scratched out of two of the four P4 horses in my live ducat..

How about Second of June running his eyeballs out YET AGAIN, only to be nosed by Suave...

[Scav]

Hopefully he can get healthy because it is HARD to pass him, has the heart of a lion, Scud's type of horse

[whorstman]

Good call on #7 Engineered Kasept, I couldn't decide who to put with YYY and I went w/ him. Plus I like Romans and a girl I work w/ kinda knows him so I always have liked him. I just had to box 2 so I could pump it up a little, so even though ex only paid 17 and change, I was able to 5x it. Also saved my buddy some money, he wanted to uncork on YYY, but I told him he had better not, cause the 7 will hunt him down in the stretch, I looked like a genius.

[whorstman]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Unbelievable.. I just go to see how this card went for me today, (well..), and discover I'm scratched out of two of the four P4 horses in my live ducat..

How about Second of June running his eyeballs out YET AGAIN, only to be nosed by Suave...

Yeah, thanks for that one too, I don't bet a lot of money, so I look for keys. Keyed suave over your other 2 for a tri and got 2 1/2x back, about 80 bucks

[Kasept]

A Saturday of Stakes around the country, highlighted by the Stephen Foster Day bonanza at Churchill, should produce a great afternoon of racing. Belmont, Delaware, Arlington, Lone Star and Hollywood all card important stakes in addition to the sextet at Louisville. Most of the game's divisions are featured in these early summer events that will help determine the pecking order come the Breeders' Cup in November.

The Gr. I Ogden Phipps (BEL) and Stephen Foster combine with the Gr. II Fleur de Lis and Californian (HOL) for the popular NTRA National Pick 4 as well, a wager that has produced some outrageous returns in recent years. As with the Magna 5, there is something tremendously alluring for horseplayers in multi-track, multi-race punts, and ESPN will take advantage of today's quartet with a two hour broadcast of the play's races (5-7pm EST).

We can't address Saturday's features without first looking back at a race Friday which hopefully set the tone for a great afternoon of equine competition. Churchill's 10th Friday was a $100,000 optional claiming event that featured Paul Magee's Suave and Second of June, Bill Cesare's highly popular, oft-sidelined charge that rarely fails to produce memorable performances.

In 2004, Second of June engaged in a Fountain of Youth duel with Read the Footnotes that continues to be discussed. That Florida day, the pair raced on even terms for nearly the entire heat, with Rick Violette's colt edging the Holy Bull winner at the finish. Friday, Second of June fought on the front end before being confronted by Suave on the turn to set the stage for another gut-wrenching stretch drive. Down the entire 1,234.5 feet of the Downs' lane, Suave and Second of June battled with the latter once once more finding himself on the losing end of a photo.

He may not win these thrilling head to head struggles, but Second of June wins fans every time he steps out on the track.


SATURDAY STAKES


DEL 8 (3:54): 11th Susan's Girl, (L), $175,000, 3yo fillies, 8.5f

1. #6 PEAK MARIA'S WAY 8-1: Gorham gal could prove tough if able to shake loose; 2-2 course

2. #2 WONDER LADY ANNE L 2-1: Dutrow bay unlucky victim of Acorn gate incident when apparently ready to fire big shot; must prove self at short number on quirky oval

A. #5 AMANDATUDE 4-1: Can't exclude Ritchey listed winner by Aptitude who is perfect 7-7 in DEL exactas (2-5-0)

B. #1 GASIA 6-1: Becoming big fan of Mr. Jones (Hello Liberty) who's clicking 30% this circuit; looks poised but doesn't get best pace target for late kick


BEL 9 (5:15): 38th Ogden Phipps H. (Gr. I), $300,000, F&M-3+, 8.5f, (NTRA P4-Leg A)

1. #1 BENDING STRINGS 6-1: Fact Dollase ships in with American Chance 5yo telling; was third here in '05 to Ashado/Society Selection and looks better now; has plus stalk and pounce style that suits affair; offers value

2. #3 SPUN SUGAR 9-5: Pletcher miss was beneficiary of pathetic Albarado ride on Happy Ticket in 'Blossom'; plenty of time off since big figure earned there but still eligible to regress; vulnerable at miniscule price

A. #2 IN THE GOLD 10-1: Appreciate tote on Zito red from friend Charlotte Weber's Live Oak that has found going tough since Gr. I Gazelle win 8 months ago; returns to BEL (4/2-0-1) and one turn route she prefers; gets set up for late heroics

B. #7 BALLETTO 4-1: Castellano stays here, and this is another that showed improved form last when second best to today's #4 in the Shuvee; broke maiden and won Frizette this oval and owns anoth pair of placements in 4 Elmont visits


CD 6 (3:59): 29th Jefferson Cup, (Gr. II), $200,000, 3yo, 9f-T

1. #1 BRILLIANT 4-1: Howard-Farish hopeful has found calling on lawn, is 2-2 CD grass and figures to be alone turning for home

2. #4 MERCURIUS 9-2: 2nd Pletcher and "LDK" son has made this trip three straight starts and likely continues to progress

A. #6 YATE'S BLACK CAT 5-2: SCRATCHEDLate runner just missed two back when jump behind tragic 'Octave' in Forerunner; Romans' player may not get ideal flow

B. #7 OBI WAN KENOBI 6-1: Nice Han**** homebred from Brothers dueled top pick to the wire last time at a mile; loses Bridge to Storm Treasure but get Guid for the stretchout


CD 7 (4:33): 5th Northern Dancer, (Gr. III), $200,000, 3yo, 8.5f

1. #3 ADMIRAL'S ARCH 5-1: Forgiving poor Lone Star effort given that oval's love-hate surface; standing against Derby also-rans today nationwide as this one just as much at home at CD as Private Vow

2. #7 CIRCLE THE WORLD 4-1: SCRATCHED Using Mercurius rationale with this Pletcher runner too as nation's busiest trainer brings them forward in waves; FuPeg bay 2-2 with CD Alw score at 7f last

A. #4 SIMON PURE 10-1: Lukas-Lewis black type also ran zipped 5f <1:00 here Sunday and adds hot bug Leparoux

B. #1 PRIVATE VOW 9-5: Hard to swallow price on loser of three straight and off Derby dusting; no faster than the two to his right and rose run types a historical bad bet back


CD 8 (5:06): 37th Regret, (Gr. III), $200,000, 3yo fillies, 9f-T

1. #2 CANDY MA'AM 15-1: Take long look at long-winded Wilkes miss by LDK out of a Broad Brush mare; saves ground, will love the added distance and gets plus pace to chase; juicy mutuel under hustling Calvin

2. #1 LADY OF VENICE 5-2: Appalachian winner logical choice with hot J-T combo, but will be visited on front end and must gut out additional panel; figures prominent, but no lock

A. #9 FIERY DANCER 5-1: Took Atticus chestnut awhile to find form, but sharp Scherer picks spots well and Bejarano sticks; good enough for inclusion

B. #10 MAY NIGHT 12-1: Seitz trainee has kept company with many of these and yet to not earn check in 7 career efforts; broke maiden in PG Johnson and should be rallying late in tough heat


CD 9 (5:41): 32nd Fleur de Lis, (Gr. II), $300,000, F&M-3+, 9f, (NTRA P4-Leg B)

1. #2 HAPPY TICKET 6-5: Applaud Leggio for adding Leparoux after pair of top stake neck jobs compliments of dismal Albarado efforts on America's Makybe Diva; scratch BC DIS pallet flip, and Anet bay 15/11-4-0 which could be 15/13-2-0; refuses to be denied today and hope Robby is watching

2. #1 OONAGH MACCOOL 1-1: Undoubtedly premier Giant's Causeway daughter via Irish mare exits pair of Gr. II scores, but isn't as fast as one above; yielding listed loss lone failure on c.v. and sure to engage Ticket for epic duel under Raphy

3. #3 GALLANT SECRET 20-1: Taking price on recently hot Menifee bay as third cog in trifecta


CD 10 (6:13): 25th Stephen Foster H., (Gr. I), $750,000, 3+, 9f, (NTRA P4-Leg C)

1. #9 BRASS HAT 5-2: Openly rooting for Bradley and gallant gelding screwed royally by Dubai royalty; drilling well for return, owns right style and will be out for blood

2. #4 COSMONAUT 20-1: Biancone adds goggles to third LDK offspring noted today, and willing to look back to GG Gr. III win for inspiration at 20-1

A. #5 WIGGINS 15-1: Romans trainee gets to sit behind speed under Bejarano and though never a factor at this level could be "good now"

B. #8 WILD DESERT 15-1: SCRATCHED Clearly we're looking for value behind top pick, and Dutrow didn't come here for the bourbon (well, maybe); '05 Queens Plate victor was sharp in return from long layoff behind Tanaka star, and similar today earns share

ALTERNATE FOR SCRATCH: #3 WEST VIRGINIA 6-1


CD 11 (6:42): 30th Mint Julep, (Gr. III), $100,000, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

1. #7 RICH IN SPIRIT 3-1: Streaking Proctor (30% meet) sends Guid on versatile Repriced filly that's 3/2-1-0 at CD, 6/3-2-0 at trip; Slightly less accomplished than Gr. II winner Typhoon, but likely to move forward 3rd off break

2. #5 MY TYPHOON 5-2: Hate playing it chalky in any turf event, but Mott Live Oak Miss Revere victress has few warts; Albarado was aboard for that Gr. II win this lawn, and Giant's Causeway red is 3 for 4 this distance

A. #4 SKY HIGH FLYER 6-1: Frankel largely absent from today's stakes preceedings, so look to this one and Lone Star player to run well; 2/1-1-0 so far in North America, and well suited for this group

B. #12 SPECIAL GRAYCE 12-1: We LOVE anything Helen Pitts saddles, and Smart Strike grey has kicked it up a notch as four year old; will be going best late

C. #8 LOUVE ROYALE 4-1: Hard to exclude this Biancone-Leparoux player who just missed in Bewitch graded debut two back


HOL 4 (5:40): 28th Affirmed H., (Gr. III), $100,000, 3yo, 8.5f

1. #6 RECORD 4-1: Reiterate stand against post-Derby runners by siding with Baffert Derby Trial winner

2. #3 ARSON SQUAD 5-1: Headley thinks highly of Brahams stretchout player that brings 4/2-0-2 mark to fray

3. #2 POINT DETERMINED 2-1: Likely favorite not more than solid fit with these on figures


HOL 6 (6:43): 28th Californian H., (Gr. II), $250,000, 3+, 9f, (NTRA P4-Leg D)

1. #5 MELANYHASTHEPAPERS 6-1: Marquez 5yo always runs at Inglewood and looks to break through black type ceiling here

2. #2 DIXIE MEISTER 6-1: Canani-Tanaka candidate another seeking initial graded score and TX-bred has been close before

A. #6 SPELLBINDER 5-2: One of two Gr. II winners here with Frolic, Mandella frontrunning type faces pressures in waves

B. #3 SUPER FROLIC 5-1: Dubai exiters have been performing well around the country, and it's hard to know what to expect from HAW Gold Cup winner; working well though and a fit on pace, figs


$1 NTRA P4 PLAY:

A: 1-2-3-7
B: 1-2
C: 4-9
D: 2-5-6

4x2x2x3 = $48


$1 CD $100k Guaranteed P4:

8: 1-2
9: 1-2
10: 1-4-5-9
11: 5-7-12

2x2x4x3 = $48


<$50 CD P6:

6: 1
7: 3
8: 1-2-9
9: 2
10: 4-9
11: 5-7-8-12

1x1x3x1x2x4 = 24 x $2 = $48


Giood luck.. Enjoy the great day of racing!

Steve

[Gander]

Great analysis Steve, any thoughts on the nice Belmont 7th?

I am with you on Arson Squad and I also think that Super Frolic will be tough to stop today. Point Determined is the best bet against anywhere today.