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  #1  
Old 08-25-2023, 05:06 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,740
Default 8/25: Saratoga (Day 32; Personal Ensign)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM, 4+, 1m-OFF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Dust Devil 5th
Next Best: #9 Styner 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Datesfreedom 7th
Super Add: #11 Truculent WON ($11.60)


5th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Prove Right 3-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Heldish 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Joking Way 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Alternate Reality 8-1 6th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Air of Defiance 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Fierceness 2-1 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #3 Apollo Ten 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Wajda 5-1 8th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 You Look Cold 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Headland 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Ontheonesandtwos 5-1 WON ($7.10)


P4 Grid:

4: 9-12-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 1-10 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
6: 1-6 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 11f-OFF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Anatolian 3-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #11 She Caught My Eye 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Peak Popularity 9-5 2nd


9th: 73rd Personal Ensign (G1), F&M-4+, 9f (DD)

Far more than a 2 horse race..

Best Value: #3 Secret Oath 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Idiomatic 3-1 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Nest 4-5 3rd
Super Add: #6 Clairiere 5-2 5th


2-Day, Retail Only, .20 Must Pay Travers Weekend P6 Grid:

FRI 9: 1-3-5-6
SAT 7: 2-3
SAT 9: 5
SAT 10: 6
SAT 11: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7
SAT 12: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7

.20 Play: 4x2x1x1x7x7 = 392 x .20 = $78.40


10th: MSW, &M-3+, 5.5f-OFF

Best Value: #7 Going the Distance 5th
Next Best: #5 Risk Free 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Arrasou 2nd
Super Add: #1 Fra Diablo 7th


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-10 (A), 11 (B), - (C)
9: 1-3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 08-25-2023 at 06:36 PM.
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  #2  
Old 08-25-2023, 05:26 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,740
Default

SARATOGA ~ TRAVERS DAY


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


3rd: S/ALW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


5th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


P5 Grid:

1: - (A), - (B), - (C)
2: - (A), - (B), - (C)
3: - (A), - (B), - (C)
4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:


P4 Grid:

2: - (A), - (B), - (C)
3: - (A), - (B), - (C)
4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


7th: 44th Forego (G1), 4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


P4 Grid:

4: - (A), - (B), - (C)
5: - (A), - (B), - (C)
6: - (A), - (B), - (C)
7: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:


8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (Must Pay P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


9th: 39th Allen Jerkens (G1), 3yo, 7f (Traditional Late P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


10th: 45th Ballerina (G1), F&M3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


11th: 49th Sword Dancer (G1), 3+, 12f-Inner (P3, DD)

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


12th: 154th Travers (G1), 3yo, 10f (DD)

Best Value: #4 Mage 4-1
Next Best: #2 Arcangelo 5-2
Exotics Use: #1 Forte 7-5
Super Add: #6 Disarm 8-1


Must Pay P5 Grid:

8: - (A), - (B), - (C)
9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)
11: - (A), - (B), - (C)
12: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:


2-Day, Retail Only, .20 Must Pay Travers Weekend P6 Grid:

FRI 9: 1-3-5-6
SAT 7: 2-3
SAT 9: 5
SAT 10: 6
SAT 11: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7
SAT 12: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7

.20 Play: 4x2x1x1x7x7 = 392 x .20 = $78.40


13th: MSW, 3+, 1m-Inner

Most Likely:
Next Best Value:
Next Best Value:
Exotics Use:
Super Add:


Late P5 Grid:

9: - (A), - (B), - (C)
10: - (A), - (B), - (C)
11: - (A), - (B), - (C)
12: - (A), - (B), - (C)
13: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:


P4 Grid:

10: - (A), - (B), - (C)
11: - (A), - (B), - (C)
12: - (A), - (B), - (C)
13: - (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B):
All A's:


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 08-25-2023 at 05:43 PM.
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  #3  
Old 08-25-2023, 03:29 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,740
Default

8th off the turf..

#1 Avenue Niel (IRE) Scratched - Reason Unavailable 11:39 AM ET
Scratch Reason - Reason Unavailable changed to Trainer 11:43 AM ET

#1A Olkovskha (FR) No longer a Coupled Entry 11:39 AM ET
Scratched - Reason Unavailable 3:47 PM ET
Scratch Reason - Reason Unavailable changed to Off-Turf 3:53 PM ET

#3 Any Port Scratched - Reason Unavailable 3:49 PM ET
Scratch Reason - Reason Unavailable changed to Off-Turf 3:53 PM ET

#8 Lullaby Land Scratched - Off-Turf 3:31 PM ET

#9 Rhombique Scratched - Off-Turf
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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